{"source":"polymarket","id":"1116430","ticker":"what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-on-december-31","slug":"what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-on-december-31","title":"What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?","description":"This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on December 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/57)","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/parcl-darkmode-2278e410ae.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/parcl-darkmode-2278e410ae.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:12:58Z","end_date":"2027-01-11T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":252.0087,"open_interest":0.0,"categories":["Economy"],"tags":[{"id":"1334","slug":"parcl","label":"Parcl"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"103060","slug":"housing","label":"Housing"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"963","slug":"real-estate","label":"real estate"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"<$403K","top_outcome_probability":0.26,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-02T02:44:37.418132Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T02:44:37.418132Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.528072Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-on-december-31","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5194659","event_id":"1116430","slug":"will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-less-than-403000-on-december-31-2026","question":"Will the median home value in the US be less than $403,000 on December 31?","group_item_title":"<$403K","description":"This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on December 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/57)","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/parcl-darkmode-2278e410ae.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/parcl-darkmode-2278e410ae.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:12:58Z","end_date":"2027-01-11T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":44.1317,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T02:02:11.643431Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T02:02:11.643431Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.600625Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-on-december-31/will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-less-than-403000-on-december-31-2026","event_title":"What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.14,0.145,0.26]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5194660","event_id":"1116430","slug":"will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-between-403000-and-407000-on-december-31-2026","question":"Will the median home value in the US be between $403,000 and $407,000 on December 31?","group_item_title":"$403K - $407K","description":"This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on December 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/57)","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/parcl-darkmode-2278e410ae.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/parcl-darkmode-2278e410ae.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.255,0.745],"probability":0.255,"spread":0.49,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:12:58Z","end_date":"2027-01-11T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":22.728,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T02:23:48.809385Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T02:23:48.809385Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.600625Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-on-december-31/will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-between-403000-and-407000-on-december-31-2026","event_title":"What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.255,0.145,0.135,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5194661","event_id":"1116430","slug":"will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-between-407000-and-411000-on-december-31-2026","question":"Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?","group_item_title":"$407K - $411K","description":"This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on December 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/57)","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/parcl-darkmode-2278e410ae.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/parcl-darkmode-2278e410ae.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.48,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:12:58Z","end_date":"2027-01-11T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":31.5879,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T02:02:11.643431Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T02:02:11.643431Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.600625Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-on-december-31/will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-between-407000-and-411000-on-december-31-2026","event_title":"What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.255,0.145,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5194663","event_id":"1116430","slug":"will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-between-415000-and-419000-on-december-31-2026","question":"Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31?","group_item_title":"$415K - $419K","description":"This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on December 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/57)","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/parcl-darkmode-2278e410ae.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/parcl-darkmode-2278e410ae.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.48,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:12:58Z","end_date":"2027-01-11T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.10499999999999998,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":31.588,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T02:44:37.511343Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T02:44:37.511343Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.600625Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-on-december-31/will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-between-415000-and-419000-on-december-31-2026","event_title":"What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.255,0.145,0.14,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5194664","event_id":"1116430","slug":"will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-between-419000-and-423000-on-december-31-2026","question":"Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $423,000 on December 31?","group_item_title":"$419K - $423K","description":"This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on December 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/57)","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/parcl-darkmode-2278e410ae.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/parcl-darkmode-2278e410ae.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.48,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:12:58Z","end_date":"2027-01-11T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0050000000000000044,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":33.1878,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T02:44:37.511343Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T02:44:37.511343Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.600625Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-on-december-31/will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-between-419000-and-423000-on-december-31-2026","event_title":"What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.14,0.14,0.135,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5194662","event_id":"1116430","slug":"will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-between-411000-and-415000-on-december-31-2026","question":"Will the median home value in the US be between $411,000 and $415,000 on December 31?","group_item_title":"$411K - $415K","description":"This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on December 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/57)","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/parcl-darkmode-2278e410ae.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/parcl-darkmode-2278e410ae.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.47,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:12:58Z","end_date":"2027-01-11T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":35.1275,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T02:02:11.643431Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T02:02:11.643431Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.600625Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-on-december-31/will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-between-411000-and-415000-on-december-31-2026","event_title":"What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.255,0.14,0.245]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5194665","event_id":"1116430","slug":"will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-at-least-423000-on-december-31-2026","question":"Will the median home value in the US be at least $423,000 on December 31?","group_item_title":"$423K+","description":"This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on December 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/57)","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/parcl-darkmode-2278e410ae.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/parcl-darkmode-2278e410ae.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.13,0.87],"probability":0.13,"spread":0.22,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:12:58Z","end_date":"2027-01-11T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.125,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":40.4195,"categories":["Economy"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-02T02:44:37.511343Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-02T02:44:37.511343Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.600625Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/what-will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-on-december-31/will-the-median-home-value-in-the-us-be-at-least-423000-on-december-31-2026","event_title":"What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?","chart_24h":[0.255,0.14,0.13]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1116430","as_of":"2026-10-02T02:50:58.329333Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?\" — top market at 26% probability across 7 outcomes","source_url":null}}