{"source":"polymarket","id":"1114454","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-3-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-3-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 2 '26 is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 3 '26.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 2 '26 is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 3 '26.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T16:07:08Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":62419.84535100002,"volume_24hr":62419.845350999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":48.48694610595703,"normalized_volume":27.676389694213867,"liquidity":44052.822,"open_interest":45685.429167,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.145,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.385,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":61839.71526400002,"updated_at":"2026-10-02T20:00:43.106096Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T20:00:43.106096Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T16:14:16.444407Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-3-2026","chart_24h":[203.92,203.92,203.92,203.92,203.92,203.92,203.92,203.92,203.92,203.92,203.92,288.174902,299.939609,330.995297,330.995297,332.956082,372.956082,803.6223090000001,803.6223090000001,813.422309,813.422309,13121.618827999999,18943.210783,35940.870989,40908.19020600001,61024.963513999995],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5180113","event_id":"1114454","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-3-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 2 '26 is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 3 '26.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 2 '26 is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 3 '26.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.145,0.855],"probability":0.145,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T16:07:08Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":62419.84535100002,"volume_24hr":62419.845350999996,"prob_24h_change":-0.385,"volume_24h_change":61839.71526400002,"normalized_vol_24hr":51.17278289794922,"normalized_volume":35.72589874267578,"liquidity":44995.6563,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T20:00:43.580680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T20:00:43.580680Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T16:14:16.547068Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-3-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-3-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.495,0.475,0.475,0.495,0.455,0.385,0.175,0.175,0.125]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1114454","as_of":"2026-10-02T20:02:19.680557Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 3?\" — top market at 14% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}