{"source":"polymarket","id":"1113965","ticker":"second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026","slug":"second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026","title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-of-september-MmASwbTkwKHi.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":248.064934,"volume_24hr":248.064934,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.344487190246582,"normalized_volume":6.919963836669922,"liquidity":5796.25931,"open_interest":196.064934,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"105580","slug":"ai-rankings","label":"AI Rankings"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Company A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:34.539724Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:34.539724Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.336708Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,24.0,44.0,44.0,56.0,56.0,56.0,77.0,177.0,177.0,177.0,177.0,237.0,248.064934,248.064934,248.064934,248.064934,248.064934,248.064934],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5176985","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-anthropic-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Anthropic","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071621024631-39p_KrIfUFl8.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-anthropic-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071621024631-39p_KrIfUFl8.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.275,0.725],"probability":0.275,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":115.064934,"volume_24hr":115.064934,"prob_24h_change":-0.07999999999999996,"volume_24h_change":115.064934,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.497123718261719,"normalized_volume":6.631227493286133,"liquidity":483.8126,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T01:14:56.695559Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T01:14:56.695559Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-anthropic-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.47,0.305,0.285,0.425,0.33,0.33,0.285,0.285,0.275]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177014","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-google-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Google","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-google-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-MS2LhSAdlHGk.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.275,0.725],"probability":0.275,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":133.0,"volume_24hr":133.0,"prob_24h_change":0.020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":133.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.07988452911377,"normalized_volume":7.038131237030029,"liquidity":470.0649,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T03:26:18.865422Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T03:26:18.865422Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-google-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.135,0.465,0.26,0.235,0.245,0.25,0.255,0.3,0.275,0.27,0.275,0.27,0.265,0.275,0.275]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177253","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-any-other-ai-labcompany-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will any other AI lab/company be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-any-other-ai-labcompany-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177001","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-meta-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Meta","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meta-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-mEoVJFHkGAZd.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.18999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":96.5995,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T00:02:05.845559Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T00:02:05.845559Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-meta-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.135,0.125,0.155,0.13,0.155,0.25,0.155,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.215,0.165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177084","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-moonshot-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Moonshot","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-moonshot-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210246322-1XN6lwAew-Oe.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.09000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":260.40289,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-moonshot-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.195,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.2205,0.2105,0.2505,0.0405,0.0415,0.1445,0.1035,0.067,0.1085,0.1125,0.12,0.0405,0.041,0.041,0.0405,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177155","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-deepseek-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will DeepSeek be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"DeepSeek","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-deepseek-have-the-top-ai-model-on-march-31-puDB2eDJx4-L.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.188,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.25,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":272.5178,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-deepseek-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.2355,0.2355,0.0405,0.0405,0.1055,0.0405,0.0415,0.0415,0.102,0.1115,0.123,0.1105,0.1085,0.1055,0.0405,0.1055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177171","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-bytedance-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will ByteDance be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"ByteDance","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-bytedance-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-e3p1kNfiUBSm.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.188,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.25,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":263.4477,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:07:26.545144Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:07:26.545144Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-bytedance-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.2005,0.0405,0.1855,0.0405,0.1305,0.1915,0.1065,0.0405,0.0405,0.1055,0.1055,0.1055,0.106,0.106,0.0405,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177178","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-nvidia-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Nvidia be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Nvidia","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803644-7ISjsvbxLCk_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-nvidia-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803644-7ISjsvbxLCk_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.188,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.15000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":256.7039,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:07:26.545144Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:07:26.545144Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-nvidia-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.2555,0.0405,0.2205,0.0405,0.255,0.2115,0.1065,0.0425,0.0425,0.1095,0.12,0.1005,0.105,0.105,0.0405,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177200","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-mistral-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Mistral be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Mistral","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-a-have-the-top-ai-model-on-september-30-A6OlKbmlY6RD.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.188,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.25,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":231.16893,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:07:26.545144Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:07:26.545144Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-mistral-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.2055,0.0405,0.1305,0.0405,0.1055,0.1165,0.1065,0.0405,0.0405,0.1355,0.1055,0.105,0.106,0.1055,0.0405,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177204","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-meituan-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Meituan be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Meituan","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071700-8cAQfOxGvZDE.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-meituan-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071700-8cAQfOxGvZDE.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.188,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.075,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":227.47392,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-meituan-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.2155,0.0405,0.245,0.0405,0.1055,0.2115,0.221,0.0405,0.0405,0.1055,0.1055,0.1095,0.106,0.106,0.0405,0.1055]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177208","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-tencent-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Tencent be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Tencent","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-tencent-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607150137-XOn9JPuc1eU_.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.188,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.15000000000000002,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":269.45889,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:07:26.545144Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:07:26.545144Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-tencent-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.135,0.135,0.1355,0.2155,0.0405,0.1055,0.0405,0.1305,0.106,0.4295,0.0425,0.0425,0.1125,0.1055,0.101,0.106,0.106,0.0405,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177218","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-microsoft-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Microsoft be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Microsoft","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-company-b-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-869-jOtIal0kzPhu.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.105,0.895],"probability":0.105,"spread":0.188,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.075,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":258.83848,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:07:26.545144Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:07:26.545144Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-microsoft-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.18,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.2355,0.0405,0.1805,0.0405,0.1305,0.1165,0.1065,0.0405,0.0405,0.1065,0.1075,0.1075,0.1075,0.108,0.0405,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177126","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-zptai-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Z.ai","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-zai-have-the-second-best-ai-model-on-september-30-I9QblP2bjC3m.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1045,0.8955],"probability":0.1045,"spread":0.189,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2505,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":204.19487,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-zptai-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.13,0.13,0.1305,0.2055,0.2205,0.0405,0.1865,0.1065,0.1155,0.2,0.106,0.1065,0.1065,0.119,0.0405,0.1055,0.106,0.105,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177144","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-spacexai-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"SpaceXAI","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-spacexai-have-the-best-text-to-image-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-20260715013-sDKidBNrmQqb.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1045,0.8955],"probability":0.1045,"spread":0.187,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2405,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":249.87997,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T03:26:18.865422Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T03:26:18.865422Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-spacexai-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.345,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.2105,0.2005,0.0405,0.0405,0.0415,0.0425,0.0425,0.0435,0.0435,0.1085,0.1055,0.108,0.105,0.1045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177194","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-minimax-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will MiniMax be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"MiniMax","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-minimax-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-4DAYgxunLDJN.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1045,0.8955],"probability":0.1045,"spread":0.189,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2505,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":310.73791,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-minimax-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.135,0.465,0.1285,0.2405,0.0405,0.1105,0.0405,0.1065,0.217,0.1075,0.0435,0.0435,0.1085,0.1055,0.1055,0.106,0.165,0.0405,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177098","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-openai-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will OpenAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"OpenAI","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-openai-have-the-top-ai-model-on-february-28-3eaAmSON076D.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.104,0.896],"probability":0.104,"spread":0.188,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.251,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":275.49461,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-openai-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.2055,0.1305,0.2505,0.0405,0.0415,0.0425,0.0425,0.041,0.041,0.041,0.1005,0.1085,0.108,0.1045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177136","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-xiaomi-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Xiaomi be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Xiaomi","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-xiaomi-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-july-2026-202607151-yCGBDwV8NTyU.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.18,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.255,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":276.45,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T03:26:18.865422Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T03:26:18.865422Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-xiaomi-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.135,0.13,0.135,0.125,0.135,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.175,0.105,0.1,0.105,0.1,0.1,0.105,0.1]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177112","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-baidu-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Baidu be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Baidu","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-baidu-have-the-best-chinese-ai-model-at-the-end-of-august-2026-202607170042-ge60q73Qll1Q.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0405,0.9595],"probability":0.0405,"spread":0.061,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.3145,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":292.99481,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-baidu-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.135,0.135,0.1355,0.2455,0.1905,0.0405,0.2355,0.1055,0.1205,0.1065,0.236,0.102,0.1085,0.1485,0.0445,0.044,0.0405,0.0405,0.1045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177162","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-amazon-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Amazon be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Amazon","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-amazon-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-april-2026-wcK7g7FkC7NK.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0405,0.9595],"probability":0.0405,"spread":0.059,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2145,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":271.84774,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:07:26.545144Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:07:26.545144Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-amazon-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.2555,0.2305,0.0405,0.0405,0.1305,0.0415,0.0415,0.0425,0.102,0.1085,0.1055,0.1205,0.105,0.105,0.0405,0.0405]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177187","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-thinky-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Thinky be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Thinky","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-thinky-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071-5CCBBwyTYeXw.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-thinky-have-the-best-code-arena-webdev-ai-at-the-end-of-august-2026-2026071-5CCBBwyTYeXw.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0405,0.9595],"probability":0.0405,"spread":0.059,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.3145,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":256.12369,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:07:26.545144Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:07:26.545144Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-thinky-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.2355,0.0405,0.1905,0.0405,0.1055,0.2065,0.206,0.0425,0.0435,0.1125,0.1195,0.0975,0.106,0.106,0.0405,0.0405]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177212","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-stepfun-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will StepFun be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"StepFun","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-stepfun-have-the-best-ai-model-at-the-end-of-may-2026-Z2tsyhaB8aVf.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0405,0.9595],"probability":0.0405,"spread":0.059,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.2145,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":231.26791,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-stepfun-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.2255,0.0405,0.1305,0.0405,0.1055,0.1065,0.106,0.0425,0.0425,0.1055,0.121,0.1065,0.107,0.1505,0.0405,0.105]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5177068","event_id":"1113965","slug":"will-alibaba-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","question":"Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?","group_item_title":"Alibaba","description":"This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-alibaba-have-the-best-ai-agent-at-the-end-of-august-2026-20260716210803638-HGGGQOL-fYvS.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.037,0.963],"probability":0.037,"spread":0.052,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T14:02:05Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.318,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":306.63572,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T04:29:36.233512Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T14:12:49.382848Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/second-best-ai-lab-end-of-december-2026/will-alibaba-be-the-second-best-ai-lab-at-the-end-of-december-2026","event_title":"Second-best AI Lab end of December?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.135,0.13,0.1305,0.2455,0.1955,0.2255,0.0405,0.0415,0.1165,0.2475,0.117,0.0405,0.0405,0.0415,0.106,0.04,0.04,0.036,0.04]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1113965","as_of":"2026-10-02T04:36:59.899764Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Second-best AI Lab end of December?\" — top market at 28% probability across 22 outcomes","source_url":null}}