{"source":"polymarket","id":"1131596","ticker":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-6-2026","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-6-2026","title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 5 '26 is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 6 '26.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 5 '26 is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 6 '26.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T16:07:09Z","end_date":"2026-10-06T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16234.641005000003,"volume_24hr":16234.641005000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":35.249080657958984,"normalized_volume":21.361492156982422,"liquidity":44617.2559,"open_interest":13808.287967,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"1312","slug":"crypto-prices","label":"Crypto Prices"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"},{"id":"102169","slug":"hide-from-new","label":"Hide From New"},{"id":"235","slug":"bitcoin","label":"Bitcoin"},{"id":"102127","slug":"up-or-down","label":"Up or Down"},{"id":"102133","slug":"today","label":"Today 🚀"},{"id":"102281","slug":"daily","label":"Daily"},{"id":"103665","slug":"daily-close","label":"Daily-Close"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.635,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.14,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":16234.641005000001,"updated_at":"2026-10-05T19:53:53.192267Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T19:53:53.192267Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T16:21:06.195541Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-6-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,80.39,80.39,80.39,86.370393,86.370393,86.370393,86.370393,86.370393,86.370393,86.370393,91.370393,91.370393,101.370393,101.370393,101.370393,103.331178,103.331178,866.461178,924.422717,5681.923621000002,6191.626772000001,10145.151029,16145.346887],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5287733","event_id":"1131596","slug":"bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-6-2026","question":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 5 '26 is lower than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 6 '26.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Down\" if the \"Close\" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on Oct 5 '26 is higher than the final \"Close\" price for the candle closing at 12:00 ET on Oct 6 '26.\n\nIf the final \"Close\" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BTC+fullsize.png","outcomes":["Up","Down"],"outcome_prices":[0.635,0.365],"probability":0.635,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-04T16:07:09Z","end_date":"2026-10-06T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":16234.641005000003,"volume_24hr":16234.641005000001,"prob_24h_change":0.14,"volume_24h_change":16234.641005000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":37.234317779541016,"normalized_volume":27.57659339904785,"liquidity":45187.7168,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T19:53:53.865692Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T19:53:53.865692Z","added_at":"2026-10-04T16:21:06.380627Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-6-2026/bitcoin-up-or-down-on-october-6-2026","event_title":"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?","chart_24h":[0.505,0.495,0.505,0.495,0.495,0.495,0.5,0.5,0.485,0.485,0.475,0.525,0.595,0.66]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1131596","as_of":"2026-10-05T20:13:49.049146Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?\" — top market at 64% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}