{"source":"polymarket","id":"1109142","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-2-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-2-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 1 '26 is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 2 '26.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 1 '26 is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 2 '26.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T16:07:06Z","end_date":"2026-10-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31488.016777000004,"volume_24hr":31486.129983999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":44.646488189697266,"normalized_volume":24.382965087890625,"liquidity":43115.7177,"open_interest":19701.859414,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.625,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.125,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":31484.243190999994,"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:53:22.182601Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:53:22.182601Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T16:18:40.910448Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-2-2026","chart_24h":[1.886793,1.886793,1.886793,1.886793,139.136793,139.136793,139.136793,139.136793,139.136793,139.136793,139.136793,141.136793,141.136793,143.136793,143.136793,1879.707814,9722.110638,18817.458643,20322.615283999996,22529.518490999995,23004.185391999996,29692.968662000003,31486.129983999996],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5156991","event_id":"1109142","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-2-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 1 '26 is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 2 '26.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 1 '26 is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 2 '26.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.625,0.375],"probability":0.625,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T16:07:06Z","end_date":"2026-10-02T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31518.016777,"volume_24hr":31486.129983999996,"prob_24h_change":0.125,"volume_24h_change":31484.243190999994,"normalized_vol_24hr":45.075687408447266,"normalized_volume":31.473800659179688,"liquidity":43189.535,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T21:53:22.364575Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T21:53:22.364575Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T16:18:41.094137Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-2-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-2-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.505,0.535,0.57,0.735,0.71,0.655,0.685,0.635,0.625]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1109142","as_of":"2026-10-01T21:53:52.017653Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 2?\" — top market at 62% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}