{"source":"polymarket","id":"1108667","ticker":"how-many-spacex-launches-in-october-2026-20260928t160000000z","slug":"how-many-spacex-launches-in-october-2026-20260928t160000000z","title":"How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.\n\nIn the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-launches-in-2025-H9bLc6Yotwva.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/how-many-spacex-launches-in-2025-H9bLc6Yotwva.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:47:46Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":490.7666,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"63","slug":"spacex","label":"SpaceX"},{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"},{"id":"282","slug":"elon-musk","label":"Elon Musk"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"17+","top_outcome_probability":0.45,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-01T04:25:07.449149Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T04:25:07.449149Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:45.940583Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-october-2026-20260928t160000000z","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154859","event_id":"1108667","slug":"how-many-spacex-launches-in-october-2026-20260928t160000000z-will-spacex-have-17-launches-in-october-2026","question":"Will SpaceX have 17+ launches in October 2026?","group_item_title":"17+","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.\n\nIn the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.45,0.55],"probability":0.45,"spread":0.82,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:47:46Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":52.0475,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T04:25:09.273477Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T04:25:09.273477Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:45.979133Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-october-2026-20260928t160000000z/how-many-spacex-launches-in-october-2026-20260928t160000000z-will-spacex-have-17-launches-in-october-2026","event_title":"How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.455,0.45,0.445,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.435,0.45,0.435,0.44,0.445,0.46]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5154857","event_id":"1108667","slug":"how-many-spacex-launches-in-october-2026-20260928t160000000z-will-spacex-have-exactly-15-launches-in-october-2026","question":"Will SpaceX have exactly 15 launches in October 2026?","group_item_title":"15","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.\n\nIn the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. 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If spacex.com has not updated by November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.425,0.575],"probability":0.425,"spread":0.79,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T13:47:46Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":154.5074,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T04:03:00.882987Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T04:03:00.882987Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T13:54:45.979133Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-october-2026-20260928t160000000z/how-many-spacex-launches-in-october-2026-20260928t160000000z-will-spacex-have-exactly-14-launches-in-october-2026","event_title":"How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?","chart_24h":[0.44,0.455,0.45,0.445,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.435,0.445,0.43,0.425]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1108667","as_of":"2026-10-01T04:43:35.510534Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?\" — top market at 45% probability across 5 outcomes","source_url":null}}