{"source":"polymarket","id":"1108663","ticker":"us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z","slug":"us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z","title":"US Tornadoes in October 2026","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).\n\nOnly tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.\n\nThe brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.\n\nAs of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on November 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.\n\nIf the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.\n\nThe market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.\n\nIf no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-tornadoes-in-the-us-in-november-W7XLO0OomR-x.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-tornadoes-in-the-us-in-november-W7XLO0OomR-x.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:44:06Z","end_date":"2026-11-11T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":208.3693,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[{"id":"106163","slug":"tornado","label":"Tornado"},{"id":"84","slug":"weather","label":"Weather"},{"id":"87","slug":"climate","label":"climate"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"101998","slug":"natural-disaster","label":"Natural Disaster"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Under 20","top_outcome_probability":0.375,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-02T23:19:49.101735Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T23:19:49.101735Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.782043Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154840","event_id":"1108663","slug":"us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z-will-there-be-under-20-tornadoes-in-the-us-in-october-2026","question":"Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?","group_item_title":"Under 20","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).\n\nOnly tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.\n\nThe brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.\n\nAs of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on November 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.\n\nIf the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.\n\nThe market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.\n\nIf no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:44:06Z","end_date":"2026-11-11T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":56.31,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T14:53:06.664500Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T14:53:06.664500Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z/us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z-will-there-be-under-20-tornadoes-in-the-us-in-october-2026","event_title":"US Tornadoes in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.375,0.375,0.375,0.375,0.375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154841","event_id":"1108663","slug":"us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z-will-there-be-between-20-and-34-tornadoes-in-the-us-in-october-2026","question":"Will there be between 20 and 34 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?","group_item_title":"20 - 34","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).\n\nOnly tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.\n\nThe brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.\n\nAs of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on November 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.\n\nIf the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.\n\nThe market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.\n\nIf no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:44:06Z","end_date":"2026-11-11T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":55.33,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T14:53:06.664500Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T14:53:06.664500Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z/us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z-will-there-be-between-20-and-34-tornadoes-in-the-us-in-october-2026","event_title":"US Tornadoes in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.375,0.375,0.375,0.38,0.375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154842","event_id":"1108663","slug":"us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z-will-there-be-between-35-and-59-tornadoes-in-the-us-in-october-2026","question":"Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?","group_item_title":"35 - 59","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).\n\nOnly tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.\n\nThe brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.\n\nAs of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on November 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.\n\nIf the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.\n\nThe market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.\n\nIf no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:44:06Z","end_date":"2026-11-11T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":44.1,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T21:29:23.830595Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T21:29:23.830595Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z/us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z-will-there-be-between-35-and-59-tornadoes-in-the-us-in-october-2026","event_title":"US Tornadoes in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.375,0.375,0.375,0.38,0.375,0.375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154843","event_id":"1108663","slug":"us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z-will-there-be-between-60-and-89-tornadoes-in-the-us-in-october-2026","question":"Will there be between 60 and 89 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?","group_item_title":"60 - 89","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).\n\nOnly tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.\n\nThe brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.\n\nAs of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on November 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.\n\nIf the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.\n\nThe market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.\n\nIf no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:44:06Z","end_date":"2026-11-11T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":48.51,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T13:26:50.360815Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T13:26:50.360815Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z/us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z-will-there-be-between-60-and-89-tornadoes-in-the-us-in-october-2026","event_title":"US Tornadoes in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.375,0.375,0.375,0.38,0.375]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154844","event_id":"1108663","slug":"us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z-will-there-be-90-or-more-tornadoes-in-the-us-in-october-2026","question":"Will there be 90 or more tornadoes in the US in October 2026?","group_item_title":"90 or more","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of tornadoes recorded in the United States during the specified month, based on the monthly count published on the National Centers for Environmental Information U.S. Tornadoes Time Series page (see: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/tornadoes/time-series).\n\nOnly tornadoes appearing in the final NCEI dataset for that month will count.\n\nThe brackets are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive: each range is inclusive of both of its stated endpoints, and the monthly tornado count falls within exactly one bracket.\n\nAs of market creation, the relevant report is scheduled to be released on November 11, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET (Release schedule: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/dyk/monthly-releases). The market will resolve based on the first relevant tornado count published on the NCEI tornado time-series page after this scheduled release time.\n\nIf the value published after this scheduled release time is labeled preliminary, it will still determine resolution, and the market will resolve independently of any subsequent revisions, corrections, or retroactive adjustments.\n\nThe market will not resolve based on any preliminary values published before the scheduled release time.\n\nIf no data is published by the scheduled release time, or if the NCEI website is temporarily unavailable, this market will remain open until that data is made available. If the relevant data is not made available by the date of the next scheduled publication, this market will resolve based on available data for the most recent prior month. If the NCEI website becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using another credible source.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.375,0.625],"probability":0.375,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:44:06Z","end_date":"2026-11-11T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":54.28,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T15:36:25.088611Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T15:36:25.088611Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:44.934042Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z/us-tornadoes-in-october-2026-20260925t160000000z-will-there-be-90-or-more-tornadoes-in-the-us-in-october-2026","event_title":"US Tornadoes in October 2026","chart_24h":[0.375,0.375,0.375,0.375,0.375,0.375]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1108663","as_of":"2026-10-02T23:27:05.740257Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"US Tornadoes in October 2026\" — top market at 38% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}