{"source":"polymarket","id":"1069720","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-25-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-25-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on September 25?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Sep 25 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Sep 25 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T16:07:08Z","end_date":"2026-09-25T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28983.095611,"volume_24hr":28996.97561100001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.618202209472656,"normalized_volume":23.998552322387695,"liquidity":45240.8207,"open_interest":22001.603307,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.545,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.04500000000000004,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":28996.97561100001,"updated_at":"2026-09-24T18:46:12.586801Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T18:46:12.586801Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T16:12:57.427682Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-25-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,33.33,33.33,33.33,51.459999999999994,100.479608,100.47960799999998,100.479608,100.47960799999998,100.479608,100.47960799999998,100.479608,100.47960799999998,100.47960799999998,100.47960799999998,100.47960799999998,100.47960799999998,100.479608,100.479608,139.12666799999997,139.12666799999997,139.12666799999997,139.12666799999997,139.12666799999997,141.08745299999998,160.11745299999998,177.764514,771.4601809999998,21284.730141,25511.669286,27209.767805000007,28996.97561100001],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4883052","event_id":"1069720","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-25-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on September 25?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Sep 25 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Sep 25 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.545,0.455],"probability":0.545,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T16:07:08Z","end_date":"2026-09-25T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":28983.095611,"volume_24hr":28996.97561100001,"prob_24h_change":0.04500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":28996.97561100001,"normalized_vol_24hr":41.74858474731445,"normalized_volume":30.9720401763916,"liquidity":45627.1924,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T18:46:12.907418Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T18:46:12.907418Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T16:12:57.479048Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-25-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-25-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on September 25?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.525,0.58,0.505,0.425,0.545]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1069720","as_of":"2026-09-24T19:05:31.491349Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on September 25?\" — top market at 55% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}