{"source":"polymarket","id":"1073104","ticker":"next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443","slug":"next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443","title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1294.162,"volume_24hr":1294.162,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.021183013916016,"normalized_volume":11.675530433654785,"liquidity":3885.83782,"open_interest":436.98159599999997,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"103303","slug":"claude","label":"Claude"},{"id":"105474","slug":"sonnet","label":"Sonnet"},{"id":"553","slug":"anthropic","label":"Anthropic"},{"id":"105579","slug":"ai-releases","label":"AI Releases"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"October 15","top_outcome_probability":0.255,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.185,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":45.5,"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.438908Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.438908Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.376537Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,50.0,153.212,157.212,235.212,235.212,235.212,1224.942,1224.942,1274.162,1294.162,1294.162,1294.162],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903436","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-15-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 15","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.47,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.5,"volume_24hr":45.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.185,"volume_24h_change":45.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.056814193725586,"normalized_volume":4.325006484985352,"liquidity":153.0521,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-15-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.125,0.135,0.14,0.23,0.155,0.155,0.27,0.17,0.175,0.175,0.135,0.125,0.135,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903437","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-there-be-no-next-claude-sonnet-model-release-by-october-15-2026","question":"Will there be no next Claude Sonnet model release by October 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"No release by October 15","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":69.50999999999999,"volume_24hr":69.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":69.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.441471576690674,"normalized_volume":5.3137526512146,"liquidity":397.9145,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-there-be-no-next-claude-sonnet-model-release-by-october-15-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.14,0.135,0.145,0.16,0.16,0.175,0.165,0.185,0.175,0.25,0.15,0.155,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903422","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-1-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 1, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 1","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.05,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-02T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.5,"volume_24hr":45.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":45.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.056814193725586,"normalized_volume":4.325006484985352,"liquidity":205.2359,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T16:08:21.633620Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T16:08:21.633620Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-1-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.125,0.135,0.13,0.23,0.155,0.245,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.165,0.16,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903415","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-or-prior-to-september-24-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on or prior to September 24, 2026?","group_item_title":"On or prior to September 24","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.29,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-09-25T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":102.82,"volume_24hr":102.82,"prob_24h_change":-0.1,"volume_24h_change":102.82,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.856032371520996,"normalized_volume":6.323852062225342,"liquidity":253.8075,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-or-prior-to-september-24-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.25,0.235,0.21,0.2,0.105,0.2,0.205,0.18,0.2,0.195,0.18,0.165,0.175]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903421","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-september-30-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 30","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.135,0.865],"probability":0.135,"spread":0.25,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.51,"volume_24hr":45.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.305,"volume_24h_change":45.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.057492733001709,"normalized_volume":4.325490951538086,"liquidity":90.1055,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T16:08:21.633620Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T16:08:21.633620Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-september-30-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.255,0.14,0.135,0.14,0.135,0.145,0.125,0.13,0.125,0.13,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903426","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-5-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 5, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 5","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.22,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.51,"volume_24hr":45.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.11499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":45.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.057492733001709,"normalized_volume":4.325490951538086,"liquidity":126.9359,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T16:29:25.897285Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T16:29:25.897285Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-5-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.14,0.245,0.14,0.135,0.15,0.155,0.165,0.16,0.145,0.16,0.13,0.13]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903428","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-7-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 7, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 7","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.24,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-08T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.51,"volume_24hr":45.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.11499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":45.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.057492733001709,"normalized_volume":4.325490951538086,"liquidity":139.6355,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-7-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.255,0.14,0.145,0.135,0.14,0.135,0.135,0.135,0.125,0.125,0.13,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903430","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-9-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 9","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.24,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.51,"volume_24hr":45.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.11499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":45.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.057492733001709,"normalized_volume":4.325490951538086,"liquidity":176.9945,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:10:11.905471Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:10:11.905471Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-9-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.14,0.135,0.14,0.42,0.14,0.14,0.135,0.14,0.12,0.24,0.25,0.135,0.115,0.13]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903435","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-14-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 14","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.22,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-15T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.51,"volume_24hr":45.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.11499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":45.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.057492733001709,"normalized_volume":4.325490951538086,"liquidity":164.935,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T16:29:25.897285Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T16:29:25.897285Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-14-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.155,0.17,0.165,0.27,0.16,0.135,0.13]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903420","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-september-29-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 29, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 29","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.51,"volume_24hr":45.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.12,"volume_24h_change":45.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.057492733001709,"normalized_volume":4.325490951538086,"liquidity":53.0627,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-september-29-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.13,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.145,0.14,0.15,0.145,0.125,0.135,0.125,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903417","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-september-26-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 26, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 26","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.121,0.879],"probability":0.121,"spread":0.236,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-09-27T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":65.526,"volume_24hr":65.526,"prob_24h_change":-0.134,"volume_24h_change":65.526,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.239462375640869,"normalized_volume":5.169503211975098,"liquidity":159.3702,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-september-26-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.135,0.13,0.13,0.127,0.1155,0.0795,0.2315,0.2195,0.241,0.111,0.121,0.1205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903419","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-september-28-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 28, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 28","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.22,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-09-29T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.51,"volume_24hr":45.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.125,"volume_24h_change":45.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.057492733001709,"normalized_volume":4.325490951538086,"liquidity":82.6946,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-september-28-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.135,0.14,0.135,0.23,0.135,0.135,0.13,0.25,0.125,0.115,0.13,0.125,0.13,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903424","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-3-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 3, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 3","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.51,"volume_24hr":45.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.315,"volume_24h_change":45.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.057492733001709,"normalized_volume":4.325490951538086,"liquidity":173.1463,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-3-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.435,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.155,0.16,0.135,0.085,0.095,0.145,0.22,0.075,0.08,0.13]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903429","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-8-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 8","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.22,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.51,"volume_24hr":45.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.32,"volume_24h_change":45.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.057492733001709,"normalized_volume":4.325490951538086,"liquidity":156.9327,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-8-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.135,0.255,0.135,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.255,0.11,0.11,0.135,0.12,0.135,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903432","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-11-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 11, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 11","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-12T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.51,"volume_24hr":45.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.32,"volume_24h_change":45.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.057492733001709,"normalized_volume":4.325490951538086,"liquidity":142.7202,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-11-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.125,0.14,0.135,0.13,0.15,0.26,0.145,0.24,0.145,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903423","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-2-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 2, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 2","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.51,"volume_24hr":45.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":45.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.057492733001709,"normalized_volume":4.325490951538086,"liquidity":153.0959,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T16:29:25.897285Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T16:29:25.897285Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-2-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.215,0.13,0.135,0.135,0.145,0.14,0.16,0.155,0.15,0.275,0.13,0.125,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903427","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-6-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 6, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 6","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-07T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.51,"volume_24hr":45.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":45.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.057492733001709,"normalized_volume":4.325490951538086,"liquidity":118.226,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-6-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.14,0.145,0.26,0.14,0.145,0.085,0.13,0.19,0.245,0.135,0.13,0.135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903433","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-12-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 12, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 12","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-13T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.51,"volume_24hr":45.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":45.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.057492733001709,"normalized_volume":4.325490951538086,"liquidity":155.436,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-12-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.13,0.14,0.135,0.135,0.14,0.245,0.11,0.115,0.24,0.13,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903425","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-4-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 4, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 4","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.18,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60.12,"volume_24hr":60.12,"prob_24h_change":-0.33,"volume_24h_change":60.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.950069427490234,"normalized_volume":4.962855815887451,"liquidity":169.6351,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-4-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.13,0.135,0.13,0.14,0.155,0.16,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.105,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903418","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-september-27-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 27, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 27","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.104,0.896],"probability":0.104,"spread":0.188,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-09-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":84.416,"volume_24hr":84.41600000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.15100000000000002,"volume_24h_change":84.41600000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.127259254455566,"normalized_volume":5.803455352783203,"liquidity":186.32036,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-september-27-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.13,0.255,0.135,0.13,0.246,0.1315,0.125,0.1245,0.253,0.2325,0.2445,0.1195,0.1145,0.1135]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903431","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-10-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 10","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60.12,"volume_24hr":60.12,"prob_24h_change":-0.155,"volume_24h_change":60.12,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.950069427490234,"normalized_volume":4.962855815887451,"liquidity":155.5744,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-10-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.13,0.14,0.145,0.135,0.15,0.155,0.165,0.155,0.155,0.165,0.12,0.13,0.125,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903434","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-13-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 13","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-14T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":45.51,"volume_24hr":45.51,"prob_24h_change":-0.175,"volume_24h_change":45.51,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.057492733001709,"normalized_volume":4.325490951538086,"liquidity":169.1147,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:50:04.605783Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-october-13-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.225,0.13,0.255,0.155,0.17,0.155,0.165,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903416","event_id":"1073104","slug":"will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-september-25-2026","question":"Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on September 25, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 25","description":"This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model is made available to the general public.\n\nClaude Sonnet refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Sonnet. Qualifying models include Claude Sonnet 5.1, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Sonnet 6, or any other Sonnet variants. Models under any other name, such as Opus, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Sonnet by Anthropic.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. \n\nThe release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/claude-4pt7-released-by-LSHFPBEUsncm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:31:58Z","end_date":"2026-09-26T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":123.51,"volume_24hr":123.50999999999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.21000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":123.50999999999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.56290340423584,"normalized_volume":6.828609943389893,"liquidity":211.8063,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T17:29:02.966738Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T17:29:02.966738Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-claude-sonnet-released-onptptpt-20260921225443/will-the-next-claude-sonnet-model-be-released-on-september-25-2026","event_title":"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.135,0.13,0.14,0.135,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.125,0.055,0.055,0.125,0.125,0.045,0.045]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1073104","as_of":"2026-09-24T18:02:27.193924Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next Claude Sonnet released on...?\" — top market at 4% probability across 23 outcomes","source_url":null}}