{"source":"polymarket","id":"1108650","ticker":"precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z","slug":"precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z","title":"Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?","description":"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between October 1 and October 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.\n\nIf the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Total Rainfall (mm)\" figure for all days in October 2026 under the \"Daily Extract\" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.\n\nIf the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-march-ZJ5oq2Eiyz9P.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-march-ZJ5oq2Eiyz9P.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:39:30Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1440.2370870000002,"volume_24hr":1440.2370870000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.3444881439209,"normalized_volume":12.023845672607422,"liquidity":848.37362,"open_interest":682.5910369999999,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[{"id":"84","slug":"weather","label":"Weather"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"103041","slug":"precipitation","label":"Precipitation"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"70-120mm","top_outcome_probability":0.205,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.03,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":454.462353,"updated_at":"2026-10-01T11:30:17.142544Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T11:30:17.142544Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.782043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z","chart_24h":[0.0,400.88,420.88,420.88,420.88,420.88,420.88,420.88,426.762353,426.762353,446.762353,446.762353,446.762353,446.762353,446.762353,466.762353,466.762353,847.077087,1440.2370870000002,1440.2370870000002,1440.2370870000002,1440.2370870000002,1440.2370870000002,1440.2370870000002,1440.237087,1440.2370870000002,1440.2370870000002,1440.2370870000002,1440.2370870000002],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154746","event_id":"1108650","slug":"precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z-will-hong-kong-have-between-70-120mm-of-precipitation-in-october","question":"Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?","group_item_title":"70-120mm","description":"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between October 1 and October 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.\n\nIf the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Total Rainfall (mm)\" figure for all days in October 2026 under the \"Daily Extract\" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.\n\nIf the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.205,0.795],"probability":0.205,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:39:30Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":454.46235300000006,"volume_24hr":454.462353,"prob_24h_change":0.03,"volume_24h_change":454.462353,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.87004852294922,"normalized_volume":10.993535041809082,"liquidity":95.8937,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["Hong Kong"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T11:30:17.616119Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T11:30:17.616119Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z-will-hong-kong-have-between-70-120mm-of-precipitation-in-october","event_title":"Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?","chart_24h":[0.175,0.17,0.18,0.165,0.165,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.175,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.195,0.2,0.205,0.205]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154745","event_id":"1108650","slug":"precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z-will-hong-kong-have-between-50-70mm-of-precipitation-in-october","question":"Will Hong Kong have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?","group_item_title":"50-70mm","description":"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between October 1 and October 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.\n\nIf the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Total Rainfall (mm)\" figure for all days in October 2026 under the \"Daily Extract\" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.\n\nIf the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.17,0.83],"probability":0.17,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:39:30Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":76.012353,"volume_24hr":76.012353,"prob_24h_change":-0.004999999999999977,"volume_24h_change":76.012353,"normalized_vol_24hr":8.495715141296387,"normalized_volume":5.536317825317383,"liquidity":87.9308,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["Hong Kong"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T11:09:13.266373Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T11:09:13.266373Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z-will-hong-kong-have-between-50-70mm-of-precipitation-in-october","event_title":"Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?","chart_24h":[0.175,0.11,0.11,0.115,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.135,0.165,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154744","event_id":"1108650","slug":"precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z-will-hong-kong-have-between-40-50mm-of-precipitation-in-october","question":"Will Hong Kong have between 40-50mm of precipitation in October?","group_item_title":"40-50mm","description":"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between October 1 and October 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.\n\nIf the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Total Rainfall (mm)\" figure for all days in October 2026 under the \"Daily Extract\" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.\n\nIf the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.16,0.84],"probability":0.16,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:39:30Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":96.082381,"volume_24hr":96.082381,"prob_24h_change":-0.014999999999999986,"volume_24h_change":96.082381,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.42574405670166,"normalized_volume":6.142380237579346,"liquidity":135.8735,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["Hong Kong"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T10:29:18.671485Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T10:29:18.671485Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z-will-hong-kong-have-between-40-50mm-of-precipitation-in-october","event_title":"Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?","chart_24h":[0.175,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.135,0.15,0.135,0.15,0.145,0.16,0.17,0.185,0.185,0.19,0.195,0.16]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154743","event_id":"1108650","slug":"precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z-will-hong-kong-have-between-20-40mm-of-precipitation-in-october","question":"Will Hong Kong have between 20-40mm of precipitation in October?","group_item_title":"20-40mm","description":"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between October 1 and October 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.\n\nIf the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Total Rainfall (mm)\" figure for all days in October 2026 under the \"Daily Extract\" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.\n\nIf the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:39:30Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":130.13,"volume_24hr":130.13,"prob_24h_change":-0.09499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":130.13,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.705038070678711,"normalized_volume":6.97604513168335,"liquidity":157.929,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["Hong Kong"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T07:09:19.551092Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T07:09:19.551092Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z-will-hong-kong-have-between-20-40mm-of-precipitation-in-october","event_title":"Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?","chart_24h":[0.175,0.11,0.115,0.11,0.115,0.11,0.135,0.125,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154747","event_id":"1108650","slug":"precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z-will-hong-kong-have-between-120-210mm-of-precipitation-in-october","question":"Will Hong Kong have between 120-210mm of precipitation in October?","group_item_title":"120-210mm","description":"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between October 1 and October 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.\n\nIf the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Total Rainfall (mm)\" figure for all days in October 2026 under the \"Daily Extract\" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.\n\nIf the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0785,0.9215],"probability":0.0785,"spread":0.143,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:39:30Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.13,"volume_24hr":40.13,"prob_24h_change":-0.09649999999999999,"volume_24h_change":40.13,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.219435691833496,"normalized_volume":4.052957534790039,"liquidity":51.43799,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["Hong Kong"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T11:09:13.266373Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T11:09:13.266373Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z-will-hong-kong-have-between-120-210mm-of-precipitation-in-october","event_title":"Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?","chart_24h":[0.175,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.106,0.0765,0.0765,0.1065,0.0765,0.0775,0.0785]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154748","event_id":"1108650","slug":"precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z-will-hong-kong-have-210mm-or-more-of-precipitation-in-october","question":"Will Hong Kong have 210mm or more of precipitation in October?","group_item_title":"210mm+","description":"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between October 1 and October 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.\n\nIf the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Total Rainfall (mm)\" figure for all days in October 2026 under the \"Daily Extract\" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.\n\nIf the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.076,0.924],"probability":0.076,"spread":0.148,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:39:30Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":40.13,"volume_24hr":40.13,"prob_24h_change":-0.079,"volume_24h_change":40.13,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.219435691833496,"normalized_volume":4.052957534790039,"liquidity":225.50297,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["Hong Kong"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T06:49:10.242767Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T06:49:10.242767Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z-will-hong-kong-have-210mm-or-more-of-precipitation-in-october","event_title":"Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?","chart_24h":[0.155,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.096,0.076]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154742","event_id":"1108650","slug":"precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z-will-hong-kong-have-less-than-20mm-of-precipitation-in-october","question":"Will Hong Kong have less than 20mm of precipitation in October?","group_item_title":"<20mm","description":"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between October 1 and October 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.\n\nIf the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Total Rainfall (mm)\" figure for all days in October 2026 under the \"Daily Extract\" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.\n\nIf the relevant data is not available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.12,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:39:30Z","end_date":"2027-01-08T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":603.2900000000001,"volume_24hr":603.2900000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.155,"volume_24h_change":603.2900000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.464481353759766,"normalized_volume":12.032564163208008,"liquidity":413.44326,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["Hong Kong"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T11:09:13.266373Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T11:09:13.266373Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-october-20260925t160000000z-will-hong-kong-have-less-than-20mm-of-precipitation-in-october","event_title":"Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?","chart_24h":[0.225,0.2,0.205,0.0705,0.0705,0.07,0.0705,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1108650","as_of":"2026-10-01T11:33:19.929235Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?\" — top market at 7% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}