{"source":"polymarket","id":"1073129","ticker":"abiy-ahmed-out-as-prime-minister-of-ethiopia-in-2026","slug":"abiy-ahmed-out-as-prime-minister-of-ethiopia-in-2026","title":"Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abiy Ahmed ceases to be Prime Minister of Ethiopia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Abiy Ahmed's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Abiy Ahmed and the government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/abiy-ahmed-out-as-prime-minister-of-ethiopia-by-rv-m596hGAC8.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/abiy-ahmed-out-as-prime-minister-of-ethiopia-by-rv-m596hGAC8.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:37:40Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12000.56,"volume_24hr":12000.56,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.5591926574707,"normalized_volume":20.056955337524414,"liquidity":275.4992,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100614","slug":"africa","label":"africa"},{"id":"106270","slug":"eritrea","label":"Eritrea"},{"id":"104289","slug":"ethiopia","label":"Ethiopia"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.245,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.255,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":12000.56,"updated_at":"2026-09-24T15:08:59.328730Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T15:08:59.328730Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.376537Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/abiy-ahmed-out-as-prime-minister-of-ethiopia-in-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,12000.56,12000.56,12000.56,12000.56,12000.56],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4903466","event_id":"1073129","slug":"abiy-ahmed-out-as-prime-minister-of-ethiopia-in-2026","question":"Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abiy Ahmed ceases to be Prime Minister of Ethiopia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Abiy Ahmed's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nIf the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Abiy Ahmed and the government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/abiy-ahmed-out-as-prime-minister-of-ethiopia-by-rv-m596hGAC8.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/abiy-ahmed-out-as-prime-minister-of-ethiopia-by-rv-m596hGAC8.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.31,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-24T07:37:40Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":12000.56,"volume_24hr":12000.56,"prob_24h_change":-0.255,"volume_24h_change":12000.56,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.92979049682617,"normalized_volume":25.884370803833008,"liquidity":298.0493,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Ethiopia"],"updated_at":"2026-09-24T14:47:34.532802Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-24T14:47:34.532802Z","added_at":"2026-09-24T07:42:38.415701Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/abiy-ahmed-out-as-prime-minister-of-ethiopia-in-2026/abiy-ahmed-out-as-prime-minister-of-ethiopia-in-2026","event_title":"Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.255,0.27,0.51,0.285,0.285,0.225,0.225,0.245]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1073129","as_of":"2026-09-24T15:16:08.128419Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?\" — top market at 24% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}