{"source":"polymarket","id":"107692","ticker":"will-trump-create-a-tariff-dividend-by-june-30","slug":"will-trump-create-a-tariff-dividend-by-june-30","title":"Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.\n\nA qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-provide-taxpayers-with-stimulus-checks-using-tariff-revenue-BgkQI_m7yIJR.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-provide-taxpayers-with-stimulus-checks-using-tariff-revenue-BgkQI_m7yIJR.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-17T21:12:50.444445Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14639.688714000007,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":20.198354721069336,"liquidity":12782.80219,"open_interest":5863.205175,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"101758","slug":"tariffs","label":"Tariffs"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.025,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:56:08.481836Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:56:08.481836Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-create-a-tariff-dividend-by-june-30","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"956317","event_id":"107692","slug":"will-trump-create-a-tariff-dividend-by-june-30","question":"Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Trump Administration formally creates (e.g., by signing federal legislation or performing executive action) a tariff dividend/rebate by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAny bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.\n\nA qualifying payment of any amount distributed to any segment of individual US taxpayers will qualify as long as it is clearly attributed primarily to tariff revenue rather than a routine tax refund or credit.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-provide-taxpayers-with-stimulus-checks-using-tariff-revenue-BgkQI_m7yIJR.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-trump-provide-taxpayers-with-stimulus-checks-using-tariff-revenue-BgkQI_m7yIJR.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.025,0.975],"probability":0.025,"spread":0.016,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2025-12-17T21:08:42.342000Z","end_date":"2026-06-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":14639.688714000007,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":23.598352432250977,"liquidity":12819.61219,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-06-10T09:44:47.480616Z","fetched_at":"2026-06-10T09:42:28.420917Z","added_at":null,"url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-create-a-tariff-dividend-by-june-30/will-trump-create-a-tariff-dividend-by-june-30","event_title":"Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?","chart_24h":[0.022,0.022,0.0215,0.0225,0.023,0.0225,0.023,0.0225,0.025,0.026,0.025,0.026,0.026,0.026,0.026,0.026,0.0265,0.0265,0.0265,0.025,0.027,0.0285,0.0265,0.026]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/107692","as_of":"2026-06-10T10:06:13.999529Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?\" — top market at 2% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}