{"source":"polymarket","id":"1053651","ticker":"russia-election-united-russia-er-vote-share","slug":"russia-election-united-russia-er-vote-share","title":"Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?","description":"Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.\n\nThe percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.\n\nVotes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-parliamentary-election-winner-MnZ1Lsh2uVMq.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-parliamentary-election-winner-MnZ1Lsh2uVMq.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-20T14:15:13Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":17988.788059000002,"volume_24hr":16904.260653,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.658660888671875,"normalized_volume":21.82475471496582,"liquidity":38935.71645,"open_interest":7919.852677999999,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"95","slug":"russia","label":"Russia"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"104722","slug":"russia-election","label":"Russia Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"55-60%","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.09499999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2241.510817,"updated_at":"2026-09-20T19:46:38.162422Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-20T19:46:38.162422Z","added_at":"2026-09-20T14:34:41.293268Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/russia-election-united-russia-er-vote-share","chart_24h":[11.25,222.25,887.063334,922.063334,4145.6645229999995,5372.755431,15421.287307,16904.260653],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4758537","event_id":"1053651","slug":"will-united-russia-er-win-55-60-percent-of-the-party-list-vote-in-the-2026-russian-state-duma-election","question":"Will United Russia (ER) win 55-60% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?","group_item_title":"55-60%","description":"Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.\n\nThe percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.\n\nVotes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-parliamentary-election-winner-MnZ1Lsh2uVMq.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-parliamentary-election-winner-MnZ1Lsh2uVMq.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-20T14:15:13Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2241.510817,"volume_24hr":2241.510817,"prob_24h_change":0.09499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":2241.510817,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.84625244140625,"normalized_volume":17.46463966369629,"liquidity":1026.0896,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-20T19:46:38.341640Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-20T19:46:38.341640Z","added_at":"2026-09-20T14:34:41.416909Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/russia-election-united-russia-er-vote-share/will-united-russia-er-win-55-60-percent-of-the-party-list-vote-in-the-2026-russian-state-duma-election","event_title":"Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?","chart_24h":[0.405,0.475,0.39,0.325,0.32,0.2,0.31,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4758536","event_id":"1053651","slug":"will-united-russia-er-win-50-55-percent-of-the-party-list-vote-in-the-2026-russian-state-duma-election","question":"Will United Russia (ER) win 50-55% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?","group_item_title":"50-55%","description":"Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.\n\nThe percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.\n\nVotes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-parliamentary-election-winner-MnZ1Lsh2uVMq.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-parliamentary-election-winner-MnZ1Lsh2uVMq.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.44,0.56],"probability":0.44,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-20T14:15:13Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3712.9010760000006,"volume_24hr":3712.9010759999996,"prob_24h_change":0.3,"volume_24h_change":3712.9010759999996,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.336795806884766,"normalized_volume":19.823244094848633,"liquidity":2074.812,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-20T19:46:38.341640Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-20T19:46:38.341640Z","added_at":"2026-09-20T14:34:41.416909Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/russia-election-united-russia-er-vote-share/will-united-russia-er-win-50-55-percent-of-the-party-list-vote-in-the-2026-russian-state-duma-election","event_title":"Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.27,0.31,0.465,0.435,0.485,0.55,0.44]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4758538","event_id":"1053651","slug":"will-united-russia-er-win-60-percent-or-more-of-the-party-list-vote-in-the-2026-russian-state-duma-election","question":"Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?","group_item_title":"60%+","description":"Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.\n\nThe percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.\n\nVotes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-parliamentary-election-winner-MnZ1Lsh2uVMq.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-parliamentary-election-winner-MnZ1Lsh2uVMq.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0665,0.9335],"probability":0.0665,"spread":0.033,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-20T14:15:13Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9155.202056,"volume_24hr":9166.452056000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.3735,"volume_24h_change":9155.202056000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.14106750488281,"normalized_volume":24.414403915405273,"liquidity":8816.39601,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-20T19:46:38.341640Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-20T19:46:38.341640Z","added_at":"2026-09-20T14:34:41.416909Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/russia-election-united-russia-er-vote-share/will-united-russia-er-win-60-percent-or-more-of-the-party-list-vote-in-the-2026-russian-state-duma-election","event_title":"Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.155,0.205,0.165,0.145,0.15,0.069,0.0665]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4758535","event_id":"1053651","slug":"will-united-russia-er-win-45-50-percent-of-the-party-list-vote-in-the-2026-russian-state-duma-election","question":"Will United Russia (ER) win 45-50% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?","group_item_title":"45-50%","description":"Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.\n\nThe percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.\n\nVotes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-parliamentary-election-winner-MnZ1Lsh2uVMq.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-parliamentary-election-winner-MnZ1Lsh2uVMq.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-20T14:15:13Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2256.1141100000004,"volume_24hr":1160.336704,"prob_24h_change":-0.09,"volume_24h_change":1160.336704,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.62552261352539,"normalized_volume":17.494037628173828,"liquidity":9383.0115,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-20T19:46:38.341640Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-20T19:46:38.341640Z","added_at":"2026-09-20T14:34:41.416909Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/russia-election-united-russia-er-vote-share/will-united-russia-er-win-45-50-percent-of-the-party-list-vote-in-the-2026-russian-state-duma-election","event_title":"Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.14,0.11,0.085,0.075,0.235,0.09,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4758533","event_id":"1053651","slug":"will-united-russia-er-win-less-than-40-percent-of-the-party-list-vote-in-the-2026-russian-state-duma-election","question":"Will United Russia (ER) win less than 40% of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election?","group_item_title":"<40%","description":"Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.\n\nThe percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.\n\nVotes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.\n\nVotes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-parliamentary-election-winner-MnZ1Lsh2uVMq.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/russia-parliamentary-election-winner-MnZ1Lsh2uVMq.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0005,0.9995],"probability":0.0005,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-20T14:15:13Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":477.55000000000007,"volume_24hr":477.55,"prob_24h_change":-0.0495,"volume_24h_change":477.55,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.5334529876709,"normalized_volume":11.171863555908203,"liquidity":8918.29161,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-20T19:04:12.181155Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-20T19:04:12.181155Z","added_at":"2026-09-20T14:34:41.416909Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/russia-election-united-russia-er-vote-share/will-united-russia-er-win-40-45-percent-of-the-party-list-vote-in-the-2026-russian-state-duma-election","event_title":"Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.011,0.045,0.0135,0.0075,0.0005]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1053651","as_of":"2026-09-20T19:54:07.375753Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Russia Election: United Russia (ER) Vote Share?\" — top market at 7% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}