{"source":"polymarket","id":"1107841","ticker":"lai-ching-te-visits-us-by","slug":"lai-ching-te-visits-us-by","title":"Lai Ching-te visits US by...?","description":"If Lai Ching-te visits the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Lai Ching-te physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Lai Ching-te enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/taiwan-lai-ching-te-79b13f77fc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/taiwan-lai-ching-te-79b13f77fc.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T09:23:08Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":554.3464730000001,"volume_24hr":370.2464729999999,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.4493408203125,"normalized_volume":9.077445030212402,"liquidity":2716.6361,"open_interest":47.236473,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"303","slug":"china","label":"China"},{"id":"126","slug":"trump","label":"Trump"},{"id":"867","slug":"taiwan","label":"Taiwan"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"June 30","top_outcome_probability":0.345,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.135,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":113.90235299999998,"updated_at":"2026-10-01T12:10:23.928636Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T12:10:23.928636Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.107430Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/lai-ching-te-visits-us-by","chart_24h":[184.1,204.1,204.1,204.1,269.1,291.1,291.1,291.1,291.1,291.1,313.32222,313.32222,313.32222,425.814573,450.926473,450.926473,450.926473,450.926473,450.926473,450.926473,450.926473,450.926473,450.926473,450.926473,450.926473,450.926473,554.346473,554.346473,554.346473,370.2464729999999,370.246473,370.2464729999999],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5151846","event_id":"1107841","slug":"lai-ching-te-visits-us-by-june-30","question":"Lai Ching-te visits US by June 30?","group_item_title":"June 30","description":"If Lai Ching-te visits the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Lai Ching-te physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Lai Ching-te enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.345,0.655],"probability":0.345,"spread":0.17,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T09:23:08Z","end_date":"2027-07-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":482.102353,"volume_24hr":298.00235299999997,"prob_24h_change":-0.135,"volume_24h_change":113.90235299999998,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.630043983459473,"normalized_volume":11.206171989440918,"liquidity":938.2568,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Taiwan","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T12:10:24.215113Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T12:10:24.215113Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/lai-ching-te-visits-us-by/lai-ching-te-visits-us-by-june-30","event_title":"Lai Ching-te visits US by...?","chart_24h":[0.48,0.3,0.5,0.245,0.245,0.24,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.365,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5151845","event_id":"1107841","slug":"lai-ching-te-visits-us-by-december-31","question":"Lai Ching-te visits US by December 31?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"If Lai Ching-te visits the United States between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a \"visit\" is defined as Lai Ching-te physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States. Whether or not Lai Ching-te enters US airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the US or Taiwan, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.155,0.845],"probability":0.155,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T09:23:08Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":72.24412000000001,"volume_24hr":72.24412,"prob_24h_change":-0.15,"volume_24h_change":72.24412,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.300616264343262,"normalized_volume":5.4091796875,"liquidity":1748.3993,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Taiwan","United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T12:10:24.215113Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T12:10:24.215113Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T09:30:48.161533Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/lai-ching-te-visits-us-by/lai-ching-te-visits-us-by-december-31","event_title":"Lai Ching-te visits US by...?","chart_24h":[0.305,0.3,0.29,0.125,0.13,0.135,0.145,0.115,0.11,0.125,0.135,0.16,0.13,0.125,0.12,0.11,0.105,0.105,0.1,0.125,0.15,0.145,0.15]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1107841","as_of":"2026-10-01T12:20:58.786578Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Lai Ching-te visits US by...?\" — top market at 34% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}