{"source":"polymarket","id":"1099774","ticker":"ohio-senate-election-mahoning-county-winner","slug":"ohio-senate-election-mahoning-county-winner","title":"Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner","description":"This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Mahoning County in the special election for United States Senator from Ohio, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThe candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThe nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.\n\nIf the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Ohio, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Mahoning County.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mi-033e1ebb70.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mi-033e1ebb70.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-28T20:07:52Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2298.846387,"volume_24hr":1372.473845,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.576854705810547,"normalized_volume":13.617210388183594,"liquidity":919.5773,"open_interest":894.0667450000001,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1101","slug":"us-presidential-election","label":"US Election"},{"id":"104002","slug":"ohio-midterm","label":"Ohio Midterm"},{"id":"100199","slug":"senate-elections","label":"Senate"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Sherrod Brown (D)","top_outcome_probability":0.6,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.03500000000000003,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":136.72000000000003,"updated_at":"2026-10-05T11:51:33.583761Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T11:51:33.583761Z","added_at":"2026-09-28T20:30:17.913254Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ohio-senate-election-mahoning-county-winner","chart_24h":[385.43,385.43,385.43,263.21000000000004,263.21,373.21000000000004,523.83,623.83,623.83,623.83,603.83,603.83,603.83,603.83,582.83,582.83,582.83,582.83,582.83,582.83,632.83,662.83,584.83,460.62,480.62,1160.193845,1160.193845,1178.193845,1178.193845,1372.473845],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5091119","event_id":"1099774","slug":"will-the-democrats-win-mahoning-county-in-the-ohio-senate-race-in-2026","question":"Will the Democrats win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Sherrod Brown (D)","description":"This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Mahoning County in the special election for United States Senator from Ohio, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThe candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThe nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.\n\nIf the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Ohio, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Mahoning County.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democrats-win-the-ohio-senate-race-in-2026-0XjMQLvlSjIz.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-democrats-win-the-ohio-senate-race-in-2026-0XjMQLvlSjIz.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.6,0.4],"probability":0.6,"spread":0.44,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-28T20:07:52Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":808.761112,"volume_24hr":337.04,"prob_24h_change":0.03500000000000003,"volume_24h_change":136.72000000000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.432878494262695,"normalized_volume":13.157548904418945,"liquidity":331.8533,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T11:51:37.912349Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T11:51:37.912349Z","added_at":"2026-09-28T20:30:18.108681Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ohio-senate-election-mahoning-county-winner/will-the-democrats-win-mahoning-county-in-the-ohio-senate-race-in-2026","event_title":"Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner","chart_24h":[0.565,0.585,0.49,0.685,0.64,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.555,0.565,0.555,0.565,0.565,0.545,0.525,0.555,0.545,0.475,0.565,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.6]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5091120","event_id":"1099774","slug":"will-the-republicans-win-mahoning-county-in-the-ohio-senate-race-in-2026","question":"Will the Republicans win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Jon Husted (R)","description":"This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Mahoning County in the special election for United States Senator from Ohio, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThe candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThe nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.\n\nIf the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Ohio, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Mahoning County.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-republicans-win-the-ohio-senate-race-in-2026-7vlZy_tvus9P.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-the-republicans-win-the-ohio-senate-race-in-2026-7vlZy_tvus9P.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-28T20:07:52Z","end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1490.085275,"volume_24hr":1035.433845,"prob_24h_change":-0.28,"volume_24h_change":850.323845,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.099105834960938,"normalized_volume":15.665968894958496,"liquidity":583.8806,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T11:51:37.912349Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T11:51:37.912349Z","added_at":"2026-09-28T20:30:18.108681Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ohio-senate-election-mahoning-county-winner/will-the-republicans-win-mahoning-county-in-the-ohio-senate-race-in-2026","event_title":"Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner","chart_24h":[0.34,0.32,0.315,0.31,0.4,0.315,0.305,0.325,0.33,0.325,0.31,0.325,0.32,0.415,0.32,0.42,0.475,0.44,0.45,0.35,0.36,0.235,0.22,0.15]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5091131","event_id":"1099774","slug":"will-a-candidate-not-listed-above-win-mahoning-county-in-the-ohio-senate-race-in-2026","question":"Will a candidate not listed above win Mahoning County in the Ohio Senate race in 2026?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Mahoning County in the special election for United States Senator from Ohio, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThe candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThe nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.\n\nIf the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Ohio, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Mahoning County.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fg-226eaa95c5.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/fg-226eaa95c5.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-11-03T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-09-28T20:30:18.108681Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-28T20:30:18.108681Z","added_at":"2026-09-28T20:30:18.108681Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ohio-senate-election-mahoning-county-winner/will-a-candidate-not-listed-above-win-mahoning-county-in-the-ohio-senate-race-in-2026","event_title":"Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1099774","as_of":"2026-10-05T12:12:48.322499Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner\" — top market at 15% probability across 3 outcomes","source_url":null}}