{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1105860","as_of":"2026-10-15T00:28:29.292848Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Nothing Ever Happens: October\" — 94% as of 2026-10-14 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1105860","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-october-26"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1105860","ticker":"nothing-ever-happens-october-26","slug":"nothing-ever-happens-october-26","title":"Nothing Ever Happens: October","description":"This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150\n- Bitcoin all time high\n- Any G7 leader out (Carney, Macron, Merz, Meloni, Takaichi, Burnham, Trump)\n- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal\n- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire\n- Putin out as President of Russia\n- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president\n- Fed rate cut\n- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed\n- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here:\nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_Oct_26.pdf","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-29T23:33:32Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":11671.255819,"volume_24hr":3308.75,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.994524002075195,"normalized_volume":19.923255920410156,"liquidity":17788.1746,"open_interest":8772.366562,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101337","slug":"parlays","label":"Parlays"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.94,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1379.67165,"updated_at":"2026-10-14T23:59:59.832507Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T23:59:59.832507Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T04:59:57.451882Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-october-26","chart_24h":[1929.07835,1929.07835,1929.07835,1929.07835,1929.07835,1929.07835,1969.07835,1969.07835,1969.07835,1969.07835,1969.07835,2337.07835,2337.07835,2137.0783500000002,2137.0783500000002,2036.5221000000001,2130.2721,2122.5821,2122.5821,2475.7821,2475.7821,2475.7821,3308.75,3308.75,3308.75,3308.75,3308.75],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5143882","event_id":"1105860","slug":"nothing-ever-happens-october-26","question":"Nothing Ever Happens: October","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150\n- Bitcoin all time high\n- Any G7 leader out (Carney, Macron, Merz, Meloni, Takaichi, Burnham, Trump)\n- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal\n- Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire\n- Putin out as President of Russia\n- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president\n- Fed rate cut\n- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed\n- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here:\nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_Oct_26.pdf","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nothing-ever-happens-july-lwg0Ik2C_PNx.png","outcomes":["Nothing","Something"],"outcome_prices":[0.94,0.06],"probability":0.94,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-29T23:33:32Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":11671.255819,"volume_24hr":3308.75,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":1379.67165,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.326431274414062,"normalized_volume":25.73125457763672,"liquidity":16668.0838,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-14T20:39:47.364889Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T20:39:47.364889Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T04:59:57.546505Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-october-26/nothing-ever-happens-october-26","event_title":"Nothing Ever Happens: October","chart_24h":[0.94,0.94,0.94,0.945,0.955,0.955,0.955,0.955,0.955,0.955,0.955,0.955,0.955,0.94]}]}