{"source":"polymarket","id":"1071264","ticker":"taylor-swift-patient-zero-first-week-streams","slug":"taylor-swift-patient-zero-first-week-streams","title":"Taylor Swift \"Patient Zero\" First Week Streams?","description":"\"Patient Zero\" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of \"The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore.\"\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if \"Patient Zero\"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead.\n\nIf there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/taylor-swift-patient-zero-first-week-streams-C4WJgbQLh2FS.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/taylor-swift-patient-zero-first-week-streams-C4WJgbQLh2FS.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:41:19Z","end_date":"2026-10-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1998.184762,"volume_24hr":1998.184762,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.376344680786133,"normalized_volume":13.132493019104004,"liquidity":1337.8421,"open_interest":581.7047620000001,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"100","slug":"music","label":"Music"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"595","slug":"taylor-swift","label":"Taylor Swift"},{"id":"102587","slug":"the-life-of-a-showgirl","label":"The Life of a Showgirl"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"50m+","top_outcome_probability":0.78,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.03500000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":284.99476200000004,"updated_at":"2026-09-25T00:20:35.252309Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T00:20:35.252309Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:59:41.398831Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/taylor-swift-patient-zero-first-week-streams","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,241.89476200000001,241.89476200000001,241.89476200000001,263.98476200000005,1116.074762,1470.034762,1684.174762,1724.174762,1744.174762,1858.184762,1998.184762],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4893371","event_id":"1071264","slug":"will-patient-zero-hit-50m-first-week-streams","question":"Will \"Patient Zero\" hit 50m first week streams?","group_item_title":"50m+","description":"\"Patient Zero\" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of \"The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore.\"\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if \"Patient Zero\"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead.\n\nIf there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.78,0.22],"probability":0.78,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:41:21Z","end_date":"2026-10-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":284.99476200000004,"volume_24hr":284.99476200000004,"prob_24h_change":0.03500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":284.99476200000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.126899719238281,"normalized_volume":9.385619163513184,"liquidity":439.4172,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T23:29:22.228400Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T23:29:22.228400Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:59:41.431753Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/taylor-swift-patient-zero-first-week-streams/will-patient-zero-hit-50m-first-week-streams","event_title":"Taylor Swift \"Patient Zero\" First Week Streams?","chart_24h":[0.745,0.735,0.74,0.735,0.735,0.735,0.625,0.625,0.81,0.805,0.775,0.78,0.78,0.78]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4893372","event_id":"1071264","slug":"will-patient-zero-hit-60m-first-week-streams","question":"Will \"Patient Zero\" hit 60m first week streams?","group_item_title":"60m+","description":"\"Patient Zero\" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of \"The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore.\"\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if \"Patient Zero\"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead.\n\nIf there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.56,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:41:21Z","end_date":"2026-10-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":100.0,"volume_24hr":100.0,"prob_24h_change":0.09499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":100.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.071664810180664,"normalized_volume":6.249053955078125,"liquidity":55.9641,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T23:49:37.777967Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T23:49:37.777967Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:59:41.431753Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/taylor-swift-patient-zero-first-week-streams/will-patient-zero-hit-60m-first-week-streams","event_title":"Taylor Swift \"Patient Zero\" First Week Streams?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.505,0.505,0.5,0.485,0.5,0.5,0.495,0.49,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.615,0.615,0.41,0.735,0.74,0.735,0.68,0.7,0.705,0.47,0.605,0.6]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4893375","event_id":"1071264","slug":"will-patient-zero-hit-90m-first-week-streams","question":"Will \"Patient Zero\" hit 90m first week streams?","group_item_title":"90m+","description":"\"Patient Zero\" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of \"The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore.\"\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if \"Patient Zero\"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead.\n\nIf there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.94,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:41:21Z","end_date":"2026-10-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":42.0,"volume_24hr":42.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":42.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.689414024353027,"normalized_volume":4.150506496429443,"liquidity":10.2677,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T00:20:35.810902Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T00:20:35.810902Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:59:41.431753Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/taylor-swift-patient-zero-first-week-streams/will-patient-zero-hit-90m-first-week-streams","event_title":"Taylor Swift \"Patient Zero\" First Week Streams?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.5,0.495,0.495,0.505,0.505,0.495,0.505,0.5,0.505,0.49,0.505,0.5,0.265,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.215,0.25,0.465,0.46,0.51]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4893373","event_id":"1071264","slug":"will-patient-zero-hit-70m-first-week-streams","question":"Will \"Patient Zero\" hit 70m first week streams?","group_item_title":"70m+","description":"\"Patient Zero\" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of \"The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore.\"\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if \"Patient Zero\"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead.\n\nIf there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.43,0.57],"probability":0.43,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:41:21Z","end_date":"2026-10-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1259.53,"volume_24hr":1259.53,"prob_24h_change":-0.07,"volume_24h_change":1259.53,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.101547241210938,"normalized_volume":14.954019546508789,"liquidity":574.3077,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T23:49:37.777967Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T23:49:37.777967Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:59:41.431753Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/taylor-swift-patient-zero-first-week-streams/will-patient-zero-hit-70m-first-week-streams","event_title":"Taylor Swift \"Patient Zero\" First Week Streams?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.5,0.505,0.49,0.5,0.505,0.485,0.505,0.485,0.505,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.49,0.5,0.485,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.425,0.43]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4893374","event_id":"1071264","slug":"will-patient-zero-hit-80m-first-week-streams","question":"Will \"Patient Zero\" hit 80m first week streams?","group_item_title":"80m+","description":"\"Patient Zero\" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of \"The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore.\"\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if \"Patient Zero\"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead.\n\nIf there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.325,0.675],"probability":0.325,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:41:21Z","end_date":"2026-10-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":311.66,"volume_24hr":311.66,"prob_24h_change":-0.175,"volume_24h_change":311.66,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.607481956481934,"normalized_volume":9.68380069732666,"liquidity":15.6962,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T23:10:30.944334Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T23:10:30.944334Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:59:41.431753Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/taylor-swift-patient-zero-first-week-streams/will-patient-zero-hit-80m-first-week-streams","event_title":"Taylor Swift \"Patient Zero\" First Week Streams?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.505,0.51,0.505,0.51,0.505,0.5,0.49,0.505,0.485,0.51,0.505,0.485,0.49,0.505,0.255,0.265,0.19,0.19,0.355,0.34,0.2,0.2,0.205,0.27,0.325]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4893376","event_id":"1071264","slug":"will-patient-zero-hit-100m-first-week-streams","question":"Will \"Patient Zero\" hit 100m first week streams?","group_item_title":"100m+","description":"\"Patient Zero\" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of \"The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore.\"\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if \"Patient Zero\"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead.\n\nIf there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.285,0.715],"probability":0.285,"spread":0.51,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T21:41:19Z","end_date":"2026-10-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.21000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":153.3678,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-25T00:20:35.810902Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-25T00:20:35.810902Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T21:59:41.431753Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/taylor-swift-patient-zero-first-week-streams/will-patient-zero-hit-100m-first-week-streams","event_title":"Taylor Swift \"Patient Zero\" First Week Streams?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.5,0.495,0.505,0.5,0.505,0.51,0.505,0.485,0.51,0.485,0.265,0.195,0.195,0.19,0.19,0.115,0.245,0.465,0.465,0.445,0.46,0.285]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1071264","as_of":"2026-09-25T00:41:36.230497Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Taylor Swift \"Patient Zero\" First Week Streams?\" — top market at 43% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}