{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1116451","as_of":"2026-10-18T07:44:03.359322Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will gas hit __ by end of October?\" — 8 markets; highest \"↑ $4.50\" at 44% as of 2026-10-18 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1116451","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-october"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1116451","ticker":"will-gas-hit-by-end-of-october","slug":"will-gas-hit-by-end-of-october","title":"Will gas hit __ by end of October?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:18:58Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":5389.326018000001,"volume_24hr":4031.1698320000005,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.57384490966797,"normalized_volume":16.770572662353516,"liquidity":1718.96119,"open_interest":1262.866186,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"104811","slug":"aaa","label":"AAA"},{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"100679","slug":"gas","label":"gas"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"100328","slug":"economy","label":"Economy"},{"id":"120","slug":"finance","label":"Finance"},{"id":"702","slug":"inflation","label":"Inflation"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"101031","slug":"commodities","label":"Commodities"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"↑ $4.50","top_outcome_probability":0.445,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000027,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":0.0,"updated_at":"2026-10-18T07:40:15.087195Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T07:40:15.087195Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.528072Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-october","chart_24h":[630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,630.1979719999999,571.197972,1221.417804,1221.417804,1221.417804,4036.7878040000005,4036.7878040000005,4036.787804],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":8,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5194753","event_id":"1116451","slug":"will-gas-hit-4pt30-low-by-october-31","question":"Will gas hit $4.30 (Low) by October 31?","group_item_title":"↓ $4.30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[1.0,0.0],"probability":1.0,"spread":0.004,"active":false,"closed":true,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:18:59Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":"2026-10-18T04:16:57Z","result":"yes","volume":4095.7878040000005,"volume_24hr":4031.1698320000005,"prob_24h_change":0.005499999999999949,"volume_24h_change":3406.5898320000006,"normalized_vol_24hr":30.228443145751953,"normalized_volume":20.29932975769043,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T07:40:15.472235Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T07:40:15.472235Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.600625Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-october/will-gas-hit-4pt30-low-by-october-31","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of October?","chart_24h":[0.9945,0.994,0.9935,0.9935,0.994,0.992,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5194752","event_id":"1116451","slug":"will-gas-hit-4pt50-high-by-october-31","question":"Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by October 31?","group_item_title":"↑ $4.50","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.445,0.555],"probability":0.445,"spread":0.83,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:18:59Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":166.698214,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.030000000000000027,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.69760274887085,"liquidity":28.7811,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T06:26:46.672946Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T06:26:46.672946Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.600625Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-october/will-gas-hit-4pt50-high-by-october-31","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of October?","chart_24h":[0.415,0.44,0.445,0.41,0.445,0.405,0.445,0.425,0.445,0.445,0.425,0.445,0.435,0.445,0.415,0.445]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5194754","event_id":"1116451","slug":"will-gas-hit-4pt20-low-by-october-31","question":"Will gas hit $4.20 (Low) by October 31?","group_item_title":"↓ $4.20","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.71,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:18:59Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":52.0838,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-17T13:46:49.992461Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-17T13:46:49.992461Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.600625Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-october/will-gas-hit-4pt20-low-by-october-31","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of October?","chart_24h":[0.445,0.435,0.435]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5194751","event_id":"1116451","slug":"will-gas-hit-4pt60-high-by-october-31","question":"Will gas hit $4.60 (High) by October 31?","group_item_title":"↑ $4.60","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.26,0.74],"probability":0.26,"spread":0.46,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:18:59Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":89.0238,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T07:40:15.472235Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T07:40:15.472235Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.600625Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-october/will-gas-hit-4pt60-high-by-october-31","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of October?","chart_24h":[0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5194755","event_id":"1116451","slug":"will-gas-hit-4pt00-low-by-october-31","question":"Will gas hit $4.00 (Low) by October 31?","group_item_title":"↓ $4.00","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.36,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:18:59Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.035,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":291.5638,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T07:40:15.472235Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T07:40:15.472235Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.600625Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-october/will-gas-hit-4pt00-low-by-october-31","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of October?","chart_24h":[0.24,0.245,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.2,0.205,0.23,0.21,0.215,0.215,0.205,0.215,0.205,0.215,0.205,0.215]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5194750","event_id":"1116451","slug":"will-gas-hit-4pt70-high-by-october-31","question":"Will gas hit $4.70 (High) by October 31?","group_item_title":"↑ $4.70","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.185,0.815],"probability":0.185,"spread":0.31,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:18:59Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":131.7035,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T07:40:15.472235Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T07:40:15.472235Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.600625Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-october/will-gas-hit-4pt70-high-by-october-31","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of October?","chart_24h":[0.195,0.185,0.195,0.2,0.195,0.195]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5194749","event_id":"1116451","slug":"will-gas-hit-4pt80-high-by-october-31","question":"Will gas hit $4.80 (High) by October 31?","group_item_title":"↑ $4.80","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.18,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:18:58Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":800.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":13.114836692810059,"liquidity":105.5336,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-16T18:47:55.902993Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-16T18:47:55.902993Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.600625Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-october/will-gas-hit-4pt80-high-by-october-31","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of October?","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5194756","event_id":"1116451","slug":"will-gas-hit-3pt80-low-by-october-31","question":"Will gas hit $3.80 (Low) by October 31?","group_item_title":"↓ $3.80","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under \"Regular\" and for the row \"Current Avg\".","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-march-joZDnwHAi7jd.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1045,0.8955],"probability":0.1045,"spread":0.189,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-01T23:18:59Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T23:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":326.84000000000003,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.02800000000000001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":9.844284057617188,"liquidity":1021.43168,"categories":["Economy","Finance","Commodities","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-18T07:40:15.472235Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-18T07:40:15.472235Z","added_at":"2026-10-01T23:19:43.600625Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-by-end-of-october/will-gas-hit-3pt80-low-by-october-31","event_title":"Will gas hit __ by end of October?","chart_24h":[0.131,0.132,0.131,0.1325,0.1295,0.13,0.1285,0.13,0.1045,0.1035,0.106,0.104,0.105,0.104,0.105,0.1315,0.1035,0.1025,0.104,0.1025,0.1035,0.1035,0.1045,0.1055,0.105,0.1065,0.1045,0.105,0.103]}]}