{"source":"polymarket","id":"1092133","ticker":"openai-resumes-training-by","slug":"openai-resumes-training-by","title":"OpenAI resumes training by...?","description":"On September 25, 2026, amid reports that its AI agents had probed U.S. government websites, including those of the Census Bureau and Education Department, OpenAI disclosed a pause in training, evaluation, and inference involving tool use for its most capable models.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI announces that it has resumed training covered by the pause announced on September 25, 2026, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nResuming training means resuming, in part or in full, training suspended under the pause announced on September 25, 2026, including beginning a fresh training run in place of a suspended run.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through OpenAI's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. The totality of the announcement and its surrounding context must clearly establish that training covered by the pause announced on September 25 has resumed, even if the announcement does not name the incident or specify the date the pause was announced.\n\nStatements that training is permitted, planned, or expected to restart do not by themselves qualify. Training that was not subject to the pause announced on September 25, 2026, does not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the announcement is later modified or withdrawn, or training is subsequently paused again.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-27T14:32:12Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2999.2198540000004,"volume_24hr":3019.219854,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.26936912536621,"normalized_volume":14.5712251663208,"liquidity":1743.41013,"open_interest":1687.087479,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"537","slug":"openai","label":"OpenAI"},{"id":"106216","slug":"ai-safety","label":"AI Safety"},{"id":"105582","slug":"ai-regulation","label":"AI Regulation"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"October 31","top_outcome_probability":0.85,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.09999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":972.9708720000002,"updated_at":"2026-09-28T05:02:09.546104Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T05:02:09.546104Z","added_at":"2026-09-27T14:58:42.772850Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/openai-resumes-training-by","chart_24h":[40.0,262.791854,273.368776,479.418776,494.818776,494.818776,545.678776,565.678776,875.798776,875.798776,965.798776,965.798776,1401.09572,1465.3387670000002,2316.0926950000003,2645.752695,2785.752695,2825.7526949999997,3019.219854],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5031377","event_id":"1092133","slug":"openai-resumes-training-by-october-31-2026","question":"OpenAI resumes training by October 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 31","description":"On September 25, 2026, amid reports that its AI agents had probed U.S. government websites, including those of the Census Bureau and Education Department, OpenAI disclosed a pause in training, evaluation, and inference involving tool use for its most capable models.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI announces that it has resumed training covered by the pause announced on September 25, 2026, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nResuming training means resuming, in part or in full, training suspended under the pause announced on September 25, 2026, including beginning a fresh training run in place of a suspended run.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through OpenAI's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. The totality of the announcement and its surrounding context must clearly establish that training covered by the pause announced on September 25 has resumed, even if the announcement does not name the incident or specify the date the pause was announced.\n\nStatements that training is permitted, planned, or expected to restart do not by themselves qualify. Training that was not subject to the pause announced on September 25, 2026, does not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the announcement is later modified or withdrawn, or training is subsequently paused again.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.85,0.15],"probability":0.85,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-27T14:32:12Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1024.7639760000002,"volume_24hr":1044.7639760000002,"prob_24h_change":0.09999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":972.9708720000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.833515167236328,"normalized_volume":14.103105545043945,"liquidity":829.627,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T04:40:14.820497Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T04:40:14.820497Z","added_at":"2026-09-27T14:58:42.863075Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/openai-resumes-training-by/openai-resumes-training-by-october-31-2026","event_title":"OpenAI resumes training by...?","chart_24h":[0.75,0.74,0.745,0.725,0.725,0.81,0.795,0.785,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.87,0.875,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5031376","event_id":"1092133","slug":"openai-resumes-training-by-october-15-2026","question":"OpenAI resumes training by October 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 15","description":"On September 25, 2026, amid reports that its AI agents had probed U.S. government websites, including those of the Census Bureau and Education Department, OpenAI disclosed a pause in training, evaluation, and inference involving tool use for its most capable models.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI announces that it has resumed training covered by the pause announced on September 25, 2026, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nResuming training means resuming, in part or in full, training suspended under the pause announced on September 25, 2026, including beginning a fresh training run in place of a suspended run.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through OpenAI's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. The totality of the announcement and its surrounding context must clearly establish that training covered by the pause announced on September 25 has resumed, even if the announcement does not name the incident or specify the date the pause was announced.\n\nStatements that training is permitted, planned, or expected to restart do not by themselves qualify. Training that was not subject to the pause announced on September 25, 2026, does not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the announcement is later modified or withdrawn, or training is subsequently paused again.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.705,0.295],"probability":0.705,"spread":0.21,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-27T14:32:12Z","end_date":"2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":196.493047,"volume_24hr":196.493047,"prob_24h_change":0.1499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":176.493047,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.885655403137207,"normalized_volume":8.196977615356445,"liquidity":269.3519,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T02:01:57.369986Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T02:01:57.369986Z","added_at":"2026-09-27T14:58:42.863075Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/openai-resumes-training-by/openai-resumes-training-by-october-15-2026","event_title":"OpenAI resumes training by...?","chart_24h":[0.555,0.725,0.49,0.3,0.295,0.415,0.43,0.445,0.49,0.585,0.69,0.705]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5031375","event_id":"1092133","slug":"openai-resumes-training-by-october-10-2026","question":"OpenAI resumes training by October 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 10","description":"On September 25, 2026, amid reports that its AI agents had probed U.S. government websites, including those of the Census Bureau and Education Department, OpenAI disclosed a pause in training, evaluation, and inference involving tool use for its most capable models.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI announces that it has resumed training covered by the pause announced on September 25, 2026, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nResuming training means resuming, in part or in full, training suspended under the pause announced on September 25, 2026, including beginning a fresh training run in place of a suspended run.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through OpenAI's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. The totality of the announcement and its surrounding context must clearly establish that training covered by the pause announced on September 25 has resumed, even if the announcement does not name the incident or specify the date the pause was announced.\n\nStatements that training is permitted, planned, or expected to restart do not by themselves qualify. Training that was not subject to the pause announced on September 25, 2026, does not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the announcement is later modified or withdrawn, or training is subsequently paused again.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.57,0.43],"probability":0.57,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-27T14:32:13Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":874.2988640000001,"volume_24hr":874.2988639999999,"prob_24h_change":0.285,"volume_24h_change":874.2988639999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.881826400756836,"normalized_volume":13.4651460647583,"liquidity":330.3971,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T05:02:09.779355Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T05:02:09.779355Z","added_at":"2026-09-27T14:58:42.863075Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/openai-resumes-training-by/openai-resumes-training-by-october-10-2026","event_title":"OpenAI resumes training by...?","chart_24h":[0.285,0.6,0.605,0.485,0.265,0.28,0.525,0.345,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.6,0.58,0.565,0.555,0.57]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5031374","event_id":"1092133","slug":"openai-resumes-training-by-october-5-2026","question":"OpenAI resumes training by October 5, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 5","description":"On September 25, 2026, amid reports that its AI agents had probed U.S. government websites, including those of the Census Bureau and Education Department, OpenAI disclosed a pause in training, evaluation, and inference involving tool use for its most capable models.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI announces that it has resumed training covered by the pause announced on September 25, 2026, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nResuming training means resuming, in part or in full, training suspended under the pause announced on September 25, 2026, including beginning a fresh training run in place of a suspended run.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through OpenAI's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. The totality of the announcement and its surrounding context must clearly establish that training covered by the pause announced on September 25 has resumed, even if the announcement does not name the incident or specify the date the pause was announced.\n\nStatements that training is permitted, planned, or expected to restart do not by themselves qualify. Training that was not subject to the pause announced on September 25, 2026, does not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the announcement is later modified or withdrawn, or training is subsequently paused again.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.335,0.665],"probability":0.335,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-27T14:32:13Z","end_date":"2026-10-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":739.553967,"volume_24hr":739.553967,"prob_24h_change":0.165,"volume_24h_change":739.553967,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.010223388671875,"normalized_volume":12.808822631835938,"liquidity":280.7006,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T05:02:09.779355Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T05:02:09.779355Z","added_at":"2026-09-27T14:58:42.863075Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/openai-resumes-training-by/openai-resumes-training-by-october-5-2026","event_title":"OpenAI resumes training by...?","chart_24h":[0.17,0.485,0.445,0.485,0.305,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.315,0.205,0.21,0.205,0.34,0.41,0.415,0.39,0.335]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5031373","event_id":"1092133","slug":"openai-resumes-training-by-september-30-2026","question":"OpenAI resumes training by September 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"September 30","description":"On September 25, 2026, amid reports that its AI agents had probed U.S. government websites, including those of the Census Bureau and Education Department, OpenAI disclosed a pause in training, evaluation, and inference involving tool use for its most capable models.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if OpenAI announces that it has resumed training covered by the pause announced on September 25, 2026, by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nResuming training means resuming, in part or in full, training suspended under the pause announced on September 25, 2026, including beginning a fresh training run in place of a suspended run.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made through OpenAI's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. The totality of the announcement and its surrounding context must clearly establish that training covered by the pause announced on September 25 has resumed, even if the announcement does not name the incident or specify the date the pause was announced.\n\nStatements that training is permitted, planned, or expected to restart do not by themselves qualify. Training that was not subject to the pause announced on September 25, 2026, does not qualify.\n\nIf a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of whether the announcement is later modified or withdrawn, or training is subsequently paused again.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/when-will-gpt-5-be-released-vIPhU76RogZc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.199,0.801],"probability":0.199,"spread":0.3,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-27T14:32:13Z","end_date":"2026-10-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":164.11,"volume_24hr":164.11,"prob_24h_change":0.10900000000000001,"volume_24h_change":164.11,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.160491943359375,"normalized_volume":7.650924205780029,"liquidity":75.16205,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T05:02:09.779355Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T05:02:09.779355Z","added_at":"2026-09-27T14:58:42.863075Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/openai-resumes-training-by/openai-resumes-training-by-september-30-2026","event_title":"OpenAI resumes training by...?","chart_24h":[0.09,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.235,0.22,0.21,0.0325,0.0155,0.016,0.183,0.1695,0.165,0.227,0.199]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1092133","as_of":"2026-09-28T05:18:34.584627Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"OpenAI resumes training by...?\" — top market at 85% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}