{"source":"polymarket","id":"1069368","ticker":"northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner-2026","slug":"northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner-2026","title":"Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner","description":"An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. 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The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.\n\nIf no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-gintautas-kindurys-c93108e5b8.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-gintautas-kindurys-c93108e5b8.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.66],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T14:08:24Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":119.0,"volume_24hr":55.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.09499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":-9.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.657533168792725,"normalized_volume":6.7245659828186035,"liquidity":98.7991,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Lithuania"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T14:30:41.988903Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner-2026/will-gintautas-kindurys-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","event_title":"Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.375,0.37,0.41,0.365,0.425,0.365,0.56,0.545,0.56,0.435,0.525,0.51,0.38,0.525,0.545,0.445,0.375,0.565,0.54,0.51,0.38,0.37,0.525,0.425,0.39,0.4,0.525,0.495,0.37,0.465,0.455,0.385]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4881782","event_id":"1069368","slug":"will-nikolajus-lebedevicius-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","question":"Will Nikolajus Lebedevičius win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?","group_item_title":"Nikolajus Lebedevičius","description":"An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.\n\nIf no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-nikolajus-lebedevicius-635de49512.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-nikolajus-lebedevicius-635de49512.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.3,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T14:08:24Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":94.0,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":0.11500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":-34.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.8451032638549805,"normalized_volume":6.084301948547363,"liquidity":138.3633,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Lithuania"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T14:30:41.988903Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner-2026/will-nikolajus-lebedevicius-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","event_title":"Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.09,0.1,0.41,0.125,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.165,0.145,0.175,0.09,0.095,0.105,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.29,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.365,0.155,0.16,0.17,0.175,0.31]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4881780","event_id":"1069368","slug":"will-antanas-sakalis-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","question":"Will Antanas Šakalis win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?","group_item_title":"Antanas Šakalis","description":"An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.\n\nIf no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-flag-b384fe055e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-flag-b384fe055e.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.235,0.765],"probability":0.235,"spread":0.43,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T14:08:24Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":94.0,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":0.10499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":-34.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.8451032638549805,"normalized_volume":6.084301948547363,"liquidity":165.5938,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Lithuania"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T14:30:41.988903Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner-2026/will-antanas-sakalis-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","event_title":"Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.075,0.24,0.075,0.085,0.075,0.205,0.105,0.11,0.125,0.075,0.08,0.075,0.1,0.12,0.125,0.13,0.135,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.08,0.065,0.135,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.255,0.085,0.13,0.075,0.07,0.125,0.13]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4881781","event_id":"1069368","slug":"will-andrej-sildiajev-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","question":"Will Andrej Šildiajėv win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?","group_item_title":"Andrej Šildiajėv","description":"An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.\n\nIf no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-andrej-sildiajev-f1a3314b5c.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-andrej-sildiajev-f1a3314b5c.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.42,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T14:08:24Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":94.0,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":0.15000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":-34.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.8451032638549805,"normalized_volume":6.084301948547363,"liquidity":155.5004,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Lithuania"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T14:30:41.988903Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner-2026/will-andrej-sildiajev-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","event_title":"Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.165,0.175,0.085,0.165,0.29,0.075,0.13,0.105,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.29,0.07,0.255,0.075,0.28,0.135,0.105,0.075,0.07,0.13,0.075,0.225]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4881779","event_id":"1069368","slug":"will-vladislav-kondratovic-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","question":"Will Vladislav Kondratovič win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?","group_item_title":"Vladislav Kondratovič","description":"An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.\n\nIf no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-vladislav-kondratovic-1dd4a5a814.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-vladislav-kondratovic-1dd4a5a814.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.36,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T14:08:24Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":235.0,"volume_24hr":151.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.30000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":67.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.370132446289062,"normalized_volume":8.758764266967773,"liquidity":72.6062,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T14:30:41.988903Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner-2026/will-vladislav-kondratovic-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","event_title":"Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.39,0.295,0.305,0.31,0.295,0.515,0.29,0.265,0.27,0.27,0.275,0.29,0.29,0.265,0.27,0.29,0.275,0.27,0.285,0.22,0.12,0.325,0.15,0.2]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4881787","event_id":"1069368","slug":"will-dalia-straupaite-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","question":"Will Dalia Štraupaitė win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?","group_item_title":"Dalia Štraupaitė","description":"An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.\n\nIf no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-dalia-straupaite-f3d9f30622.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-dalia-straupaite-f3d9f30622.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.82],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.3,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T14:08:24Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":94.0,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.21000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":-34.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.8451032638549805,"normalized_volume":6.084301948547363,"liquidity":108.213,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Lithuania"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T14:30:41.988903Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner-2026/will-dalia-straupaite-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","event_title":"Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.105,0.275,0.435,0.115,0.115,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.145,0.2,0.22,0.205,0.125,0.125,0.12,0.215,0.13,0.125,0.125,0.22,0.095,0.085,0.31,0.19,0.345,0.075,0.145,0.1,0.35,0.135,0.08,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4881783","event_id":"1069368","slug":"will-viktor-voronin-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","question":"Will Viktor Voronin win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?","group_item_title":"Viktor Voronin","description":"An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.\n\nIf no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-flag-b384fe055e.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-flag-b384fe055e.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.18,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T14:08:24Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":94.0,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.024999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":-34.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.8451032638549805,"normalized_volume":6.084301948547363,"liquidity":141.3817,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Lithuania"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T14:30:41.988903Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner-2026/will-viktor-voronin-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","event_title":"Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.095,0.065,0.075,0.1,0.06,0.115,0.13,0.065,0.095,0.295,0.15,0.12,0.115,0.12,0.16,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.075,0.1,0.3,0.065,0.11,0.055,0.065,0.185,0.065,0.115,0.095,0.09,0.085,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4881778","event_id":"1069368","slug":"will-meta-palauskaite-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","question":"Will Mėta Palauskaitė win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?","group_item_title":"Mėta Palauskaitė","description":"An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.\n\nIf no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-meta-palauskaite-8d6a98c2b7.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-meta-palauskaite-8d6a98c2b7.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T14:08:24Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":94.0,"volume_24hr":30.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.05500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":-34.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.8451032638549805,"normalized_volume":6.084301948547363,"liquidity":120.0381,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Lithuania"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T14:30:41.988903Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner-2026/will-meta-palauskaite-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","event_title":"Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.085,0.4,0.085,0.12,0.27,0.135,0.09,0.08,0.165,0.07,0.075,0.08,0.07,0.38,0.31,0.08,0.14,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4881785","event_id":"1069368","slug":"will-giedrius-dainys-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","question":"Will Giedrius Dainys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?","group_item_title":"Giedrius Dainys","description":"An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.\n\nIf no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-giedrius-dainys-0ddbb713ac.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-giedrius-dainys-0ddbb713ac.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T14:08:24Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":84.0,"volume_24hr":45.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.13999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":6.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.0227532386779785,"normalized_volume":5.7907209396362305,"liquidity":162.6224,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Lithuania"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T14:30:41.988903Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner-2026/will-giedrius-dainys-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","event_title":"Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.14,0.1,0.12,0.115,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.065,0.13,0.065,0.075,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.095,0.065,0.075,0.085,0.085,0.07,0.065,0.095,0.085,0.07,0.065,0.07,0.07,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4881786","event_id":"1069368","slug":"will-ignotas-adomavicius-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","question":"Will Ignotas Adomavičius win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?","group_item_title":"Ignotas Adomavičius","description":"An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.\n\nIf no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-ignotas-adomavicius-2042ea0977.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-ignotas-adomavicius-2042ea0977.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T14:08:24Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":99.0,"volume_24hr":35.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.155,"volume_24h_change":-29.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.276246547698975,"normalized_volume":6.222136974334717,"liquidity":89.1795,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T14:30:41.988903Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner-2026/will-ignotas-adomavicius-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","event_title":"Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.135,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.095,0.375,0.105,0.19,0.34,0.105,0.35,0.37,0.365,0.11,0.08,0.315,0.145,0.2,0.12,0.345,0.11,0.1,0.33,0.07,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4881784","event_id":"1069368","slug":"will-maksimas-paukste-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","question":"Will Maksimas Paukštė win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?","group_item_title":"Maksimas Paukštė","description":"An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.\n\nIf no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-maksimas-paukste-a5e5445907.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lt52-maksimas-paukste-a5e5445907.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T14:08:24Z","end_date":"2026-11-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":98.0,"volume_24hr":34.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.16499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":-30.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.193617343902588,"normalized_volume":6.195008277893066,"liquidity":140.5388,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Lithuania"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T18:27:55.646295Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T14:30:41.988903Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner-2026/will-maksimas-paukste-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","event_title":"Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner","chart_24h":[0.105,0.1,0.07,0.075,0.065,0.255,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.055,0.07,0.2,0.14,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.065,0.2,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4881814","event_id":"1069368","slug":"will-someone-else-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","question":"Will someone else win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"An early election for a member of the Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania in the single-member Northern Nalšia constituency (No. 52) is scheduled to take place on November 8, 2026. The by-election was triggered by the death of the incumbent member, Jevgenij Šuklin, on May 28, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the candidate who wins the election in the Northern Nalšia constituency.\n\nIf no candidate receives the required share of the vote in the first round, this market will resolve according to the result of the second round.\n\nIf the results of the specified election are not definitively known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Lithuania (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija, https://www.vrk.lt/).","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-11-08T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-23T14:30:41.988903Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T14:30:41.988903Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T14:30:41.988903Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/northern-nalsia-district-by-election-winner-2026/will-someone-else-win-the-2026-northern-nalsia-district-by-election","event_title":"Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1069368","as_of":"2026-09-24T18:44:19.315744Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner\" — top market at 22% probability across 12 outcomes","source_url":null}}