{"source":"polymarket","id":"1082827","ticker":"how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q3-2026","slug":"how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q3-2026","title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q3 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q3 2026 delivery figures by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:46:40Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1640.059913,"volume_24hr":1645.059913,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.589191436767578,"normalized_volume":12.457965850830078,"liquidity":5675.2401,"open_interest":1304.6871390000001,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"tags":[{"id":"104548","slug":"kpis","label":"KPIs"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"728","slug":"tesla","label":"Tesla"},{"id":"101999","slug":"big-tech","label":"Big Tech"},{"id":"107","slug":"business","label":"Business"},{"id":"282","slug":"elon-musk","label":"Elon Musk"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"475k to 500k","top_outcome_probability":0.53,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.4,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":489.79514299999994,"updated_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.201237Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.201237Z","added_at":"2026-09-26T00:06:20.379573Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q3-2026","chart_24h":[5.0,10.0,35.0,35.0,55.1,55.1,55.1,109.447825,109.447825,109.447825,109.447825,109.447825,109.447825,109.447825,109.447825,109.447825,109.447825,109.447825,109.447825,109.447825,109.447825,289.447825,436.62843100000003,436.62843100000003,440.118431,440.118431,440.118431,1524.359913,1524.359913,1524.359913,1645.059913,1645.059913],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965997","event_id":"1082827","slug":"will-tesla-deliver-between-475000-and-500000-vehicles-in-q3-2026","question":"Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026","group_item_title":"475k to 500k","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q3 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q3 2026 delivery figures by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.53,0.47],"probability":0.53,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:46:40Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":489.795143,"volume_24hr":489.79514299999994,"prob_24h_change":0.4,"volume_24h_change":489.79514299999994,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.839712142944336,"normalized_volume":11.26353645324707,"liquidity":275.0369,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.425128Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.425128Z","added_at":"2026-09-26T00:06:20.662339Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q3-2026/will-tesla-deliver-between-475000-and-500000-vehicles-in-q3-2026","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.56,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.275,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.275,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.355,0.365,0.365,0.275,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.265,0.48,0.565,0.665,0.615,0.53]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965993","event_id":"1082827","slug":"will-tesla-deliver-between-375000-and-400000-vehicles-in-q3-2026","question":"Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q3 2026","group_item_title":"375k to 400k","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q3 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q3 2026 delivery figures by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.32,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:46:40Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31.810000000000002,"volume_24hr":31.810000000000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":31.810000000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.3449225425720215,"normalized_volume":3.575045347213745,"liquidity":1157.8014,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.425128Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.425128Z","added_at":"2026-09-26T00:06:20.662339Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q3-2026/will-tesla-deliver-between-375000-and-400000-vehicles-in-q3-2026","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.045,0.05,0.045,0.05,0.135,0.22,0.115,0.22,0.115,0.22,0.1,0.12,0.115,0.105,0.09,0.1,0.115,0.09,0.085,0.195,0.095,0.085,0.05,0.07,0.17]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965996","event_id":"1082827","slug":"will-tesla-deliver-between-450000-and-475000-vehicles-in-q3-2026","question":"Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q3 2026","group_item_title":"450k to 475k","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q3 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q3 2026 delivery figures by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:46:40Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":849.139228,"volume_24hr":849.1392280000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.215,"volume_24h_change":849.1392280000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.958297729492188,"normalized_volume":13.349457740783691,"liquidity":419.5664,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-26T22:04:17.090219Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-26T22:04:17.090219Z","added_at":"2026-09-26T00:06:20.662339Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q3-2026/will-tesla-deliver-between-450000-and-475000-vehicles-in-q3-2026","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.545,0.565,0.55,0.56,0.555,0.66,0.565,0.595,0.57,0.46,0.465,0.46,0.46,0.465,0.465,0.155,0.155,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965994","event_id":"1082827","slug":"will-tesla-deliver-between-400000-and-425000-vehicles-in-q3-2026","question":"Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q3 2026","group_item_title":"400k to 425k","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q3 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q3 2026 delivery figures by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:46:40Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31.810000000000002,"volume_24hr":31.81,"prob_24h_change":-0.12,"volume_24h_change":31.81,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.3449225425720215,"normalized_volume":3.575045347213745,"liquidity":314.8653,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.425128Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.425128Z","added_at":"2026-09-26T00:06:20.662339Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q3-2026/will-tesla-deliver-between-400000-and-425000-vehicles-in-q3-2026","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.055,0.06,0.14,0.13,0.195,0.115,0.2,0.11,0.14,0.145,0.13,0.095,0.185,0.135,0.145,0.125,0.115,0.32,0.12,0.125,0.125,0.12,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965995","event_id":"1082827","slug":"will-tesla-deliver-between-425000-and-450000-vehicles-in-q3-2026","question":"Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q3 2026","group_item_title":"425k to 450k","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q3 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q3 2026 delivery figures by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.17,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:46:40Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":48.15736,"volume_24hr":48.15736,"prob_24h_change":-0.14,"volume_24h_change":48.15736,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.6547064781188965,"normalized_volume":4.451117515563965,"liquidity":678.4332,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.425128Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.425128Z","added_at":"2026-09-26T00:06:20.662339Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q3-2026/will-tesla-deliver-between-425000-and-450000-vehicles-in-q3-2026","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.135,0.13,0.135,0.105,0.14,0.135,0.145,0.125,0.12,0.155,0.08,0.065,0.05,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965992","event_id":"1082827","slug":"will-tesla-deliver-less-than-375000-vehicles-in-q3-2026","question":"Will Tesla deliver less than 375000 vehicles in Q3 2026","group_item_title":"<375k","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q3 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q3 2026 delivery figures by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.18,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:46:40Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31.810000000000002,"volume_24hr":31.810000000000002,"prob_24h_change":-0.145,"volume_24h_change":31.810000000000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.3449225425720215,"normalized_volume":3.575045347213745,"liquidity":500.7747,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.425128Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.425128Z","added_at":"2026-09-26T00:06:20.662339Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q3-2026/will-tesla-deliver-less-than-375000-vehicles-in-q3-2026","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.05,0.05,0.045,0.05,0.195,0.105,0.105,0.15,0.095,0.15,0.095,0.11,0.105,0.115,0.12,0.085,0.26,0.09,0.085,0.045,0.065,0.1]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965998","event_id":"1082827","slug":"will-tesla-deliver-between-500000-and-525000-vehicles-in-q3-2026","question":"Will Tesla deliver between 500000 and 525000 vehicles in Q3 2026","group_item_title":"500k to 525k","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q3 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q3 2026 delivery figures by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:46:40Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":73.91,"volume_24hr":78.91,"prob_24h_change":-0.024999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":73.91,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.41850471496582,"normalized_volume":5.465991020202637,"liquidity":622.7571,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.425128Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.425128Z","added_at":"2026-09-26T00:06:20.662339Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q3-2026/will-tesla-deliver-between-500000-and-525000-vehicles-in-q3-2026","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.115,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.085,0.075,0.105,0.095,0.085,0.105,0.095,0.085,0.105,0.095,0.085,0.105,0.095,0.105,0.095,0.08,0.1,0.095,0.1,0.1,0.085,0.065,0.09,0.085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4965999","event_id":"1082827","slug":"will-tesla-deliver-between-525000-and-550000-vehicles-in-q3-2026","question":"Will Tesla deliver between 525000 and 550000 vehicles in Q3 2026","group_item_title":"525k to 550k","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q3 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q3 2026 delivery figures by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:46:40Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":51.81,"volume_24hr":51.81,"prob_24h_change":-0.19,"volume_24h_change":51.81,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.901872158050537,"normalized_volume":4.616438388824463,"liquidity":1773.6991,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.425128Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.425128Z","added_at":"2026-09-26T00:06:20.662339Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q3-2026/will-tesla-deliver-between-525000-and-550000-vehicles-in-q3-2026","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.22,0.075,0.065,0.075,0.08,0.065,0.05,0.055,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"4966000","event_id":"1082827","slug":"will-tesla-deliver-550000-or-more-vehicles-in-q3-2026","question":"Will Tesla deliver 550000 or more vehicles in Q3 2026","group_item_title":"550k+","description":"This market will resolve according to Tesla's announced total vehicle deliveries for Q3 2026.\n\nIf Tesla does not publish Q3 2026 delivery figures by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be https://ir.tesla.com/press; however, other official company sources or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.\n\nIn the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/350k-tesla-deliveries-in-q1-2025-nC-k6I5kMl5B.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-25T23:46:40Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T00:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31.818182,"volume_24hr":31.818182,"prob_24h_change":-0.18,"volume_24h_change":31.818182,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.345685958862305,"normalized_volume":3.5755560398101807,"liquidity":269.8986,"categories":["Science and Technology","Business"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.425128Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-27T00:04:47.425128Z","added_at":"2026-09-26T00:06:20.662339Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-tesla-deliveries-in-q3-2026/will-tesla-deliver-550000-or-more-vehicles-in-q3-2026","event_title":"How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?","chart_24h":[0.06,0.06,0.055,0.06,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.125,0.12,0.13,0.085,0.105,0.15,0.105,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.075,0.075,0.08,0.075,0.07,0.065]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1082827","as_of":"2026-09-27T00:32:35.478543Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"How many Tesla deliveries in Q3 2026?\" — top market at 16% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}