{"source":"polymarket","id":"1107821","ticker":"next-israeli-minister-of-justice","slug":"next-israeli-minister-of-justice","title":"Next Israeli Minister of Justice?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Justice are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Minister of Justice assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T09:19:08Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1878.7553249999999,"volume_24hr":1878.755325,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.080839157104492,"normalized_volume":12.918173789978027,"liquidity":2026.77789,"open_interest":656.6972010000001,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"104793","slug":"israel-election","label":"Israel Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Person A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-01T11:30:09.996415Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T11:30:09.996415Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.107430Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-justice","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,80.0,163.06,186.145715,312.362579,312.362579,521.362579,700.362579,742.362579,775.934948,775.934948,1807.7553249999999,1817.7553249999999,1837.755325],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5151718","event_id":"1107821","slug":"will-yariv-levin-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-justice","question":"Will Yariv Levin be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?","group_item_title":"Yariv Levin","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Justice are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Minister of Justice assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-yariv-levin-808f1837b7.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-yariv-levin-808f1837b7.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.69],"probability":0.31,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T09:19:08Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":143.085715,"volume_24hr":143.085715,"prob_24h_change":-0.12,"volume_24h_change":143.085715,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.122726440429688,"normalized_volume":7.248236179351807,"liquidity":243.8788,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T11:30:10.404379Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T11:30:10.404379Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-justice/will-yariv-levin-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-justice","event_title":"Next Israeli Minister of Justice?","chart_24h":[0.43,0.425,0.255,0.515,0.515,0.37,0.385,0.315,0.34,0.325,0.365,0.205,0.205,0.2,0.345,0.235,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5151749","event_id":"1107821","slug":"will-no-next-israeli-minister-of-justice-be-appointed-by-february-28-2027","question":"Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?","group_item_title":"No Next Minister by Feb 28","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Justice are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Minister of Justice assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.14,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T09:19:08Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":68.1,"volume_24hr":68.1,"prob_24h_change":-0.27999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":68.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.076955795288086,"normalized_volume":5.263429164886475,"liquidity":228.8515,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T11:09:09.438406Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T11:09:09.438406Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-justice/will-no-next-israeli-minister-of-justice-be-appointed-by-february-28-2027","event_title":"Next Israeli Minister of Justice?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.455,0.455,0.465,0.45,0.46,0.455,0.465,0.47,0.455,0.475,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.225,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.175,0.155,0.18,0.125,0.16,0.045,0.06,0.275,0.235,0.2]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5151722","event_id":"1107821","slug":"will-simcha-rothman-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-justice","question":"Will Simcha Rothman be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?","group_item_title":"Simcha Rothman","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Justice are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Minister of Justice assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-simcha-rothman-3d65f4b3a9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-simcha-rothman-3d65f4b3a9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.195,0.805],"probability":0.195,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T09:19:08Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":389.380377,"volume_24hr":389.380377,"prob_24h_change":-0.235,"volume_24h_change":389.380377,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.03086280822754,"normalized_volume":10.446672439575195,"liquidity":621.651,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T11:30:10.404379Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T11:30:10.404379Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-justice/will-simcha-rothman-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-justice","event_title":"Next Israeli Minister of Justice?","chart_24h":[0.43,0.25,0.265,0.205,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.205,0.21,0.225,0.19,0.195]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5151719","event_id":"1107821","slug":"will-gideon-saar-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-justice","question":"Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?","group_item_title":"Gideon Sa’ar","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Justice are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Minister of Justice assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-gideon-sa-ar-5325d9f8b5.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-gideon-sa-ar-5325d9f8b5.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.82],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.28,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T09:19:08Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":273.287369,"volume_24hr":273.287369,"prob_24h_change":-0.07500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":273.287369,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.190549850463867,"normalized_volume":9.247413635253906,"liquidity":238.2346,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T11:30:10.404379Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T11:30:10.404379Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-justice/will-gideon-saar-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-justice","event_title":"Next Israeli Minister of Justice?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.23,0.23,0.215,0.37,0.2,0.215,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.195,0.205,0.205,0.08,0.08,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5151721","event_id":"1107821","slug":"will-amir-ohana-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-justice","question":"Will Amir Ohana be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?","group_item_title":"Amir Ohana","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. 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Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Justice are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Minister of Justice assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-ayelet-shaked-adb9e47abe.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-ayelet-shaked-adb9e47abe.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0115,0.9885],"probability":0.0115,"spread":0.017,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T09:19:08Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":641.2768639999999,"volume_24hr":641.276864,"prob_24h_change":-0.23349999999999999,"volume_24h_change":641.276864,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.817710876464844,"normalized_volume":12.262749671936035,"liquidity":299.37597,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T11:09:09.438406Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T11:09:09.438406Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-justice/will-ayelet-shaked-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-justice","event_title":"Next Israeli Minister of Justice?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.22,0.225,0.235,0.225,0.245,0.135,0.33,0.215,0.18,0.145,0.05,0.011,0.0115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5151750","event_id":"1107821","slug":"will-another-individual-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-justice","question":"Will another individual be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Justice in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Justice will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Minister of Justice” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Justice are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Minister of Justice assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-justice/will-another-individual-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-justice","event_title":"Next Israeli Minister of Justice?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1107821","as_of":"2026-10-01T11:48:31.779363Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next Israeli Minister of Justice?\" — top market at 1% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}