{"source":"polymarket","id":"1111240","ticker":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026","title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":154460.839323,"volume_24hr":154460.839323,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":62.993431091308594,"normalized_volume":32.44548797607422,"liquidity":2191.1429,"open_interest":83.193832,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"738","slug":"yemen","label":"Yemen"},{"id":"582","slug":"houthis","label":"Houthis"},{"id":"193","slug":"military","label":"Military"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"308","slug":"saudi-arabia","label":"Saudi Arabia"},{"id":"464","slug":"military-action","label":"Military Actions"},{"id":"104007","slug":"military-strikes","label":"Military Strikes"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"October 1","top_outcome_probability":0.745,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.245,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":49.193832,"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.195257Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.195257Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.412018Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,10.0,10.0,115498.38,115498.38,115498.38,154460.839323],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167182","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-1","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?","group_item_title":"October 1","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.745,0.255],"probability":0.745,"spread":0.43,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-02T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.193832,"volume_24hr":49.193832,"prob_24h_change":0.245,"volume_24h_change":49.193832,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.903805732727051,"normalized_volume":4.498934268951416,"liquidity":320.2335,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-1","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.505,0.53,0.52,0.515,0.51,0.505,0.515,0.505,0.52,0.52,0.525,0.515,0.54,0.545,0.545,0.745]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167183","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 2?","group_item_title":"October 2","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.74,0.26],"probability":0.74,"spread":0.42,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16.0,"volume_24hr":16.0,"prob_24h_change":0.24,"volume_24h_change":16.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":3.6139795780181885,"normalized_volume":2.355085849761963,"liquidity":36.0893,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.505,0.54,0.545,0.325,0.74]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167184","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-3","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 3?","group_item_title":"October 3","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.715,0.285],"probability":0.715,"spread":0.45,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":31.725490999999998,"volume_24hr":31.725491,"prob_24h_change":0.21499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":31.725491,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.4779558181762695,"normalized_volume":3.5697646141052246,"liquidity":33.8396,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-3","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.505,0.265,0.715]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167193","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-12","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?","group_item_title":"October 12","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.51,0.49],"probability":0.51,"spread":0.76,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-13T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":61890.82,"volume_24hr":61890.82,"prob_24h_change":0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":61890.82,"normalized_vol_24hr":54.80569076538086,"normalized_volume":35.71467590332031,"liquidity":132.3093,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-12","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.49,0.485,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.485,0.495,0.5,0.515,0.485,0.48,0.495,0.515,0.51]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167187","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-6","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 6?","group_item_title":"October 6","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.8,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-07T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":53597.56,"volume_24hr":53597.56,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":53597.56,"normalized_vol_24hr":53.385738372802734,"normalized_volume":34.78935241699219,"liquidity":82.1529,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-6","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.47]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167192","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-11","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 11?","group_item_title":"October 11","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.46,0.54],"probability":0.46,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-12T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":38875.54,"volume_24hr":38875.54,"prob_24h_change":-0.03999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":38875.54,"normalized_vol_24hr":50.28341293334961,"normalized_volume":32.7676887512207,"liquidity":63.5014,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-11","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.485,0.505,0.495,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.485,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.495,0.49,0.46]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167185","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-4","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?","group_item_title":"October 4","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.525,0.475],"probability":0.525,"spread":0.87,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-05T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":29.1402,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-4","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.525,0.52,0.505,0.52,0.525]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167195","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-14","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 14?","group_item_title":"October 14","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":0.88,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-15T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":66.7292,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-14","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.485,0.47,0.5,0.505,0.49,0.475,0.46,0.485,0.47,0.48,0.5]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167196","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-15","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 15?","group_item_title":"October 15","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.495,0.505],"probability":0.495,"spread":0.89,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":77.2094,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-15","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.485,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.505,0.505,0.495,0.505,0.5,0.495,0.505,0.5,0.495]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167208","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-27","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?","group_item_title":"October 27","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.49,0.51],"probability":0.49,"spread":0.84,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:06Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":67.1188,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-27","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.495,0.47,0.48,0.505,0.52,0.485,0.495,0.51,0.465,0.485,0.475,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167197","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-16","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?","group_item_title":"October 16","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.485,0.515],"probability":0.485,"spread":0.89,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":65.4492,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-16","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.485,0.485,0.49,0.485,0.505,0.49,0.485,0.485,0.47,0.485]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167209","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-28","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?","group_item_title":"October 28","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.485,0.515],"probability":0.485,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:06Z","end_date":"2026-10-29T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.015000000000000013,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":87.1191,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-28","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.495,0.505,0.485,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.49,0.48,0.495,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.465,0.485]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167194","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-13","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 13?","group_item_title":"October 13","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.9,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-14T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":55.3093,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-13","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.505,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.505,0.49,0.49,0.485,0.48]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167201","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-20","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 20?","group_item_title":"October 20","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.9,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-21T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":61.5008,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-20","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.495,0.48,0.48]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167207","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-26","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?","group_item_title":"October 26","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.48,0.52],"probability":0.48,"spread":0.84,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:06Z","end_date":"2026-10-27T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":76.3591,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-26","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.485,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.505,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167186","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-5","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 5?","group_item_title":"October 5","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.475,0.525],"probability":0.475,"spread":0.89,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-06T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":54.651,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-5","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167188","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-7","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7?","group_item_title":"October 7","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.475,0.525],"probability":0.475,"spread":0.89,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-08T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":54.7492,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-7","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.505,0.49,0.495,0.49,0.475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167191","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-10","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 10?","group_item_title":"October 10","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.475,0.525],"probability":0.475,"spread":0.89,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":62.9089,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-10","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.49,0.485,0.48,0.475,0.48,0.485,0.505,0.515,0.485,0.485,0.49,0.49,0.475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167198","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-17","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 17?","group_item_title":"October 17","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.475,0.525],"probability":0.475,"spread":0.89,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":62.9091,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-17","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.495,0.515,0.495,0.49,0.485,0.485,0.485,0.475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167200","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-19","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 19?","group_item_title":"October 19","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.475,0.525],"probability":0.475,"spread":0.87,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-20T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":64.1889,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-19","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.48,0.505,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.495,0.485,0.475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167202","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-21","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?","group_item_title":"October 21","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.475,0.525],"probability":0.475,"spread":0.89,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-22T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":62.9293,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-21","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.495,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.505,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.485,0.49,0.495,0.48,0.475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167203","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-22","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?","group_item_title":"October 22","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.475,0.525],"probability":0.475,"spread":0.85,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:06Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":75.451,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-22","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.495,0.505,0.475,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.485,0.475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167190","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-9","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 9?","group_item_title":"October 9","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.88,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":63.7126,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-9","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.485,0.505,0.485,0.48,0.485,0.485,0.485,0.47]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167199","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-18","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?","group_item_title":"October 18","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.88,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-19T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":63.4896,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-18","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.495,0.48,0.5,0.495,0.49,0.49,0.485,0.485,0.515,0.475,0.485,0.505,0.485,0.48,0.49,0.47]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167204","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-23","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?","group_item_title":"October 23","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:06Z","end_date":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":65.4291,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-23","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.475,0.465,0.47]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167206","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-25","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?","group_item_title":"October 25","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:06Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":86.2093,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-25","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.495,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.485,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.495,0.49,0.485,0.485,0.47]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167211","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-30","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?","group_item_title":"October 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.86,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:08Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.025000000000000022,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":68.629,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-30","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.485,0.5,0.515,0.5,0.475,0.515,0.485,0.48,0.51,0.485,0.485,0.485,0.475,0.47]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167189","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-8","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?","group_item_title":"October 8","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.465,0.535],"probability":0.465,"spread":0.91,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:04Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.034999999999999976,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":49.7092,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-8","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.505,0.475,0.495,0.485,0.48,0.48,0.485,0.475,0.465]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167205","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-24","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24?","group_item_title":"October 24","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.465,0.535],"probability":0.465,"spread":0.87,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:06Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.034999999999999976,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":60.6094,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:32:08.371056Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:32:08.371056Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-24","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.495,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.465,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.475,0.485,0.51,0.48,0.465]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167210","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-29","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?","group_item_title":"October 29","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.465,0.535],"probability":0.465,"spread":0.87,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:08Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.034999999999999976,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":80.6092,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T13:51:02.230047Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-29","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.49,0.495,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.485,0.51,0.49,0.465]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5167212","event_id":"1111240","slug":"saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-31","question":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 31?","group_item_title":"October 31","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Yemen on the specified date, Yemen Standard Time. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nA qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Saudi Arabia, that directly impacts Yemen. An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones. A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.\n\nThe qualifying military action must be carried out by the armed forces of Saudi Arabia. Actions carried out by private military contractors, mercenaries, or proxy forces will not qualify. Where a qualifying action is carried out in the course of a coalition or multinational operation, it will qualify only if the armed forces of Saudi Arabia directly conducted the strike.\n\nThe following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action:\nMunitions destroyed or intercepted before impact;\nSurface-to-air missile strikes;\nSmall-arms fire;\nGround incursions;\nCyber operations;\nNaval gunfire and artillery fire;\nHowitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems);\nMinor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes;\nAny threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.\n\nAny munition that is intercepted or destroyed before impact does not constitute a qualifying military action. Debris, fragments, or any wreckage from intercepted munitions that land on Yemen do not constitute a military action regardless of any damage incurred.\n\n“Yemen” refers to the terrestrial territory of Yemen, including its internal waters. Yemen’s maritime territory and airspace are not encompassed. Where territorial borders are disputed, all territory claimed by and under the de facto control of Yemen as of market creation will qualify.\n\nThe occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying military action will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant military action, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the action based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources or ii) 3 full calendar days (Yemen Standard Time) from the date of the first credibly reported evidence of the action. If this period would extend past the end date, this market will remain open to allow for 3 full calendar days to pass. At the end of the third calendar day, if conflicting reports remain, the incident will be adjudicated based on the totality of information available from the resolution sources at that time. No single statement, denial, or presentation of evidence will govern where it is contradicted by the totality of information.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments and militaries of Saudi Arabia and Yemen, the Houthis, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-yemen-flag-6c8d7139b9.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.81,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T00:14:08Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.065,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":68.7577,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["Saudi Arabia","Yemen"],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T12:52:04.580256Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T12:52:04.580256Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T00:28:05.452985Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-2026/saudi-arabia-military-action-against-yemen-on-october-31","event_title":"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.465,0.435,0.465,0.455,0.47,0.44,0.435]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1111240","as_of":"2026-10-01T14:10:49.062678Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?\" — top market at 51% probability across 31 outcomes","source_url":null}}