{"source":"polymarket","id":"1119711","ticker":"ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-4-2026","slug":"ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-4-2026","title":"Ethereum Up or Down on October 4?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 3 '26 is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 4 '26.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 3 '26 is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 4 '26.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T16:07:12Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25198.042426,"volume_24hr":25198.042426,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":43.646121978759766,"normalized_volume":22.91223907470703,"liquidity":33246.2845,"open_interest":22762.134748,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"39","slug":"ethereum","label":"Ethereum"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.72,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.21999999999999997,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":22918.311748,"updated_at":"2026-10-04T02:54:04.541783Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T02:54:04.541783Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T16:22:10.691558Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-4-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,13.725492,13.725492,13.725492,13.725492,13.725492,13.725492,41.654603,964.5860199999998,966.5090970000001,1202.625764,1481.3303099999998,1481.3303099999998,1557.4522619999998,1557.4522619999998,1557.4522619999998,1597.1189289999998,1597.1189289999998,2906.8389279999997,2944.4951779999997,22932.03724],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5207204","event_id":"1119711","slug":"ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-4-2026","question":"Ethereum Up or Down on October 4?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 3 '26 is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 4 '26.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 3 '26 is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 4 '26.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ETH+fullsize.jpg","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.72,0.28],"probability":0.72,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-02T16:07:12Z","end_date":"2026-10-04T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":25198.042426,"volume_24hr":25198.042426,"prob_24h_change":0.21999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":22918.311748,"normalized_vol_24hr":47.57269287109375,"normalized_volume":29.576345443725586,"liquidity":32548.917,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-04T02:54:04.891939Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T02:54:04.891939Z","added_at":"2026-10-02T16:22:10.834604Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-4-2026/ethereum-up-or-down-on-october-4-2026","event_title":"Ethereum Up or Down on October 4?","chart_24h":[0.5,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.565,0.53,0.595,0.595,0.565,0.595,0.595,0.675,0.685,0.72]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1119711","as_of":"2026-10-04T02:55:54.527147Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Ethereum Up or Down on October 4?\" — top market at 72% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}