{"source":"polymarket","id":"1124934","ticker":"uss-theodore-roosevelt-arrives-in-centcom-byptptpt","slug":"uss-theodore-roosevelt-arrives-in-centcom-byptptpt","title":"USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71) enters the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe Roosevelt will be considered to have entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility or the U.S. 5th Fleet area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility.\n\nThe arrival must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nPort calls, exercises, or other operations outside the CENTCOM area of responsibility, including in the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command area of responsibility, will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will arrive, is en route, or is heading to the Middle East will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying arrival has occurred. A qualifying arrival will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt-bw5am-CKVdtx.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt-bw5am-CKVdtx.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-03T15:46:06Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":585.929209,"volume_24hr":585.929209,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.83951759338379,"normalized_volume":9.236428260803223,"liquidity":33261.1612,"open_interest":300.575908,"categories":["Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"101084","slug":"navy","label":"Navy"},{"id":"106115","slug":"sailor","label":"Sailor"},{"id":"193","slug":"military","label":"Military"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"154","slug":"middle-east","label":"Middle East"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"},{"id":"464","slug":"military-action","label":"Military Actions"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"November 30","top_outcome_probability":0.875,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.39,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":377.923335,"updated_at":"2026-10-04T14:41:19.385889Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T14:41:19.385889Z","added_at":"2026-10-03T15:49:56.001290Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/uss-theodore-roosevelt-arrives-in-centcom-byptptpt","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,40.0,257.923335,257.923335,262.923335,262.923335,262.923335,382.923335,382.923335,382.923335,382.923335,382.923335,382.923335,382.923335,382.923335,554.494764,562.494764,562.494764,585.929209,585.929209,585.929209],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5238398","event_id":"1124934","slug":"will-the-uss-theodore-roosevelt-arrive-in-centcom-by-november-30-2026","question":"Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 30","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71) enters the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe Roosevelt will be considered to have entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility or the U.S. 5th Fleet area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility.\n\nThe arrival must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nPort calls, exercises, or other operations outside the CENTCOM area of responsibility, including in the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command area of responsibility, will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will arrive, is en route, or is heading to the Middle East will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying arrival has occurred. A qualifying arrival will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt-bw5am-CKVdtx.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt-bw5am-CKVdtx.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.875,0.125],"probability":0.875,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-03T15:46:06Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":377.923335,"volume_24hr":377.923335,"prob_24h_change":0.39,"volume_24h_change":377.923335,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.666370391845703,"normalized_volume":10.342633247375488,"liquidity":11510.297,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-04T03:42:46.252645Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T03:42:46.252645Z","added_at":"2026-10-03T15:49:56.118026Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/uss-theodore-roosevelt-arrives-in-centcom-byptptpt/will-the-uss-theodore-roosevelt-arrive-in-centcom-by-november-30-2026","event_title":"USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.49,0.57,0.83,0.69,0.69,0.675,0.795,0.74,0.88,0.875,0.875,0.875]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5238397","event_id":"1124934","slug":"will-the-uss-theodore-roosevelt-arrive-in-centcom-by-november-15-2026","question":"Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"November 15","description":"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS Theodore Roosevelt (CVN-71) enters the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nThe Roosevelt will be considered to have entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility upon confirmation by the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, or U.S. Indo-Pacific Command that the ship has entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility or the U.S. 5th Fleet area of operations, or upon a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the ship has physically entered the CENTCOM area of responsibility.\n\nThe arrival must occur by the listed deadline. In the event of ambiguity as to whether the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by the specified time, this market will remain open until the earlier of: (i) confirmation that the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by the listed deadline, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) following the listed deadline. The market will resolve based on the totality of information available at that time. If there is material ambiguity as to whether the USS Theodore Roosevelt entered the specified area by that time, this market will resolve to “No.”\n\nPort calls, exercises, or other operations outside the CENTCOM area of responsibility, including in the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command area of responsibility, will not qualify. Announcements, orders, schedules, or reports that the ship will arrive, is en route, or is heading to the Middle East will not qualify absent confirmation that the qualifying arrival has occurred. A qualifying arrival will count regardless of the ship's subsequent movements or tasking.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military, including the U.S. Navy, the Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, and a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt-bw5am-CKVdtx.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/uss-abraham-lincoln-departs-centcom-byptptpt-bw5am-CKVdtx.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.54,0.46],"probability":0.54,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-03T15:46:06Z","end_date":"2026-11-16T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":208.005874,"volume_24hr":208.005874,"prob_24h_change":0.05500000000000005,"volume_24h_change":208.005874,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.683879852294922,"normalized_volume":8.373651504516602,"liquidity":20618.1287,"categories":["Politics"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-04T13:56:33.862625Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T13:56:33.862625Z","added_at":"2026-10-03T15:49:56.118026Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/uss-theodore-roosevelt-arrives-in-centcom-byptptpt/will-the-uss-theodore-roosevelt-arrive-in-centcom-by-november-15-2026","event_title":"USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.495,0.505,0.5,0.515,0.51,0.505,0.505,0.49,0.495,0.52,0.52,0.795,0.795,0.805,0.8,0.795,0.72,0.685,0.66,0.53,0.52,0.54]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1124934","as_of":"2026-10-04T14:56:44.361681Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?\" — top market at 88% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}