{"source":"polymarket","id":"1071370","ticker":"1-box-office-this-weekend","slug":"1-box-office-this-weekend","title":"#1 Box Office This Weekend?","description":"This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-grossing-movie-in-2025-23YRHKqq6Ete.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/highest-grossing-movie-in-2025-23YRHKqq6Ete.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T22:09:46Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2624.7636869999997,"volume_24hr":2624.763687,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.388904571533203,"normalized_volume":14.0919189453125,"liquidity":5063.69688,"open_interest":942.164756,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"53","slug":"movies","label":"Movies"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"51","slug":"box-office","label":"Box Office"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Resident Evil","top_outcome_probability":0.705,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.44499999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1246.2463249999998,"updated_at":"2026-09-24T03:04:50.751933Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T03:04:50.751933Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T22:19:18.635567Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/1-box-office-this-weekend","chart_24h":[0.0,72.0,407.895988,1512.0319519999998,1595.831952,2275.288044,2541.453687],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4893842","event_id":"1071370","slug":"will-resident-evil-be-1-box-office-this-weekend","question":"Will \"Resident Evil\" be #1 Box Office this weekend?","group_item_title":"Resident Evil","description":"This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/re-8652d5a221.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/re-8652d5a221.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.705,0.295],"probability":0.705,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T22:09:46Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1246.2463249999998,"volume_24hr":1246.2463249999998,"prob_24h_change":0.44499999999999995,"volume_24h_change":1246.2463249999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.84796142578125,"normalized_volume":14.909671783447266,"liquidity":2010.3189,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T03:04:50.897214Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T03:04:50.897214Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T22:19:18.665756Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/1-box-office-this-weekend/will-resident-evil-be-1-box-office-this-weekend","event_title":"#1 Box Office This Weekend?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.52,0.505,0.66,0.655,0.865,0.705]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4893841","event_id":"1071370","slug":"will-avengers-endgame-encore-be-1-box-office-this-weekend","question":"Will \"Avengers: Endgame Encore\" be #1 Box Office this weekend?","group_item_title":"Avengers: Endgame Encore","description":"This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/avengers-endgame-encore-opening-weekend-box-office-0lTXB72L5Mcj.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/avengers-endgame-encore-opening-weekend-box-office-0lTXB72L5Mcj.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.275,0.725],"probability":0.275,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T22:09:46Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":733.75562,"volume_24hr":733.75562,"prob_24h_change":0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":733.75562,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.724838256835938,"normalized_volume":12.778364181518555,"liquidity":1360.0198,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T03:04:50.897214Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T03:04:50.897214Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T22:19:18.665756Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/1-box-office-this-weekend/will-avengers-endgame-encore-be-1-box-office-this-weekend","event_title":"#1 Box Office This Weekend?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.425,0.41,0.315,0.325,0.115,0.275]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4893843","event_id":"1071370","slug":"will-primetime-be-1-box-office-this-weekend","question":"Will \"Primetime\" be #1 Box Office this weekend?","group_item_title":"Primetime","description":"This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/primetime-rotten-tomatoes-score-vpmHLSYuVTRa.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/primetime-rotten-tomatoes-score-vpmHLSYuVTRa.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0275,0.9725],"probability":0.0275,"spread":0.043,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T22:09:46Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":363.707992,"volume_24hr":363.707992,"prob_24h_change":-0.2325,"volume_24h_change":363.707992,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.961050987243652,"normalized_volume":10.209847450256348,"liquidity":1051.29715,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T03:04:50.897214Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T03:04:50.897214Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T22:19:18.665756Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/1-box-office-this-weekend/will-primetime-be-1-box-office-this-weekend","event_title":"#1 Box Office This Weekend?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.065,0.12,0.07,0.035,0.0345,0.0275]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4893844","event_id":"1071370","slug":"will-heart-of-the-beast-be-1-box-office-this-weekend","question":"Will \"Heart of the Beast\" be #1 Box Office this weekend?","group_item_title":"Heart of the Beast","description":"This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/heart-of-the-beast-rotten-tomatoes-score-20260928-5A7bhhSY9sqt.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/heart-of-the-beast-rotten-tomatoes-score-20260928-5A7bhhSY9sqt.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.015,0.985],"probability":0.015,"spread":0.026,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-23T22:09:46Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":281.05375000000004,"volume_24hr":281.05375000000004,"prob_24h_change":-0.245,"volume_24h_change":281.05375000000004,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.685864448547363,"normalized_volume":9.339624404907227,"liquidity":529.59656,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T02:43:49.728947Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T02:43:49.728947Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T22:19:18.665756Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/1-box-office-this-weekend/will-heart-of-the-beast-be-1-box-office-this-weekend","event_title":"#1 Box Office This Weekend?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.065,0.06,0.04,0.034,0.033,0.015]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4893848","event_id":"1071370","slug":"will-another-film-be-1-box-office-this-weekend","question":"Will another film be #1 Box Office this weekend?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to which film earns the highest domestic box office gross for the weekend of September 25 - 27, 2026. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf two or more films are tied for the highest weekend gross, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose listed title comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf none of the listed films earns the highest domestic weekend gross, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-09-27T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-23T22:19:18.665756Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-23T22:19:18.665756Z","added_at":"2026-09-23T22:19:18.665756Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/1-box-office-this-weekend/will-another-film-be-1-box-office-this-weekend","event_title":"#1 Box Office This Weekend?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1071370","as_of":"2026-09-24T03:25:03.924372Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"#1 Box Office This Weekend?\" — top market at 70% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}