{"source":"polymarket","id":"1119710","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-4-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-4-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 3 '26 is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 4 '26.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 3 '26 is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 4 '26.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T16:07:10Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18606.557751000004,"volume_24hr":18606.557751000004,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":39.83301544189453,"normalized_volume":21.788169860839844,"liquidity":38625.6743,"open_interest":16307.74885,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.435,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.065,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":17870.243829000003,"updated_at":"2026-10-03T19:48:43.404493Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T19:48:43.404493Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T16:22:10.691558Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-4-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,10.19608,12.156865000000002,12.156865000000002,12.156865000000002,100.386865,100.386865,145.386865,5173.984930999999,5844.232206999999,17168.028458,17870.243829000003],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5207203","event_id":"1119710","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-4-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 3 '26 is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 4 '26.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 3 '26 is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 4 '26.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.435,0.565],"probability":0.435,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T16:07:10Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":18606.557751000004,"volume_24hr":18606.557751000004,"prob_24h_change":-0.065,"volume_24h_change":17870.243829000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.365821838378906,"normalized_volume":28.125335693359375,"liquidity":38169.2481,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-03T19:48:43.646847Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-03T19:48:43.646847Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T16:22:10.834604Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-4-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-4-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.505,0.495,0.495,0.53,0.545,0.495]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1119710","as_of":"2026-10-03T19:51:44.814468Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4?\" — top market at 44% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}