{"source":"polymarket","id":"1098367","ticker":"serbia-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory","slug":"serbia-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory","title":"Serbia Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two electoral lists in the specified election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place electoral lists. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two lists receives by the total number of valid votes cast in the election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia attributes them to the named electoral list. 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Vote percentages attributed to other lists or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf a list other than Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia or Student List – Students Win receives the most valid votes, this market will resolve to “Another list wins”.\n\nIf two or more lists tie for the most valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another list wins”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two lists receives by the total number of valid votes cast in the election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia attributes them to the named electoral list. Vote percentages attributed to other lists or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf a list other than Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia or Student List – Students Win receives the most valid votes, this market will resolve to “Another list wins”.\n\nIf two or more lists tie for the most valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another list wins”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two lists receives by the total number of valid votes cast in the election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia attributes them to the named electoral list. Vote percentages attributed to other lists or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf a list other than Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia or Student List – Students Win receives the most valid votes, this market will resolve to “Another list wins”.\n\nIf two or more lists tie for the most valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another list wins”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642-1arHDSHMNTZz.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642-1arHDSHMNTZz.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.139,0.861],"probability":0.139,"spread":0.076,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-28T15:12:35Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":63.5,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0635,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.093606948852539,"liquidity":1799.98906,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Serbia"],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T19:21:49.563364Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T19:21:49.563364Z","added_at":"2026-09-28T15:16:20.130204Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/serbia-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory/will-the-student-list-win-the-2026-serbian-parliamentary-election-by-2-5-percent","event_title":"Serbia Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.2025,0.1905,0.1845,0.1515,0.191,0.1655,0.2025,0.273,0.2025,0.203,0.2025,0.2255,0.1575,0.2025,0.1655,0.26,0.182,0.203,0.2745,0.2685,0.1485,0.2025,0.1615,0.1535,0.2025,0.2045,0.203,0.2515,0.1435,0.139]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5079964","event_id":"1098367","slug":"will-united-serbia-win-the-2026-serbian-parliamentary-election-by-a-margin-of-2-5","question":"Will United Serbia win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 2-5%?","group_item_title":"United Serbia 2-5%","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two electoral lists in the specified election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place electoral lists. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two lists receives by the total number of valid votes cast in the election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia attributes them to the named electoral list. Vote percentages attributed to other lists or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf a list other than Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia or Student List – Students Win receives the most valid votes, this market will resolve to “Another list wins”.\n\nIf two or more lists tie for the most valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another list wins”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642-1arHDSHMNTZz.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642-1arHDSHMNTZz.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.15,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-28T15:12:35Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":63.5,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":5.093606948852539,"liquidity":1416.8431,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Serbia"],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T20:34:19.717054Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T20:34:19.717054Z","added_at":"2026-09-28T15:16:20.130204Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/serbia-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory/will-united-serbia-win-the-2026-serbian-parliamentary-election-by-a-margin-of-2-5","event_title":"Serbia Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.095,0.095,0.14,0.165,0.13,0.145,0.095,0.155,0.105,0.11,0.095,0.095,0.18,0.135,0.165,0.095,0.19,0.135,0.195,0.095,0.095,0.135,0.23,0.165,0.095,0.19,0.095,0.165,0.09,0.095,0.1]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5079982","event_id":"1098367","slug":"will-the-student-list-win-the-2026-serbian-parliamentary-election-by-5-10-percent","question":"Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 5-10%?","group_item_title":"Student List 5-10%","description":"Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two electoral lists in the specified election.\n\nThe “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place electoral lists. Percentages will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two lists receives by the total number of valid votes cast in the election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia attributes them to the named electoral list. Vote percentages attributed to other lists or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.\n\nIf a list other than Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia or Student List – Students Win receives the most valid votes, this market will resolve to “Another list wins”.\n\nIf two or more lists tie for the most valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Another list wins”.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642-1arHDSHMNTZz.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/next-prime-minister-of-serbia-20260629223938642-1arHDSHMNTZz.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.15,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-28T15:12:35Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":163.170141,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":-63.809999999999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.633828163146973,"liquidity":2133.7313,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Serbia"],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T19:46:27.941854Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T19:46:27.941854Z","added_at":"2026-09-28T15:16:20.130204Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/serbia-parliamentary-election-vote-share-margin-of-victory/will-the-student-list-win-the-2026-serbian-parliamentary-election-by-5-10-percent","event_title":"Serbia Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory","chart_24h":[0.1,0.095,0.105,0.095,0.095,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.135,0.125,0.115,0.19,0.135,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.145,0.145,0.1,0.09,0.115,0.11,0.1,0.105,0.105,0.1,0.095,0.08,0.1,0.095]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1098367","as_of":"2026-10-03T20:37:30.716078Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Serbia Parliamentary Election Vote Share Margin of Victory\" — top market at 50% probability across 9 outcomes","source_url":null}}