{"source":"polymarket","id":"1082733","ticker":"which-dems-will-underperform-kamala","slug":"which-dems-will-underperform-kamala","title":"Which Dems will underperform Kamala?","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed Democratic candidate in a statewide midterm election has an unrounded vote share that is lower than the equivalent vote share earned by Kamala Harris in that state in the 2024 Presidential Election. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nVote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant state in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing the named candidate and at least one other candidate.\n\nIf a candidate's vote share is identical to that of Kamala Harris, this market will resolve to \"No\".  \n\nIn the event that the relevant vote share for a candidate cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, or a candidate withdraws from the race in a manner that causes them to be permanently removed from the general election ballot, that candidate will be considered to have received 0% of the vote. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-dems-underperform-kamala-YcUqV8uFVzCO.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-dems-underperform-kamala-YcUqV8uFVzCO.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:09:59Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1556.674138,"volume_24hr":1556.674138,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.86271858215332,"normalized_volume":12.283397674560547,"liquidity":478.7479,"open_interest":418.260036,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"100199","slug":"senate-elections","label":"Senate"},{"id":"103840","slug":"midterm","label":"midterm"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"105888","slug":"josh-turek","label":"Josh Turek"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"104019","slug":"iowa-midterm","label":"Iowa Midterm"},{"id":"105972","slug":"maine-senate","label":"Maine Senate"},{"id":"105963","slug":"mary-peltola","label":"Mary Peltola"},{"id":"104002","slug":"ohio-midterm","label":"Ohio Midterm"},{"id":"105886","slug":"troy-jackson","label":"Troy Jackson"},{"id":"104040","slug":"texas-midterm","label":"Texas Midterm"},{"id":"100572","slug":"sherrod-brown","label":"sherrod brown"},{"id":"105884","slug":"abdul-el-sayed","label":"Abdul El-Sayed"},{"id":"104011","slug":"alaska-midterm","label":"Alaska Midterm"},{"id":"105151","slug":"james-talarico","label":"James Talarico"},{"id":"104015","slug":"florida-midterm","label":"Florida Midterm"},{"id":"104024","slug":"michigan-midterm","label":"Michigan Midterm"},{"id":"104051","slug":"new-york-midterm","label":"New York Midterm"},{"id":"100686","slug":"margin-of-victory","label":"Margin of Victory"},{"id":"104029","slug":"new-hampshire-midterm","label":"New Hampshire Midterm"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"David Jolly: FL-Gov","top_outcome_probability":0.6,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.47,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":539.0,"updated_at":"2026-09-26T11:09:28.251590Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T11:09:28.251590Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T23:20:45.847016Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-dems-will-underperform-kamala","chart_24h":[0.0,45.0,105.0,125.0,226.724138,226.724138,585.714138,585.714138,686.714138,1128.194138,1188.194138,1367.1341380000001,1385.404138,1405.404138,1430.404138,1556.674138],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965408","event_id":"1082733","slug":"will-the-maine-democrat-perform-best-among-these-tossup-senate-races-copy","question":"Will David Jolly underperform Kamala in Florida?","group_item_title":"David Jolly: FL-Gov","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed Democratic candidate in a statewide midterm election has an unrounded vote share that is lower than the equivalent vote share earned by Kamala Harris in that state in the 2024 Presidential Election. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nVote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant state in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing the named candidate and at least one other candidate.\n\nIf a candidate's vote share is identical to that of Kamala Harris, this market will resolve to \"No\".  \n\nIn the event that the relevant vote share for a candidate cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, or a candidate withdraws from the race in a manner that causes them to be permanently removed from the general election ballot, that candidate will be considered to have received 0% of the vote. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-david-jolly-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-florida-governor-YKLPuu-59dMm.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-david-jolly-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-florida-governor-YKLPuu-59dMm.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.58,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:10:01Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":539.0,"volume_24hr":539.0,"prob_24h_change":0.47,"volume_24h_change":539.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.43609046936035,"normalized_volume":11.613580703735352,"liquidity":35.9442,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-26T11:09:28.370111Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T11:09:28.370111Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T23:20:45.891821Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-dems-will-underperform-kamala/will-the-maine-democrat-perform-best-among-these-tossup-senate-races-copy","event_title":"Which Dems will underperform Kamala?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.135,0.11,0.12,0.135,0.125,0.335,0.26,0.425,0.585,0.41,0.525,0.44,0.49,0.315,0.6]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965410","event_id":"1082733","slug":"will-tina-kotek-underperform-kamala-in-oregon","question":"Will Tina Kotek underperform Kamala in Oregon?","group_item_title":"Tina Kotek: OR-Gov","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed Democratic candidate in a statewide midterm election has an unrounded vote share that is lower than the equivalent vote share earned by Kamala Harris in that state in the 2024 Presidential Election. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nVote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant state in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing the named candidate and at least one other candidate.\n\nIf a candidate's vote share is identical to that of Kamala Harris, this market will resolve to \"No\".  \n\nIn the event that the relevant vote share for a candidate cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, or a candidate withdraws from the race in a manner that causes them to be permanently removed from the general election ballot, that candidate will be considered to have received 0% of the vote. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democrats-win-the-oregon-governor-race-in-2026-bsCbF_o8x3rR.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democrats-win-the-oregon-governor-race-in-2026-bsCbF_o8x3rR.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.59,0.41],"probability":0.59,"spread":0.6,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:10:01Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":0.22999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.4952378273010254,"normalized_volume":0.9419060945510864,"liquidity":25.4829,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-26T10:24:24.025475Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T10:24:24.025475Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T23:20:45.891821Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-dems-will-underperform-kamala/will-tina-kotek-underperform-kamala-in-oregon","event_title":"Which Dems will underperform Kamala?","chart_24h":[0.36,0.385,0.62,0.625,0.605,0.605,0.59,0.745,0.705,0.705,0.69,0.445,0.59]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965411","event_id":"1082733","slug":"will-kathy-hochul-underperform-kamala-in-new-york","question":"Will Kathy Hochul underperform Kamala in New York?","group_item_title":"Kathy Hochul: NY-Gov","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed Democratic candidate in a statewide midterm election has an unrounded vote share that is lower than the equivalent vote share earned by Kamala Harris in that state in the 2024 Presidential Election. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nVote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant state in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing the named candidate and at least one other candidate.\n\nIf a candidate's vote share is identical to that of Kamala Harris, this market will resolve to \"No\".  \n\nIn the event that the relevant vote share for a candidate cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, or a candidate withdraws from the race in a manner that causes them to be permanently removed from the general election ballot, that candidate will be considered to have received 0% of the vote. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democrats-win-the-new-york-governor-race-in-2026-1L-P4f5G8Nju.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democrats-win-the-new-york-governor-race-in-2026-1L-P4f5G8Nju.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.32,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:10:01Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":907.6741380000001,"volume_24hr":907.674138,"prob_24h_change":0.375,"volume_24h_change":907.674138,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.612173080444336,"normalized_volume":13.614314079284668,"liquidity":99.5696,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-26T11:09:28.370111Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T11:09:28.370111Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T23:20:45.891821Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-dems-will-underperform-kamala/will-kathy-hochul-underperform-kamala-in-new-york","event_title":"Which Dems will underperform Kamala?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.135,0.39,0.435,0.345,0.34,0.325,0.73,0.575,0.635,0.635,0.615,0.51]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965409","event_id":"1082733","slug":"will-keisha-lance-bottoms-underperform-kamala-in-georgia","question":"Will Keisha Lance Bottoms underperform Kamala in Georgia?","group_item_title":"Keisha Lance Bottoms: GA-Gov","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed Democratic candidate in a statewide midterm election has an unrounded vote share that is lower than the equivalent vote share earned by Kamala Harris in that state in the 2024 Presidential Election. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nVote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant state in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing the named candidate and at least one other candidate.\n\nIf a candidate's vote share is identical to that of Kamala Harris, this market will resolve to \"No\".  \n\nIn the event that the relevant vote share for a candidate cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, or a candidate withdraws from the race in a manner that causes them to be permanently removed from the general election ballot, that candidate will be considered to have received 0% of the vote. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democrats-win-the-georgia-governor-race-in-2026-wnSzdmFcFui7.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democrats-win-the-georgia-governor-race-in-2026-wnSzdmFcFui7.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.54],"probability":0.46,"spread":0.34,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:10:01Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":0.325,"volume_24h_change":40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.422950744628906,"normalized_volume":4.046056270599365,"liquidity":57.9304,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-26T10:46:45.848010Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T10:46:45.848010Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T23:20:45.891821Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-dems-will-underperform-kamala/will-keisha-lance-bottoms-underperform-kamala-in-georgia","event_title":"Which Dems will underperform Kamala?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.155,0.27,0.19,0.195,0.535,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.305,0.21,0.43,0.455,0.46]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965407","event_id":"1082733","slug":"will-the-iowa-democrat-perform-best-among-these-tossup-senate-races-copy","question":"Will Abdul El-Sayed underperform Kamala in Michigan?","group_item_title":"Abdul El-Sayed: MI-Sen","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed Democratic candidate in a statewide midterm election has an unrounded vote share that is lower than the equivalent vote share earned by Kamala Harris in that state in the 2024 Presidential Election. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nVote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant state in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing the named candidate and at least one other candidate.\n\nIf a candidate's vote share is identical to that of Kamala Harris, this market will resolve to \"No\".  \n\nIn the event that the relevant vote share for a candidate cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, or a candidate withdraws from the race in a manner that causes them to be permanently removed from the general election ballot, that candidate will be considered to have received 0% of the vote. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-abdul-el-sayed-win-the-2026-michigan-democratic-primary-xVDS3V1P24E6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-abdul-el-sayed-win-the-2026-michigan-democratic-primary-xVDS3V1P24E6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.34,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:09:59Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.2,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.317071437835693,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":79.1434,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-26T11:09:28.370111Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T11:09:28.370111Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T23:20:45.891821Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-dems-will-underperform-kamala/will-the-iowa-democrat-perform-best-among-these-tossup-senate-races-copy","event_title":"Which Dems will underperform Kamala?","chart_24h":[0.25,0.16,0.32,0.32,0.505,0.505,0.33,0.515,0.17,0.63,0.45,0.435,0.45]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965403","event_id":"1082733","slug":"will-the-alaska-democrat-perform-best-among-these-tossup-senate-races-copy","question":"Will Chris Pappas underperform Kamala in New Hampshire?","group_item_title":"Chris Pappas: NH-Sen","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed Democratic candidate in a statewide midterm election has an unrounded vote share that is lower than the equivalent vote share earned by Kamala Harris in that state in the 2024 Presidential Election. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nVote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant state in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing the named candidate and at least one other candidate.\n\nIf a candidate's vote share is identical to that of Kamala Harris, this market will resolve to \"No\".  \n\nIn the event that the relevant vote share for a candidate cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, or a candidate withdraws from the race in a manner that causes them to be permanently removed from the general election ballot, that candidate will be considered to have received 0% of the vote. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-chris-pappas-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-new-hampshire-KOVWVQg436t4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.3,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:09:59Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.29,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.317071437835693,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":66.7748,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-26T07:46:12.881696Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T07:46:12.881696Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T23:20:45.891821Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-dems-will-underperform-kamala/will-the-alaska-democrat-perform-best-among-these-tossup-senate-races-copy","event_title":"Which Dems will underperform Kamala?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.145,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.42,0.415,0.42,0.425,0.58,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965405","event_id":"1082733","slug":"will-the-michigan-democrat-perform-best-among-these-tossup-senate-races-copy","question":"Will Peggy Flannagan underperform Kamala in Minnesota?","group_item_title":"Peggy Flannagan: MN-Sen","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed Democratic candidate in a statewide midterm election has an unrounded vote share that is lower than the equivalent vote share earned by Kamala Harris in that state in the 2024 Presidential Election. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nVote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant state in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing the named candidate and at least one other candidate.\n\nIf a candidate's vote share is identical to that of Kamala Harris, this market will resolve to \"No\".  \n\nIn the event that the relevant vote share for a candidate cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, or a candidate withdraws from the race in a manner that causes them to be permanently removed from the general election ballot, that candidate will be considered to have received 0% of the vote. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-peggy-flanagan-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-minnesota-mNMien5VY3eJ.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-peggy-flanagan-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-minnesota-mNMien5VY3eJ.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.42,0.58],"probability":0.42,"spread":0.3,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:09:59Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":20.0,"volume_24hr":20.0,"prob_24h_change":0.29,"volume_24h_change":20.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.317071437835693,"normalized_volume":2.719484329223633,"liquidity":49.689,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-26T07:22:15.518819Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T07:22:15.518819Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T23:20:45.891821Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-dems-will-underperform-kamala/will-the-michigan-democrat-perform-best-among-these-tossup-senate-races-copy","event_title":"Which Dems will underperform Kamala?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.165,0.61,0.6,0.44,0.42,0.415,0.42]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965404","event_id":"1082733","slug":"will-the-ohio-democrat-perform-best-among-these-tossup-senate-races-copy","question":"Will Angie Nixon underperform Kamala in Florida?","group_item_title":"Angie Nixon: FL-Sen","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed Democratic candidate in a statewide midterm election has an unrounded vote share that is lower than the equivalent vote share earned by Kamala Harris in that state in the 2024 Presidential Election. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nVote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant state in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing the named candidate and at least one other candidate.\n\nIf a candidate's vote share is identical to that of Kamala Harris, this market will resolve to \"No\".  \n\nIn the event that the relevant vote share for a candidate cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, or a candidate withdraws from the race in a manner that causes them to be permanently removed from the general election ballot, that candidate will be considered to have received 0% of the vote. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-angie-nixon-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-florida-iz17YIXlXpaw.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-angie-nixon-be-the-democratic-nominee-for-senate-in-florida-iz17YIXlXpaw.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:09:59Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5.0,"volume_24hr":5.0,"prob_24h_change":0.035,"volume_24h_change":5.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":1.4952378273010254,"normalized_volume":0.9419060945510864,"liquidity":29.5145,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-26T11:09:28.370111Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T11:09:28.370111Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T23:20:45.891821Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-dems-will-underperform-kamala/will-the-ohio-democrat-perform-best-among-these-tossup-senate-races-copy","event_title":"Which Dems will underperform Kamala?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.155,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.26,0.14,0.16,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965406","event_id":"1082733","slug":"will-the-texas-democrat-perform-best-among-these-tossup-senate-races-copy","question":"Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala in Maine?","group_item_title":"Troy Jackson: ME-Sen","description":"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed Democratic candidate in a statewide midterm election has an unrounded vote share that is lower than the equivalent vote share earned by Kamala Harris in that state in the 2024 Presidential Election. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nVote share percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes for each candidate by the sum of all valid votes cast in the relevant state in the election.\n\nFor elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant vote share will be that of the last-reported round containing the named candidate and at least one other candidate.\n\nIf a candidate's vote share is identical to that of Kamala Harris, this market will resolve to \"No\".  \n\nIn the event that the relevant vote share for a candidate cannot be determined by March 31, 2027, or a candidate withdraws from the race in a manner that causes them to be permanently removed from the general election ballot, that candidate will be considered to have received 0% of the vote. \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democrats-win-the-maine-senate-race-in-2026-Wqdv4uhSS8yi.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democrats-win-the-maine-senate-race-in-2026-Wqdv4uhSS8yi.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.185,0.815],"probability":0.185,"spread":0.15,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:09:59Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.05499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":34.2998,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-26T06:36:20.566406Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T06:36:20.566406Z","added_at":"2026-09-25T23:20:45.891821Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-dems-will-underperform-kamala/will-the-texas-democrat-perform-best-among-these-tossup-senate-races-copy","event_title":"Which Dems will underperform Kamala?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.155,0.16,0.17,0.175,0.29,0.19,0.505,0.33,0.185]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1082733","as_of":"2026-09-26T11:13:11.505040Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which Dems will underperform Kamala?\" — top market at 51% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}