{"source":"polymarket","id":"1108649","ticker":"precipitation-in-nyc-in-october-2026","slug":"precipitation-in-nyc-in-october-2026","title":"Precipitation in NYC in October?","description":"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between October 1 and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for October 2026 when the \"Monthly summarized data\" for \"Central Park NY\" is selected with the variable set to \"Precipitation\" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026.\n\nIf the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-nyc-in-december-evCK5_m68T0x.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-nyc-in-december-evCK5_m68T0x.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:39:06Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":455.99,"volume_24hr":455.99,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.553531646728516,"normalized_volume":8.52608585357666,"liquidity":1252.1856,"open_interest":361.999999,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[{"id":"84","slug":"weather","label":"Weather"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"103041","slug":"precipitation","label":"Precipitation"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"<3\"","top_outcome_probability":0.295,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.03999999999999998,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":60.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-01T08:49:05.882447Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T08:49:05.882447Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.782043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-nyc-in-october-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,20.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,135.99,155.99,155.99,155.99,155.99,315.99,315.99],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154736","event_id":"1108649","slug":"precipitation-nyc-2026-10-b1","question":"Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in October?","group_item_title":"<3\"","description":"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between October 1 and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for October 2026 when the \"Monthly summarized data\" for \"Central Park NY\" is selected with the variable set to \"Precipitation\" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026.\n\nIf the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.295,0.705],"probability":0.295,"spread":0.29,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:39:06Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":60.0,"volume_24hr":60.0,"prob_24h_change":0.03999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":60.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":7.608436584472656,"normalized_volume":4.958113670349121,"liquidity":186.0025,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T08:49:05.998346Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T08:49:05.998346Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-nyc-in-october-2026/precipitation-nyc-2026-10-b1","event_title":"Precipitation in NYC in October?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.255,0.345,0.335,0.32,0.325,0.355,0.35,0.34,0.355,0.335,0.325,0.33,0.34,0.52,0.325,0.315,0.345,0.3,0.315,0.3]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154741","event_id":"1108649","slug":"precipitation-nyc-2026-10-b6","question":"Will NYC have more than 6.25 inches of precipitation in October?","group_item_title":">6.25\"","description":"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between October 1 and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for October 2026 when the \"Monthly summarized data\" for \"Central Park NY\" is selected with the variable set to \"Precipitation\" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026.\n\nIf the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.295,0.705],"probability":0.295,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:39:06Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":155.99,"volume_24hr":155.99,"prob_24h_change":0.03999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":155.99,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.509926795959473,"normalized_volume":7.500558853149414,"liquidity":361.238,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T08:49:05.998346Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T08:49:05.998346Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-nyc-in-october-2026/precipitation-nyc-2026-10-b6","event_title":"Precipitation in NYC in October?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.14,0.095,0.155,0.14,0.175,0.155,0.145,0.295,0.285,0.14,0.295,0.295]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154737","event_id":"1108649","slug":"precipitation-nyc-2026-10-b2","question":"Will NYC have between 3 and 4.25 inches of precipitation in October?","group_item_title":"3-4.25\"","description":"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between October 1 and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for October 2026 when the \"Monthly summarized data\" for \"Central Park NY\" is selected with the variable set to \"Precipitation\" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026.\n\nIf the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.265,0.735],"probability":0.265,"spread":0.31,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:39:06Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":120.0,"volume_24hr":120.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":120.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.354939460754395,"normalized_volume":6.747899532318115,"liquidity":177.4945,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T08:49:05.998346Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T08:49:05.998346Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-nyc-in-october-2026/precipitation-nyc-2026-10-b2","event_title":"Precipitation in NYC in October?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.14,0.155,0.155,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.135,0.28,0.305,0.5,0.505,0.475,0.485,0.495,0.305,0.47,0.45,0.195,0.21,0.19,0.43]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154738","event_id":"1108649","slug":"precipitation-nyc-2026-10-b3","question":"Will NYC have between 4.25 and 4.75 inches of precipitation in October?","group_item_title":"4.25-4.75\"","description":"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between October 1 and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for October 2026 when the \"Monthly summarized data\" for \"Central Park NY\" is selected with the variable set to \"Precipitation\" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026.\n\nIf the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:39:06Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.208845138549805,"normalized_volume":4.046056270599365,"liquidity":187.842,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T08:49:05.998346Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T08:49:05.998346Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-nyc-in-october-2026/precipitation-nyc-2026-10-b3","event_title":"Precipitation in NYC in October?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.14,0.155,0.22,0.35,0.21,0.21,0.215,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.285,0.14,0.27,0.21,0.165,0.165,0.21]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154739","event_id":"1108649","slug":"precipitation-nyc-2026-10-b4","question":"Will NYC have between 4.75 and 5.25 inches of precipitation in October?","group_item_title":"4.75-5.25\"","description":"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between October 1 and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for October 2026 when the \"Monthly summarized data\" for \"Central Park NY\" is selected with the variable set to \"Precipitation\" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026.\n\nIf the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.2,0.8],"probability":0.2,"spread":0.28,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:39:06Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.05499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.208845138549805,"normalized_volume":4.046056270599365,"liquidity":165.4344,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T08:49:05.998346Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T08:49:05.998346Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-nyc-in-october-2026/precipitation-nyc-2026-10-b4","event_title":"Precipitation in NYC in October?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.14,0.155,0.13,0.33,0.225,0.15,0.155,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.085,0.085,0.14,0.095,0.15]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154740","event_id":"1108649","slug":"precipitation-nyc-2026-10-b5","question":"Will NYC have between 5.25 and 6.25 inches of precipitation in October?","group_item_title":"5.25-6.25\"","description":"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between October 1 and October 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for October 2026 when the \"Monthly summarized data\" for \"Central Park NY\" is selected with the variable set to \"Precipitation\" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of October 2026.\n\nIf the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:39:06Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.16999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.208845138549805,"normalized_volume":4.046056270599365,"liquidity":141.5,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T08:49:05.998346Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T08:49:05.998346Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-nyc-in-october-2026/precipitation-nyc-2026-10-b5","event_title":"Precipitation in NYC in October?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.195,0.2,0.245,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.135,0.13,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.09]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1108649","as_of":"2026-10-01T08:59:32.646022Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Precipitation in NYC in October?\" — top market at 30% probability across 6 outcomes","source_url":null}}