{"source":"polymarket","id":"106758","ticker":"somaliland-parliamentary-election-winner","slug":"somaliland-parliamentary-election-winner","title":"Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner","description":"Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election. \n\nIf no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No election before 2027\".\n\nIf an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/somaliland-parliamentary-election-winner-PyB-Tc7Xwfk_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/somaliland-parliamentary-election-winner-PyB-Tc7Xwfk_.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T20:56:25.461420Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18560.840107999997,"volume_24hr":4.99,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.2940276861190796,"normalized_volume":21.210166931152344,"liquidity":15394.65415,"open_interest":4144.066871999999,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"103063","slug":"somalia","label":"somalia"},{"id":"104290","slug":"somaliland","label":"Somaliland"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No election before 2027","top_outcome_probability":0.735,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:56:08.481836Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:56:08.481836Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/somaliland-parliamentary-election-winner","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"948393","event_id":"106758","slug":"will-the-waddani-party-somaliland-national-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-somaliland-parliamentary-election","question":"Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?","group_item_title":"Waddani","description":"Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election. \n\nIf no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No election before 2027\".\n\nIf an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-waddani-party-somaliland-national-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-somaliland-parliamentary-election-K7aAQsxzHju8.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-waddani-party-somaliland-national-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-somaliland-parliamentary-election-K7aAQsxzHju8.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.229,0.771],"probability":0.229,"spread":0.456,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T20:51:48.776647Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2073.0577869999997,"volume_24hr":4.99,"prob_24h_change":-0.010999999999999982,"volume_24h_change":4.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.328268051147461,"normalized_volume":14.961620330810547,"liquidity":2307.11953,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Somalia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:26.908919Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:56:08.975755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/somaliland-parliamentary-election-winner/will-the-waddani-party-somaliland-national-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-somaliland-parliamentary-election","event_title":"Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.24,0.219,0.2235,0.242,0.2855,0.2205,0.2345,0.2545,0.243,0.249,0.2535,0.2535,0.2495,0.2195,0.2175,0.218,0.219,0.2265,0.22,0.221,0.2345,0.2205,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2205,0.221,0.22,0.2205,0.2195,0.2195]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"948391","event_id":"106758","slug":"will-there-be-no-somaliland-parliamentary-election-before-2027","question":"Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?","group_item_title":"No election before 2027","description":"Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election. \n\nIf no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No election before 2027\".\n\nIf an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-there-be-no-somaliland-parliamentary-election-before-2027-fUH022tckGsI.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-there-be-no-somaliland-parliamentary-election-before-2027-fUH022tckGsI.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.735,0.265],"probability":0.735,"spread":0.35,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T20:51:46.093992Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":10101.929671999995,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":21.808197021484375,"liquidity":2540.3087,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Somalia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:26.908919Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:56:08.975755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/somaliland-parliamentary-election-winner/will-there-be-no-somaliland-parliamentary-election-before-2027","event_title":"Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.715,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.725,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.705,0.715,0.725,0.725,0.715,0.705,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.735,0.73,0.735,0.73,0.735,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.73]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"948394","event_id":"106758","slug":"will-the-justice-and-welfare-party-ucid-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-somaliland-parliamentary-election","question":"Will the Justice and Welfare Party (UCID) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?","group_item_title":"Justice and Welfare (UCID)","description":"Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election. \n\nIf no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No election before 2027\".\n\nIf an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-justice-and-welfare-party-ucid-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-somaliland-parliamentary-election-2PUSk-Nuuk9M.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-justice-and-welfare-party-ucid-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-somaliland-parliamentary-election-2PUSk-Nuuk9M.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0455,0.9545],"probability":0.0455,"spread":0.081,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T20:51:47.032227Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3908.0732260000004,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.004500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":17.547897338867188,"liquidity":7903.62277,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Somalia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:58:26.908919Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:56:08.975755Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/somaliland-parliamentary-election-winner/will-the-justice-and-welfare-party-ucid-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-somaliland-parliamentary-election","event_title":"Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.05,0.0455,0.038,0.038,0.0445,0.0465,0.0425,0.044,0.0465,0.0475,0.0475,0.0475,0.0475,0.046,0.045,0.045,0.0465,0.0505,0.051,0.0495,0.045,0.045,0.0455,0.0455,0.0455,0.0455,0.0455,0.0455,0.046,0.0455]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"948392","event_id":"106758","slug":"will-the-kulmiye-party-peace-unity-and-development-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-somaliland-parliamentary-election","question":"Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?","group_item_title":"Kulmiye","description":"Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election. \n\nIf no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No election before 2027\".\n\nIf an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-kulmiye-party-peace-unity-and-development-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-somaliland-parliamentary-election-0HLYSxBqzyaT.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-kulmiye-party-peace-unity-and-development-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-somaliland-parliamentary-election-0HLYSxBqzyaT.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.017,0.983],"probability":0.017,"spread":0.022,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T20:51:46.350506Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2477.779423000001,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":15.668201446533203,"liquidity":2198.18695,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Somalia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T05:30:54.213450Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-09T11:47:49.343586Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/somaliland-parliamentary-election-winner/will-the-kulmiye-party-peace-unity-and-development-party-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-somaliland-parliamentary-election","event_title":"Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017,0.017]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"948395","event_id":"106758","slug":"will-other-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-somaliland-parliamentary-election","question":"Will Other win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election. \n\nIf no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No election before 2027\".\n\nIf an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/somaliland-parliamentary-election-winner-PyB-Tc7Xwfk_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/somaliland-parliamentary-election-winner-PyB-Tc7Xwfk_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[],"probability":null,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T20:51:48.014506Z","end_date":"2026-03-31T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Elections","Politics"],"countries":["Somalia"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T04:10:09.306255Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/somaliland-parliamentary-election-winner/will-other-win-the-most-seats-in-the-next-somaliland-parliamentary-election","event_title":"Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/106758","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:06:29.430190Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner\" — top market at 23% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}