{"source":"polymarket","id":"1098567","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-30-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-30-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Sep 30 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Sep 30 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-28T16:07:10Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T16:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-30T16:20:38Z","volume":309000.95852000016,"volume_24hr":305755.292017,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":70.399658203125,"normalized_volume":36.321815490722656,"liquidity":null,"open_interest":150563.918972,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":1.0,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.43999999999999995,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":272981.69791700004,"updated_at":"2026-09-30T16:43:09.361978Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T16:43:09.361978Z","added_at":"2026-09-28T16:31:42.939187Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-30-2026","chart_24h":[32773.5941,34539.863986000004,34907.27936000001,36508.76923500001,37236.16138100001,39160.76793600002,42126.83720800001,46388.80110100002,47637.494650000015,56407.71596,58129.34164100001,121557.41661400002,173445.51103400002,241960.136885,277483.16926199995,305755.292017],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5082315","event_id":"1098567","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-30-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the Sep 30 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the Sep 30 '26 12:00 ET candle.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.001,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-09-28T16:07:10Z","end_date":"2026-09-30T16:00:00Z","closed_time":"2026-09-30T16:20:38Z","volume":309000.95852000016,"volume_24hr":305755.292017,"prob_24h_change":0.43999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":272981.69791700004,"normalized_vol_24hr":71.82427215576172,"normalized_volume":46.883296966552734,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-09-30T16:43:09.777280Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T16:43:09.777280Z","added_at":"2026-09-28T16:31:45.989718Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-30-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-september-30-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30?","chart_24h":[0.56,0.635,0.505,0.595,0.585,0.53,0.72,0.815,0.785,0.815,0.945,0.9815,0.9625,0.9635,0.9995,1.0]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1098567","as_of":"2026-09-30T23:58:58.725640Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30?\" — top market at 100% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}