{"source":"polymarket","id":"1125032","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-5-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-5-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 4 '26 is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 5 '26.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 4 '26 is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 5 '26.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-03T16:07:07Z","end_date":"2026-10-05T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9833.565624,"volume_24hr":9720.375624000002,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.24153518676758,"normalized_volume":19.197608947753906,"liquidity":50866.8687,"open_interest":9194.964594,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.545,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.06000000000000005,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":9558.449675000002,"updated_at":"2026-10-04T20:16:47.062124Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T20:16:47.062124Z","added_at":"2026-10-03T16:13:22.498345Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-5-2026","chart_24h":[113.19,113.19,132.170393,132.170393,132.170393,230.268433,230.268433,310.65843299999995,310.65843299999995,310.65843299999995,310.65843299999995,310.65843299999995,312.619218,312.619218,312.619218,312.619218,312.619218,324.383924,328.383924,423.3839239999999,7593.928417,8356.058853999999,8638.558155000002,8873.047891000002,9690.620068000002],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5239514","event_id":"1125032","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-5-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 4 '26 is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 5 '26.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 4 '26 is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 5 '26.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.545,0.455],"probability":0.545,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-03T16:07:07Z","end_date":"2026-10-05T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":9833.565624,"volume_24hr":9720.375624000002,"prob_24h_change":0.06000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":9558.449675000002,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.231056213378906,"normalized_volume":24.782129287719727,"liquidity":50482.8905,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-04T20:16:47.330730Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-04T20:16:47.330730Z","added_at":"2026-10-03T16:13:22.585112Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-5-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-5-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.505,0.505,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.505,0.5,0.505,0.495,0.535,0.515,0.515,0.555]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1125032","as_of":"2026-10-04T20:17:53.628246Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?\" — top market at 55% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}