{"source":"polymarket","id":"1113963","ticker":"which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026","slug":"which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026","title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/math-d67c0ea7f4.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/math-d67c0ea7f4.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1761.658365,"volume_24hr":1761.658365,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.24362564086914,"normalized_volume":12.69836711883545,"liquidity":2953.31946,"open_interest":779.4854839999999,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"102251","slug":"math","label":"Math"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"105580","slug":"ai-rankings","label":"AI Rankings"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Company A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.007808Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.007808Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.336708Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,120.0,260.0,401.0,401.0,401.0,401.0,401.0,401.0,401.0,401.0,401.0,401.0,422.0,422.0,422.0,422.0,422.0,422.0,422.0,422.0,422.0,1361.658365,1361.658365,1361.658365,1761.658365,1761.658365],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5176953","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-anthropic-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Anthropic","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071621024631-39p_KrIfUFl8.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071621024631-39p_KrIfUFl8.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.47,0.53],"probability":0.47,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":569.314936,"volume_24hr":569.314936,"prob_24h_change":0.27499999999999997,"volume_24h_change":569.314936,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.922805786132812,"normalized_volume":11.816100120544434,"liquidity":169.2822,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T09:52:50.923607Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T09:52:50.923607Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-anthropic-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.195,0.11,0.38,0.34,0.285,0.47,0.475,0.435,0.435,0.45,0.475,0.475,0.47]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5176965","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-google-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Google","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.31,0.69],"probability":0.31,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":266.333429,"volume_24hr":266.333429,"prob_24h_change":0.13,"volume_24h_change":266.333429,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.123098373413086,"normalized_volume":9.163010597229004,"liquidity":181.2698,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-google-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.115,0.395,0.335,0.285,0.315,0.295,0.31]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5176974","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-spacexai-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will SpaceXAI have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"SpaceXAI","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1155,0.8845],"probability":0.1155,"spread":0.209,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.014499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":116.74792,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-spacexai-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.1805,0.036,0.089,0.0405,0.0835,0.0735,0.053,0.0405,0.0515,0.04,0.04,0.105,0.04,0.04,0.036,0.1045,0.041,0.0345,0.046,0.0475,0.049,0.1155]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5176996","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-openai-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"OpenAI","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.202,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.06499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":176.48853,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-openai-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.135,0.13,0.1055,0.1805,0.036,0.089,0.0405,0.089,0.0745,0.059,0.053,0.0495,0.0475,0.0475,0.048,0.1045,0.1045,0.0405,0.041,0.0565,0.029,0.0485,0.0315,0.0825,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177013","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-baidu-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Baidu","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.104,0.896],"probability":0.104,"spread":0.186,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.076,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":224.87527,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-baidu-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.135,0.13,0.1055,0.2205,0.036,0.09,0.0405,0.0845,0.0705,0.058,0.0425,0.057,0.0585,0.055,0.0555,0.1045,0.105,0.0405,0.105,0.1045,0.036,0.08,0.041,0.0345,0.0505,0.029,0.049,0.104]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177077","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-nvidia-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Nvidia have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Nvidia","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803644-7ISjsvbxLCk_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803644-7ISjsvbxLCk_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.104,0.896],"probability":0.104,"spread":0.186,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":29.79,"volume_24hr":29.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.076,"volume_24h_change":29.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":4.935404300689697,"normalized_volume":3.446073532104492,"liquidity":282.95869,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-nvidia-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.1805,0.105,0.085,0.0405,0.0415,0.0635,0.063,0.0615,0.0435,0.0445,0.062,0.063,0.1095,0.105,0.104,0.105,0.1055,0.0405,0.041,0.0415,0.06,0.028,0.029,0.13,0.104]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177137","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-bytedance-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"ByteDance","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1035,0.8965],"probability":0.1035,"spread":0.185,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.0765,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":253.78429,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-bytedance-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.135,0.13,0.1055,0.1805,0.105,0.0405,0.0405,0.0405,0.0415,0.0415,0.0425,0.064,0.0635,0.062,0.105,0.104,0.1045,0.1045,0.105,0.069,0.041,0.0325,0.029,0.0615,0.0805,0.1035]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177129","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-amazon-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Amazon have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Amazon","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.088,0.912],"probability":0.088,"spread":0.154,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.092,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":214.3556,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-amazon-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1805,0.105,0.0405,0.084,0.084,0.061,0.0645,0.0515,0.054,0.0495,0.053,0.054,0.105,0.04,0.105,0.105,0.105,0.036,0.1055,0.041,0.0365,0.0515,0.0415,0.052,0.088]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177146","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-mistral-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Mistral","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0815,0.9185],"probability":0.0815,"spread":0.141,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.09849999999999999,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":199.27308,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-mistral-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.1755,0.105,0.0405,0.0405,0.0845,0.0415,0.0415,0.0425,0.0605,0.0615,0.0585,0.105,0.1045,0.105,0.1045,0.105,0.08,0.0405,0.0325,0.06,0.0285,0.045,0.0815]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177153","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-tencent-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Tencent have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Tencent","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.079,0.921],"probability":0.079,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.051000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":174.27963,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-tencent-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.0405,0.105,0.0405,0.0405,0.0735,0.0405,0.0405,0.0415,0.0415,0.061,0.0605,0.06,0.105,0.1045,0.1045,0.04,0.1045,0.036,0.0405,0.0595,0.053,0.0525,0.0705,0.06,0.079]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177052","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-moonshot-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Moonshot","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.073,0.927],"probability":0.073,"spread":0.124,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.107,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":178.99101,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-moonshot-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.1855,0.105,0.105,0.0405,0.0405,0.0675,0.0415,0.0425,0.0425,0.0435,0.059,0.123,0.04,0.04,0.105,0.04,0.04,0.0405,0.0585,0.038,0.028,0.028,0.079,0.073]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177094","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-deepseek-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"DeepSeek","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0725,0.9275],"probability":0.0725,"spread":0.123,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.1075,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":146.08592,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-deepseek-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.145,0.13,0.1305,0.1755,0.105,0.1045,0.0405,0.0405,0.0415,0.0415,0.0425,0.0565,0.056,0.058,0.0585,0.105,0.04,0.1045,0.105,0.04,0.1035,0.041,0.0375,0.0505,0.028,0.0545,0.0725]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5176984","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-alibaba-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Alibaba","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0665,0.9335],"probability":0.0665,"spread":0.111,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.0635,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":250.96469,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-alibaba-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.1755,0.036,0.1,0.0405,0.084,0.0545,0.057,0.0565,0.052,0.0415,0.055,0.053,0.105,0.105,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.036,0.103,0.041,0.0335,0.058,0.0285,0.0725,0.0665]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177065","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-meta-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Meta","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0595,0.9405],"probability":0.0595,"spread":0.097,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.07050000000000001,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":184.01057,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-meta-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.135,0.13,0.13,0.2255,0.105,0.085,0.0405,0.0415,0.064,0.058,0.0625,0.0435,0.0405,0.053,0.054,0.041,0.105,0.1225,0.1045,0.105,0.105,0.1055,0.041,0.052,0.0495,0.0495,0.066,0.0595]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177117","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-meituan-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Meituan","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071700-8cAQfOxGvZDE.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071700-8cAQfOxGvZDE.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.074,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.125,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":193.23364,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-meituan-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.135,0.13,0.121,0.2255,0.105,0.0405,0.084,0.0865,0.075,0.0525,0.0415,0.058,0.047,0.0505,0.0515,0.041,0.0405,0.0405,0.1045,0.1055,0.105,0.042,0.034,0.047,0.0335,0.0675,0.055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177026","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-zptai-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Z.ai","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0535,0.9465],"probability":0.0535,"spread":0.083,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.07650000000000001,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":127.76907,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-zptai-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.1855,0.036,0.0805,0.0405,0.084,0.0635,0.0415,0.0405,0.062,0.059,0.0485,0.041,0.041,0.103,0.105,0.1055,0.105,0.105,0.041,0.0545,0.0265,0.059,0.056,0.0535]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177038","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-xiaomi-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Xiaomi have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Xiaomi","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.049,0.951],"probability":0.049,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.131,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":176.98901,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.135,0.13,0.13,0.2205,0.036,0.089,0.0405,0.0665,0.0745,0.0415,0.0425,0.059,0.059,0.0495,0.1045,0.105,0.0405,0.105,0.105,0.0405,0.041,0.0595,0.0285,0.0515,0.0475,0.0485,0.049]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177165","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-stepfun-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will StepFun have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"StepFun","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0475,0.9525],"probability":0.0475,"spread":0.073,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.1275,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":240.62963,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-stepfun-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.175,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.1755,0.105,0.0405,0.0405,0.0805,0.063,0.063,0.0535,0.0535,0.0545,0.0555,0.0555,0.1045,0.1045,0.04,0.1045,0.036,0.0405,0.0585,0.0515,0.0525,0.064,0.083,0.0475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177172","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-microsoft-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Microsoft","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0465,0.9535],"probability":0.0465,"spread":0.071,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.1285,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":196.75288,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-microsoft-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.175,0.135,0.13,0.13,0.255,0.036,0.1,0.0405,0.084,0.066,0.0595,0.057,0.056,0.0495,0.054,0.1045,0.1235,0.036,0.0405,0.052,0.049,0.04,0.0285,0.047,0.0465]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177181","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-thinky-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Thinky have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Thinky","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-thinky-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071-5CCBBwyTYeXw.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-thinky-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071-5CCBBwyTYeXw.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.039,0.961],"probability":0.039,"spread":0.052,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.141,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":150.96894,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-thinky-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.2205,0.036,0.09,0.0405,0.084,0.0625,0.059,0.0425,0.0545,0.0555,0.052,0.0525,0.105,0.1045,0.105,0.1045,0.036,0.0405,0.058,0.0335,0.0485,0.031,0.0815,0.039]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177105","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-minimax-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will MiniMax have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"MiniMax","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0295,0.9705],"probability":0.0295,"spread":0.037,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":49.79,"volume_24hr":49.79,"prob_24h_change":-0.1005,"volume_24h_change":49.79,"normalized_vol_24hr":6.48220682144165,"normalized_volume":4.526105880737305,"liquidity":199.09093,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T10:38:18.224270Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-minimax-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.135,0.13,0.469,0.1855,0.1045,0.085,0.0405,0.0405,0.0405,0.0405,0.0405,0.0405,0.0595,0.049,0.104,0.1045,0.105,0.105,0.04,0.036,0.105,0.0405,0.025,0.047,0.063,0.095,0.0295]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177238","event_id":"1113963","slug":"will-any-other-company-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will any other company have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Math\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/which-company-has-the-best-text-arena-math-ai-model-end-of-december-2026/will-any-other-company-have-the-best-math-ai-model-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1113963","as_of":"2026-10-02T10:45:30.759795Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?\" — top market at 47% probability across 22 outcomes","source_url":null}}