{"source":"polymarket","id":"1107823","ticker":"next-israeli-minister-of-interior","slug":"next-israeli-minister-of-interior","title":"Next Israeli Minister of Interior?","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Interior in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Interior will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Minister of Interior” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Interior are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Minister of Interior assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T09:20:56Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":665.793202,"volume_24hr":665.793202,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.65883445739746,"normalized_volume":9.610445976257324,"liquidity":1248.4923,"open_interest":419.817029,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"104793","slug":"israel-election","label":"Israel Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Person A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-01T10:48:46.373386Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T10:48:46.373386Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.107430Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-interior","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,61.0,115.506173,152.543202,152.543202,152.543202,197.523202,417.52320199999997,417.52320199999997,457.523202,457.52320199999997,457.52320199999997,457.523202,457.52320199999997,557.523202,577.523202,577.523202,577.523202,665.793202],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5151788","event_id":"1107823","slug":"will-israel-katz-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-interior","question":"Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?","group_item_title":"Israel Katz","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Interior in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Interior will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Minister of Interior” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Interior are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Minister of Interior assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-israel-katz-d5c3b05934.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-israel-katz-d5c3b05934.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.69],"probability":0.31,"spread":0.34,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T09:20:56Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":80.0,"volume_24hr":80.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.14,"volume_24h_change":80.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.694328308105469,"normalized_volume":5.665745735168457,"liquidity":182.5077,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T10:48:46.552041Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T10:48:46.552041Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-interior/will-israel-katz-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-interior","event_title":"Next Israeli Minister of Interior?","chart_24h":[0.435,0.26,0.225,0.26,0.23,0.215,0.26,0.27,0.245,0.29,0.24,0.31,0.335,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.3,0.295]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5151786","event_id":"1107823","slug":"will-moshe-arbel-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-interior","question":"Will Moshe Arbel be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?","group_item_title":"Moshe Arbel","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Interior in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Interior will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Minister of Interior” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Interior are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Minister of Interior assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-moshe-arbel-89f33127b4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-moshe-arbel-89f33127b4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T09:20:56Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":417.523202,"volume_24hr":417.52320199999997,"prob_24h_change":-0.33,"volume_24h_change":417.523202,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.407068252563477,"normalized_volume":10.691829681396484,"liquidity":313.7854,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T10:48:46.552041Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T10:48:46.552041Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-interior/will-moshe-arbel-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-interior","event_title":"Next Israeli Minister of Interior?","chart_24h":[0.435,0.43,0.265,0.38,0.205,0.195,0.2,0.215,0.215,0.145,0.145,0.115,0.11,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.1,0.1,0.105,0.105,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5151787","event_id":"1107823","slug":"will-ayelet-shaked-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-interior","question":"Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?","group_item_title":"Ayelet Shaked","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Interior in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Interior will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Minister of Interior” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Interior are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Minister of Interior assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-ayelet-shaked-adb9e47abe.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-ayelet-shaked-adb9e47abe.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T09:20:56Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":168.26999999999998,"volume_24hr":168.26999999999998,"prob_24h_change":-0.36,"volume_24h_change":168.26999999999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.855365753173828,"normalized_volume":7.725667953491211,"liquidity":169.3872,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T10:48:46.552041Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T10:48:46.552041Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-interior/will-ayelet-shaked-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-interior","event_title":"Next Israeli Minister of Interior?","chart_24h":[0.435,0.43,0.435,0.26,0.26,0.215,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.245,0.245,0.225,0.225,0.24,0.235,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.065,0.075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5151816","event_id":"1107823","slug":"will-another-individual-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-interior","question":"Will another individual be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Interior in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Interior will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Minister of Interior” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Interior are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Minister of Interior assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","fetched_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-interior/will-another-individual-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-interior","event_title":"Next Israeli Minister of Interior?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5151815","event_id":"1107823","slug":"will-no-next-israeli-minister-of-interior-be-appointed-by-february-28-2027","question":"Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?","group_item_title":"No Next Minister by Feb 28","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Interior in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Interior will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Minister of Interior” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Interior are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Minister of Interior assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/flag+israel.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.295,0.705],"probability":0.295,"spread":0.37,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T09:20:56Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.175,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":178.3779,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T10:48:46.552041Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T10:48:46.552041Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-interior/will-no-next-israeli-minister-of-interior-be-appointed-by-february-28-2027","event_title":"Next Israeli Minister of Interior?","chart_24h":[0.47,0.475,0.465,0.485,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.465,0.475,0.435,0.445,0.235,0.26,0.21,0.215,0.255,0.29,0.285,0.285,0.305,0.21,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.305,0.305]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5151784","event_id":"1107823","slug":"will-yariv-levin-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-interior","question":"Will Yariv Levin be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?","group_item_title":"Yariv Levin","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Interior in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Interior will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Minister of Interior” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Interior are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Minister of Interior assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-yariv-levin-808f1837b7.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-yariv-levin-808f1837b7.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.215,0.785],"probability":0.215,"spread":0.37,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T09:20:56Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.215,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":184.6266,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T10:48:46.552041Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T10:48:46.552041Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-interior/will-yariv-levin-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-interior","event_title":"Next Israeli Minister of Interior?","chart_24h":[0.435,0.43,0.26,0.265,0.25,0.25,0.265,0.21,0.205,0.195,0.23,0.225,0.23,0.23,0.215,0.21,0.195,0.205,0.215,0.21,0.22]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5151785","event_id":"1107823","slug":"will-aryeh-deri-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-interior","question":"Will Aryeh Deri be the next Israeli Minister of Interior?","group_item_title":"Aryeh Deri","description":"This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Interior in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Interior will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe individual must be appointed as “Minister of Interior” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.\n\nIf the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Interior are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf no such Minister of Interior assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-aryeh-deri-8ba59f0f0a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/israel-aryeh-deri-8ba59f0f0a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.215,0.785],"probability":0.215,"spread":0.37,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T09:20:56Z","end_date":"2027-03-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.215,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":184.3975,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Israel"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T10:48:46.552041Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T10:48:46.552041Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/next-israeli-minister-of-interior/will-aryeh-deri-be-the-next-israeli-minister-of-interior","event_title":"Next Israeli Minister of Interior?","chart_24h":[0.435,0.385,0.215,0.215,0.21,0.19,0.205,0.195,0.205,0.205,0.2,0.195,0.27,0.2,0.205,0.165,0.215,0.22]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1107823","as_of":"2026-10-01T10:49:02.947059Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Next Israeli Minister of Interior?\" — top market at 10% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}