{"source":"polymarket","id":"106884","ticker":"fed-rate-cut-by-629","slug":"fed-rate-cut-by-629","title":"Fed rate cut by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-16T19:36:41.877160Z","end_date":"2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2447821.3870960036,"volume_24hr":4635.99,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.553556442260742,"normalized_volume":45.7150993347168,"liquidity":239521.7091,"open_interest":150513.431187,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"tags":[{"id":"159","slug":"fed","label":"Fed"},{"id":"101550","slug":"jerome-powell","label":"Jerome Powell"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"101800","slug":"economic-policy","label":"Economic Policy"},{"id":"100196","slug":"fed-rates","label":"Fed Rates"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December Meeting","top_outcome_probability":0.16,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.01999999999999999,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":146.69389,"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:47:08.354927Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:47:08.354927Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by-629","chart_24h":[1704.598999,1704.598999,1704.598999,1704.598999,1704.598999,1648.70611,1632.42611,1605.15611,1511.05611,1511.05611,1254.57611,1265.59611,1265.59611,1258.86,1238.06,1053.3,1053.3,1500.74,1074.48,1074.48,1225.48,1074.79,1074.79,1074.79,1074.79,1080.39,1080.39,3762.34,3762.34,3762.34,4812.429999999999,4992.429999999999,4992.429999999999,4635.99],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"1439555","event_id":"106884","slug":"fed-rate-cut-by-december-2026-meeting","question":"Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"December Meeting","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for December 2026, currently scheduled for December 8-9. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no December meeting takes place by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T00:29:24.471682Z","end_date":"2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":184436.90819800034,"volume_24hr":1338.58,"prob_24h_change":-0.01999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":146.69389,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.451873779296875,"normalized_volume":40.751800537109375,"liquidity":40874.1637,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:49:52.551637Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:19:53.316343Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by-629/fed-rate-cut-by-december-2026-meeting","event_title":"Fed rate cut by...?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1439550","event_id":"106884","slug":"fed-rate-cut-by-october-2026-meeting-199-747","question":"Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"October Meeting","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for October 2026, currently scheduled for October 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no October meeting takes place by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1595,0.8405],"probability":0.1595,"spread":0.019,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T00:29:16.263921Z","end_date":"2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":59451.55216200008,"volume_24hr":5.8,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":-88.3,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.237008810043335,"normalized_volume":33.496978759765625,"liquidity":39043.85582,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:35:38.340172Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:19:53.316343Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by-629/fed-rate-cut-by-october-2026-meeting-199-747","event_title":"Fed rate cut by...?","chart_24h":[0.1595,0.16,0.1595,0.1595,0.16,0.1595,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1595,0.16,0.1595,0.16,0.1595,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1595,0.16,0.16,0.1595,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1595,0.1595,0.1595,0.1595]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1439549","event_id":"106884","slug":"fed-rate-cut-by-september-2026-meeting-264-382","question":"Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"September Meeting","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for September 2026, currently scheduled for September 15-16. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no September meeting takes place by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0665,0.9335],"probability":0.0665,"spread":0.005,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T00:29:25.815640Z","end_date":"2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":131438.05507600008,"volume_24hr":511.21,"prob_24h_change":0.004500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":333.25,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.10257625579834,"normalized_volume":38.50643539428711,"liquidity":69801.32097,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:49:33.200664Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T12:32:42.498378Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by-629/fed-rate-cut-by-september-2026-meeting-264-382","event_title":"Fed rate cut by...?","chart_24h":[0.062,0.0625,0.063,0.0635,0.064,0.0645,0.065,0.0655,0.066,0.066,0.0655,0.066,0.0665,0.0665,0.0665,0.0665,0.0665,0.0665,0.0665]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"1439536","event_id":"106884","slug":"fed-rate-cut-by-july-2026-meeting-577","question":"Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"July Meeting","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2026, currently scheduled for July 28-29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.016,0.984],"probability":0.016,"spread":0.008,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-02-26T00:29:14.241520Z","end_date":"2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":156432.42381499993,"volume_24hr":2780.4,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":2593.471815,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.173261642456055,"normalized_volume":39.65233612060547,"liquidity":90833.57185,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-21T12:49:52.551637Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-21T08:05:45.987080Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by-629/fed-rate-cut-by-july-2026-meeting-577","event_title":"Fed rate cut by...?","chart_24h":[0.016,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.016,0.016]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"949492","event_id":"106884","slug":"fed-rate-cut-by-january-2026-meeting-412","question":"Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"January Meeting","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-16T19:29:02.907095Z","end_date":"2026-01-28T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-01-29T00:18:06Z","volume":588114.763678,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":48.91933822631836,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by-629/fed-rate-cut-by-january-2026-meeting-412","event_title":"Fed rate cut by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"949493","event_id":"106884","slug":"fed-rate-cut-by-march-2026-meeting","question":"Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"March Meeting","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for March 2026, currently scheduled for March 17-18. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no March meeting takes place by April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-16T19:29:00.614483Z","end_date":"2026-03-18T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-03-18T20:18:03Z","volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by-629/fed-rate-cut-by-march-2026-meeting","event_title":"Fed rate cut by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"949494","event_id":"106884","slug":"fed-rate-cut-by-april-2026-meeting","question":"Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"April Meeting","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for April 2026, currently scheduled for April 28-29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no April meeting takes place by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-16T19:29:03.160851Z","end_date":"2026-04-29T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-04-29T21:45:46Z","volume":542979.3072430016,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":48.3330192565918,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","fetched_at":"2026-05-05T13:27:41.060012Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by-629/fed-rate-cut-by-april-2026-meeting","event_title":"Fed rate cut by...?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"949495","event_id":"106884","slug":"fed-rate-cut-by-june-2026-meeting","question":"Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?","group_item_title":"June Meeting","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for June 2026, currently scheduled for June 16-17. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no June meeting takes place by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to \"No\". \n\nEmergency rate cuts will qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fed-rate-cut-by-629-5NVm8vGZZ6U6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0,1.0],"probability":0.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2025-12-16T19:29:02.653507Z","end_date":"2026-06-17T00:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-06-17T20:04:49Z","volume":784968.3769240015,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":51.06880569458008,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Economy","Finance"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-18T20:19:00.139919Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-18T18:51:39.281060Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/fed-rate-cut-by-629/fed-rate-cut-by-june-2026-meeting","event_title":"Fed rate cut by...?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/106884","as_of":"2026-06-21T12:51:23.553719Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Fed rate cut by...?\" — top market at 2% probability across 8 outcomes","source_url":null}}