{"source":"polymarket","id":"1071009","ticker":"bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory","slug":"bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory","title":"Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","description":"The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bulgaria-election-scheduled-by-december-31-sj1lowFVfVXg.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/bulgaria-election-scheduled-by-december-31-sj1lowFVfVXg.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T20:14:36Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5591.394125,"volume_24hr":4165.990143,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.618450164794922,"normalized_volume":16.926002502441406,"liquidity":51246.63335,"open_interest":3845.151467,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"102953","slug":"bulgaria","label":"Bulgaria"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"101206","slug":"world-elections","label":"World Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"100686","slug":"margin-of-victory","label":"Margin of Victory"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Iotova 20-30%","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":208.84157899999997,"updated_at":"2026-09-28T03:09:13.667774Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T03:09:13.667774Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T20:19:16.553131Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory","chart_24h":[488.696667,488.696667,488.696667,488.696667,488.696667,488.696667,548.696667,548.696667,560.80381,600.80381,580.80381,620.80381,547.17381,291.77381,291.77381,282.107143,282.107143,282.107143,282.107143,302.238722,302.238722,302.238722,302.238722,302.238722,302.238722,302.238722,756.368322,1338.965722,4205.5670660000005,4215.990143,4165.990143,4165.990143],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4890264","event_id":"1071009","slug":"will-iliana-iotova-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-20-30","question":"Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?","group_item_title":"Iotova 20-30%","description":"The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.24,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T20:14:36Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":746.3415789999999,"volume_24hr":258.84157899999997,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":208.84157899999997,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.440483093261719,"normalized_volume":12.844221115112305,"liquidity":932.8772,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Bulgaria"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T03:09:13.992401Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T03:09:13.992401Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T20:19:16.638616Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/will-iliana-iotova-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-20-30","event_title":"Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.48,0.445,0.45,0.48,0.445,0.51,0.455,0.515,0.475,0.51,0.46,0.375,0.365,0.41,0.365,0.37,0.45,0.465,0.485,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.465,0.5,0.515,0.49,0.43,0.395,0.51,0.49]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4890265","event_id":"1071009","slug":"will-iliana-iotova-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-10-20","question":"Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?","group_item_title":"Iotova 10-20%","description":"The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T20:14:36Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":309.352896,"volume_24hr":209.26022,"prob_24h_change":-0.1,"volume_24h_change":188.293553,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.511061668395996,"normalized_volume":9.658848762512207,"liquidity":994.6851,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Bulgaria"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T03:09:13.992401Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T03:09:13.992401Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T20:19:16.638616Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/will-iliana-iotova-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-10-20","event_title":"Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.33,0.285,0.325,0.31,0.305,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.335,0.355,0.325,0.425,0.425,0.42,0.42,0.415,0.395,0.37,0.365,0.33,0.37,0.365,0.335,0.365,0.335,0.235,0.235,0.22,0.215,0.215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4890269","event_id":"1071009","slug":"will-andrey-gyurov-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-10-20","question":"Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?","group_item_title":"Gyurov 10-20%","description":"The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.153,0.847],"probability":0.153,"spread":0.242,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T20:14:36Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1559.3682059999999,"volume_24hr":1392.0657310000001,"prob_24h_change":0.127,"volume_24h_change":1292.0657310000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.08943748474121,"normalized_volume":15.86131477355957,"liquidity":864.61822,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Bulgaria"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T03:09:13.992401Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T03:09:13.992401Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T20:19:16.638616Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/will-andrey-gyurov-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-10-20","event_title":"Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.026,0.026,0.0255,0.025,0.026,0.0255,0.026,0.0255,0.0255,0.249,0.2325,0.204,0.151,0.1525]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4890266","event_id":"1071009","slug":"will-iliana-iotova-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-less-than-10","question":"Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?","group_item_title":"Iotova <10%","description":"The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T20:14:36Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":208.542515,"volume_24hr":175.042515,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":175.042515,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.759184837341309,"normalized_volume":8.381691932678223,"liquidity":10716.7832,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Bulgaria"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T01:59:57.782985Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T01:59:57.782985Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T20:19:16.638616Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/will-iliana-iotova-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-less-than-10","event_title":"Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.175,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.225,0.175,0.185,0.175,0.175,0.155,0.25,0.165,0.16,0.195,0.175,0.165,0.135,0.185,0.16,0.155,0.19,0.105,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4890263","event_id":"1071009","slug":"will-iliana-iotova-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-30-40","question":"Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%?","group_item_title":"Iotova 30-40%","description":"The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.107,0.893],"probability":0.107,"spread":0.178,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T20:14:36Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1138.5345200000002,"volume_24hr":856.767853,"prob_24h_change":0.08,"volume_24h_change":612.6678529999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.35867691040039,"normalized_volume":14.534262657165527,"liquidity":855.67657,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Bulgaria"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T03:09:13.992401Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T03:09:13.992401Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T20:19:16.638616Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/will-iliana-iotova-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-30-40","event_title":"Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.027,0.027,0.027,0.0265,0.0265,0.0285,0.028,0.029,0.0275,0.027,0.029,0.0275,0.0295,0.027,0.0275,0.029,0.0295,0.029,0.0295,0.0295,0.0295,0.0295,0.1125,0.099,0.123,0.146]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4890267","event_id":"1071009","slug":"will-andrey-gyurov-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-less-than-10","question":"Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?","group_item_title":"Gyurov <10%","description":"The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0645,0.9355],"probability":0.0645,"spread":0.069,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T20:14:36Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":121.571312,"volume_24hr":88.071312,"prob_24h_change":0.0085,"volume_24h_change":88.071312,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.110734939575195,"normalized_volume":6.784256935119629,"liquidity":1645.28567,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Bulgaria"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T01:59:57.782985Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T01:59:57.782985Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T20:19:16.638616Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/will-andrey-gyurov-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-less-than-10","event_title":"Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.056,0.0555,0.057,0.0565,0.058,0.0595,0.06,0.06,0.0595,0.066,0.0665,0.068,0.069,0.07,0.0695,0.071,0.0705,0.0715,0.071,0.072,0.0715,0.0655,0.066,0.0585,0.0645]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4890270","event_id":"1071009","slug":"will-andrey-gyurov-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-20-30","question":"Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?","group_item_title":"Gyurov 20-30%","description":"The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0275,0.9725],"probability":0.0275,"spread":0.045,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T20:14:36Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1151.648233,"volume_24hr":1100.326933,"prob_24h_change":0.0015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":1100.326933,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.74250602722168,"normalized_volume":14.581558227539062,"liquidity":10990.23306,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Bulgaria"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T03:09:13.992401Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T03:09:13.992401Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T20:19:16.638616Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/will-andrey-gyurov-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-20-30","event_title":"Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.026,0.026,0.027,0.027,0.0265,0.0275,0.027,0.0265,0.0275,0.027,0.027,0.026,0.027,0.0265,0.027,0.027,0.0285,0.027,0.0285,0.029,0.0285,0.028]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4890262","event_id":"1071009","slug":"will-iliana-iotova-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-40","question":"Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?","group_item_title":"Iotova 40%+","description":"The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0175,0.9825],"probability":0.0175,"spread":0.029,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T20:14:36Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":200.470364,"volume_24hr":68.00399999999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.008999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":-5.626000000000005,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.214592933654785,"normalized_volume":8.258936882019043,"liquidity":11831.09209,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Bulgaria"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T03:09:13.992401Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T03:09:13.992401Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T20:19:16.638616Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/will-iliana-iotova-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-40","event_title":"Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.0265,0.0265,0.026,0.028,0.027,0.0275,0.028,0.027,0.027,0.0275,0.0275,0.027,0.0295,0.027,0.027,0.0275,0.027,0.027,0.0265,0.0275,0.018,0.0185,0.017,0.018]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4890271","event_id":"1071009","slug":"will-andrey-gyurov-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-at-least-30","question":"Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?","group_item_title":"Gyurov 30%+","description":"The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0055,0.9945],"probability":0.0055,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T20:14:36Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":165.9845,"volume_24hr":28.03,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.565681457519531,"normalized_volume":7.684789180755615,"liquidity":11760.57316,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Bulgaria"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T00:27:48.464754Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T00:27:48.464754Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T20:19:16.638616Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/will-andrey-gyurov-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round-by-at-least-30","event_title":"Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4890272","event_id":"1071009","slug":"will-another-candidate-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round","question":"Will Another Candidate win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"The first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election is currently expected to be held on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.\n\nThe \"margin of victory\" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nThe candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the first round ballot. They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election as published by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Bulgaria"],"updated_at":"2026-09-23T20:19:16.638616Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T20:19:16.638616Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T20:19:16.638616Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-first-round-margin-of-victory/will-another-candidate-win-the-2026-bulgarian-presidential-first-round","event_title":"Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1071009","as_of":"2026-09-28T03:21:50.299046Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory\" — top market at 15% probability across 10 outcomes","source_url":null}}