{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1110484","as_of":"2026-10-08T09:10:50.718851Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Highest 24-hour rainfall in Bangkok, October 4-10?\" — \"50-100mm\" leads at 50% across 4 outcomes as of 2026-10-08 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1110484","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-24-hour-rainfall-in-bangkok-october-4-10"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1110484","ticker":"highest-24-hour-rainfall-in-bangkok-october-4-10","slug":"highest-24-hour-rainfall-in-bangkok-october-4-10","title":"Highest 24-hour rainfall in Bangkok, October 4-10?","description":"This market will resolve according to the highest 24-hour rainfall amount recorded at the BANGKOK METROPOLIS station between October 4 and October 10, 2026, according to the Thai Meteorological Department (TMD).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the TMD, specifically the highest of the values in the \"24 hr.\" column under \"Rainfall Amount (mm.)\" for the \"BANGKOK METROPOLIS\" row in the Daily Weather Summary reports dated October 4, 2026 through October 10, 2026, at the https://www.tmd.go.th/en/climate/daily link.\n\nThose seven report dates are the governing set, whatever measurement window the TMD applies to each one. The report dated October 11, 2026 will not be considered.\n\nOnly the \"BANGKOK METROPOLIS\" row governs. Other Bangkok-area stations, including BANGKOK PORT (KLONG TOEI), will not be considered. If that row does not appear in a given report, or shows \"- No data -\", that report date will be excluded and the highest value among the remaining report dates will be used.\n\nA value of \"No Rain\" or \"Trace\" will be treated as 0mm.\n\nEach bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound, so a value of exactly 20.0mm, 50.0mm or 100.0mm resolves the higher of the two adjacent brackets to \"Yes\".\n\nIf none of the seven report dates yields a value for the \"BANGKOK METROPOLIS\" row by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"<20mm\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures rainfall to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to rainfall recorded after data is published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-march-ZJ5oq2Eiyz9P.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/precipitation-in-hong-kong-in-march-ZJ5oq2Eiyz9P.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:41:40Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3456.170685,"volume_24hr":2787.373707,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":26.905500411987305,"normalized_volume":15.085769653320312,"liquidity":714.46951,"open_interest":2067.1980350000003,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"tags":[{"id":"84","slug":"weather","label":"Weather"},{"id":"102436","slug":"thailand","label":"Thailand"},{"id":"103041","slug":"precipitation","label":"Precipitation"},{"id":"103037","slug":"climate-science","label":"Climate & Science"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"50-100mm","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.21500000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":866.7943590000001,"updated_at":"2026-10-08T08:49:58.250900Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T08:49:58.250900Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:47:05.657625Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-24-hour-rainfall-in-bangkok-october-4-10","chart_24h":[930.0,1362.0,1407.0,1407.0,1427.0,1559.953125,1591.993125,1662.823125,1662.823125,1662.823125,1662.823125,1662.823125,1662.823125,1662.823125,2036.773125,2036.773125,2036.773125,2036.773125,2106.773125,2106.773125,2126.773125,2126.773125,2126.773125,2445.7495910000002,2455.7495910000002,2613.3337070000002,2634.3337070000002,2634.3337070000002,2634.3337070000002,2634.3337070000002,2634.3337070000002,2787.373707],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":4,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5163481","event_id":"1110484","slug":"will-bangkoks-highest-24-hour-rainfall-on-october-4-10-be-between-50-100mm","question":"Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be between 50-100mm?","group_item_title":"50-100mm","description":"This market will resolve according to the highest 24-hour rainfall amount recorded at the BANGKOK METROPOLIS station between October 4 and October 10, 2026, according to the Thai Meteorological Department (TMD).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the TMD, specifically the highest of the values in the \"24 hr.\" column under \"Rainfall Amount (mm.)\" for the \"BANGKOK METROPOLIS\" row in the Daily Weather Summary reports dated October 4, 2026 through October 10, 2026, at the https://www.tmd.go.th/en/climate/daily link.\n\nThose seven report dates are the governing set, whatever measurement window the TMD applies to each one. The report dated October 11, 2026 will not be considered.\n\nOnly the \"BANGKOK METROPOLIS\" row governs. Other Bangkok-area stations, including BANGKOK PORT (KLONG TOEI), will not be considered. If that row does not appear in a given report, or shows \"- No data -\", that report date will be excluded and the highest value among the remaining report dates will be used.\n\nA value of \"No Rain\" or \"Trace\" will be treated as 0mm.\n\nEach bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound, so a value of exactly 20.0mm, 50.0mm or 100.0mm resolves the higher of the two adjacent brackets to \"Yes\".\n\nIf none of the seven report dates yields a value for the \"BANGKOK METROPOLIS\" row by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"<20mm\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures rainfall to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to rainfall recorded after data is published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.88,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:41:40Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1348.222935,"volume_24hr":866.7943590000001,"prob_24h_change":0.21500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":866.7943590000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.812650680541992,"normalized_volume":15.240228652954102,"liquidity":36.717,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["Thailand"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T08:49:58.626739Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T08:49:58.626739Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:47:05.712626Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-24-hour-rainfall-in-bangkok-october-4-10/will-bangkoks-highest-24-hour-rainfall-on-october-4-10-be-between-50-100mm","event_title":"Highest 24-hour rainfall in Bangkok, October 4-10?","chart_24h":[0.12,0.14,0.14,0.405,0.36,0.37,0.435,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.185,0.185,0.19,0.59,0.595,0.445,0.39,0.39,0.395,0.405,0.4,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5163482","event_id":"1110484","slug":"will-bangkoks-highest-24-hour-rainfall-on-october-4-10-be-100mm-or-more","question":"Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be 100mm or more?","group_item_title":"100mm+","description":"This market will resolve according to the highest 24-hour rainfall amount recorded at the BANGKOK METROPOLIS station between October 4 and October 10, 2026, according to the Thai Meteorological Department (TMD).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the TMD, specifically the highest of the values in the \"24 hr.\" column under \"Rainfall Amount (mm.)\" for the \"BANGKOK METROPOLIS\" row in the Daily Weather Summary reports dated October 4, 2026 through October 10, 2026, at the https://www.tmd.go.th/en/climate/daily link.\n\nThose seven report dates are the governing set, whatever measurement window the TMD applies to each one. The report dated October 11, 2026 will not be considered.\n\nOnly the \"BANGKOK METROPOLIS\" row governs. Other Bangkok-area stations, including BANGKOK PORT (KLONG TOEI), will not be considered. If that row does not appear in a given report, or shows \"- No data -\", that report date will be excluded and the highest value among the remaining report dates will be used.\n\nA value of \"No Rain\" or \"Trace\" will be treated as 0mm.\n\nEach bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound, so a value of exactly 20.0mm, 50.0mm or 100.0mm resolves the higher of the two adjacent brackets to \"Yes\".\n\nIf none of the seven report dates yields a value for the \"BANGKOK METROPOLIS\" row by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"<20mm\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures rainfall to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to rainfall recorded after data is published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.23,0.77],"probability":0.23,"spread":0.38,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:41:40Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":345.676359,"volume_24hr":293.602882,"prob_24h_change":0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":133.60288200000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":14.696913719177246,"normalized_volume":10.035085678100586,"liquidity":91.7224,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["Thailand"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T08:28:03.978380Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T08:28:03.978380Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:47:05.712626Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-24-hour-rainfall-in-bangkok-october-4-10/will-bangkoks-highest-24-hour-rainfall-on-october-4-10-be-100mm-or-more","event_title":"Highest 24-hour rainfall in Bangkok, October 4-10?","chart_24h":[0.205,0.14,0.215,0.19,0.215,0.23,0.225,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.285,0.28,0.26,0.215,0.22,0.215,0.225,0.22,0.23,0.375,0.23,0.23,0.395,0.23,0.23]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5163480","event_id":"1110484","slug":"will-bangkoks-highest-24-hour-rainfall-on-october-4-10-be-between-20-50mm","question":"Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be between 20-50mm?","group_item_title":"20-50mm","description":"This market will resolve according to the highest 24-hour rainfall amount recorded at the BANGKOK METROPOLIS station between October 4 and October 10, 2026, according to the Thai Meteorological Department (TMD).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the TMD, specifically the highest of the values in the \"24 hr.\" column under \"Rainfall Amount (mm.)\" for the \"BANGKOK METROPOLIS\" row in the Daily Weather Summary reports dated October 4, 2026 through October 10, 2026, at the https://www.tmd.go.th/en/climate/daily link.\n\nThose seven report dates are the governing set, whatever measurement window the TMD applies to each one. The report dated October 11, 2026 will not be considered.\n\nOnly the \"BANGKOK METROPOLIS\" row governs. Other Bangkok-area stations, including BANGKOK PORT (KLONG TOEI), will not be considered. If that row does not appear in a given report, or shows \"- No data -\", that report date will be excluded and the highest value among the remaining report dates will be used.\n\nA value of \"No Rain\" or \"Trace\" will be treated as 0mm.\n\nEach bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound, so a value of exactly 20.0mm, 50.0mm or 100.0mm resolves the higher of the two adjacent brackets to \"Yes\".\n\nIf none of the seven report dates yields a value for the \"BANGKOK METROPOLIS\" row by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"<20mm\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures rainfall to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to rainfall recorded after data is published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0895,0.9105],"probability":0.0895,"spread":0.159,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:41:40Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1185.271391,"volume_24hr":1089.976466,"prob_24h_change":-0.1255,"volume_24h_change":1089.976466,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.244535446166992,"normalized_volume":14.700743675231934,"liquidity":174.48494,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["Thailand"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T08:49:58.626739Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T08:49:58.626739Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:47:05.712626Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-24-hour-rainfall-in-bangkok-october-4-10/will-bangkoks-highest-24-hour-rainfall-on-october-4-10-be-between-20-50mm","event_title":"Highest 24-hour rainfall in Bangkok, October 4-10?","chart_24h":[0.275,0.57,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.255,0.28,0.295,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.275,0.275,0.285,0.13,0.13,0.45,0.485,0.45,0.035,0.07,0.0695,0.045,0.045,0.0375,0.0895]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5163479","event_id":"1110484","slug":"will-bangkoks-highest-24-hour-rainfall-on-october-4-10-be-less-than-20mm","question":"Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be less than 20mm?","group_item_title":"<20mm","description":"This market will resolve according to the highest 24-hour rainfall amount recorded at the BANGKOK METROPOLIS station between October 4 and October 10, 2026, according to the Thai Meteorological Department (TMD).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the TMD, specifically the highest of the values in the \"24 hr.\" column under \"Rainfall Amount (mm.)\" for the \"BANGKOK METROPOLIS\" row in the Daily Weather Summary reports dated October 4, 2026 through October 10, 2026, at the https://www.tmd.go.th/en/climate/daily link.\n\nThose seven report dates are the governing set, whatever measurement window the TMD applies to each one. The report dated October 11, 2026 will not be considered.\n\nOnly the \"BANGKOK METROPOLIS\" row governs. Other Bangkok-area stations, including BANGKOK PORT (KLONG TOEI), will not be considered. If that row does not appear in a given report, or shows \"- No data -\", that report date will be excluded and the highest value among the remaining report dates will be used.\n\nA value of \"No Rain\" or \"Trace\" will be treated as 0mm.\n\nEach bracket includes its lower bound and excludes its upper bound, so a value of exactly 20.0mm, 50.0mm or 100.0mm resolves the higher of the two adjacent brackets to \"Yes\".\n\nIf none of the seven report dates yields a value for the \"BANGKOK METROPOLIS\" row by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, \"<20mm\" will resolve to \"Yes\" and all other brackets will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures rainfall to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to rainfall recorded after data is published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-09-30T20:41:40Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":577.0,"volume_24hr":537.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.13,"volume_24h_change":422.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.975242614746094,"normalized_volume":11.865996360778809,"liquidity":233.9861,"categories":["Climate and Weather"],"countries":["Thailand"],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T04:22:47.385500Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T04:22:47.385500Z","added_at":"2026-09-30T20:47:05.712626Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/highest-24-hour-rainfall-in-bangkok-october-4-10/will-bangkoks-highest-24-hour-rainfall-on-october-4-10-be-less-than-20mm","event_title":"Highest 24-hour rainfall in Bangkok, October 4-10?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.055,0.06,0.05,0.025,0.05]}]}