{"source":"polymarket","id":"1114456","ticker":"ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-3-2026","slug":"ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-3-2026","title":"Ethereum Up or Down on October 3?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 2 '26 is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 3 '26.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 2 '26 is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 3 '26.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T16:07:08Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19251.127524,"volume_24hr":19271.127524,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":38.72883224487305,"normalized_volume":22.10938835144043,"liquidity":24483.4432,"open_interest":13804.720327,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"39","slug":"ethereum","label":"Ethereum"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.165,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.33499999999999996,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":19186.335924000003,"updated_at":"2026-10-02T20:00:43.106096Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T20:00:43.106096Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T16:14:16.444407Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-3-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,15.6316,15.6316,15.6316,15.6316,15.6316,15.6316,15.6316,53.6316,65.245477,4438.071110000001,8626.421136,9119.226021,9908.285439999998,12218.483247999999],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5180122","event_id":"1114456","slug":"ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-3-2026","question":"Ethereum Up or Down on October 3?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 2 '26 is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 3 '26.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 2 '26 is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 3 '26.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.165,0.835],"probability":0.165,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T16:07:08Z","end_date":"2026-10-03T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":19251.127524,"volume_24hr":19271.127524,"prob_24h_change":-0.33499999999999996,"volume_24h_change":19186.335924000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.87413787841797,"normalized_volume":28.539766311645508,"liquidity":24656.0863,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T20:00:43.580680Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T20:00:43.580680Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T16:14:16.547068Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-3-2026/ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-3-2026","event_title":"Ethereum Up or Down on October 3?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.495,0.495,0.485,0.485,0.49,0.36,0.245,0.22,0.16]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1114456","as_of":"2026-10-02T20:01:27.805903Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Ethereum Up or Down on October 3?\" — top market at 16% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}