{"source":"polymarket","id":"1138212","ticker":"holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-3rd-place","slug":"holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-3rd-place","title":"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the third most valid votes in the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. 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If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-sagal-abdi-wali-f1c97bcfbd.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-sagal-abdi-wali-f1c97bcfbd.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.192,0.808],"probability":0.192,"spread":0.382,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T17:39:45Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":156.0,"volume_24hr":156.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.22799999999999998,"volume_24h_change":156.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.487523078918457,"normalized_volume":7.5007476806640625,"liquidity":208.99054,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T17:44:44.812648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-3rd-place/will-sagal-abdi-wali-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.42,0.301,0.302,0.303,0.302,0.0415,0.144,0.0385,0.0385,0.068,0.017,0.195,0.0255,0.035]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5332400","event_id":"1138212","slug":"will-clare-fischer-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","question":"Will Clare Fischer finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?","group_item_title":"Clare Fischer","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the third most valid votes in the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-clare-fischer-00d27ad503.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-clare-fischer-00d27ad503.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.173,0.827],"probability":0.173,"spread":0.342,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T17:39:45Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":136.0,"volume_24hr":136.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.247,"volume_24h_change":136.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.929865837097168,"normalized_volume":7.101907730102539,"liquidity":126.75384,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T17:44:44.812648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-3rd-place/will-clare-fischer-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.42,0.301,0.302,0.306,0.2985,0.245,0.039,0.2435,0.2475,0.0355,0.0355,0.035,0.1725,0.15]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5332409","event_id":"1138212","slug":"will-patrick-stillman-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","question":"Will Patrick Stillman finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?","group_item_title":"Patrick Stillman","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the third most valid votes in the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-patrick-stillman-c242cf5fba.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-patrick-stillman-c242cf5fba.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.15,0.85],"probability":0.15,"spread":0.28,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T17:39:45Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":136.0,"volume_24hr":136.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.27,"volume_24h_change":136.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.929865837097168,"normalized_volume":7.101907730102539,"liquidity":130.1959,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T17:44:44.812648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-3rd-place/will-patrick-stillman-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.42,0.245,0.235,0.22,0.155,0.15,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.155,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.07,0.13]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5332407","event_id":"1138212","slug":"will-jonathan-silberman-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","question":"Will Jonathan Silberman finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?","group_item_title":"Jonathan Silberman","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the third most valid votes in the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-jonathan-silberman-fc3b44b36a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-jonathan-silberman-fc3b44b36a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0395,0.9605],"probability":0.0395,"spread":0.061,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T17:39:45Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":139.99726900000002,"volume_24hr":139.997269,"prob_24h_change":-0.3805,"volume_24h_change":139.997269,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.046295166015625,"normalized_volume":7.185178279876709,"liquidity":90.18902,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T17:44:44.812648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-3rd-place/will-jonathan-silberman-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.42,0.036,0.304,0.039,0.0385,0.0405,0.247,0.042,0.037,0.302,0.0075,0.026,0.286,0.302,0.152]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5332403","event_id":"1138212","slug":"will-briony-kapoor-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","question":"Will Briony Kapoor finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?","group_item_title":"Briony Kapoor","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the third most valid votes in the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-briony-kapoor-4a278e3487.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-briony-kapoor-4a278e3487.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.036,0.964],"probability":0.036,"spread":0.068,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T17:39:45Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":225.499217,"volume_24hr":225.499217,"prob_24h_change":-0.384,"volume_24h_change":225.499217,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.062973022460938,"normalized_volume":8.627520561218262,"liquidity":88.45168,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T17:44:44.812648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-3rd-place/will-briony-kapoor-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.42,0.036,0.039,0.304,0.3025,0.3045,0.0385,0.0395,0.0405,0.099,0.026,0.297,0.2635,0.147]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5332410","event_id":"1138212","slug":"will-ben-walker-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","question":"Will Ben Walker finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?","group_item_title":"Ben Walker","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the third most valid votes in the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-ben-walker-b17ad61dd0.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-ben-walker-b17ad61dd0.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.036,0.964],"probability":0.036,"spread":0.068,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T17:39:45Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":159.989144,"volume_24hr":159.989144,"prob_24h_change":-0.384,"volume_24h_change":159.989144,"normalized_vol_24hr":10.591867446899414,"normalized_volume":7.575375556945801,"liquidity":298.50018,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T17:44:44.812648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-3rd-place/will-ben-walker-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.42,0.036,0.3025,0.0425,0.038,0.042,0.241,0.0375,0.0375,0.1665,0.0065,0.2975,0.2765,0.1465]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5332405","event_id":"1138212","slug":"will-ketankumar-pipaliya-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","question":"Will Ketankumar Pipaliya finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?","group_item_title":"Ketankumar Pipaliya","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the third most valid votes in the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-ketankumar-pipaliya-52dbb220fc.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-ketankumar-pipaliya-52dbb220fc.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0355,0.9645],"probability":0.0355,"spread":0.067,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T17:39:45Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":136.0,"volume_24hr":136.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.3845,"volume_24h_change":136.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.929865837097168,"normalized_volume":7.101907730102539,"liquidity":116.04427,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T17:44:44.812648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-3rd-place/will-ketankumar-pipaliya-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.42,0.036,0.3015,0.0395,0.037,0.04,0.038,0.0395,0.037,0.036,0.035,0.2865,0.1855,0.258,0.1485]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5332402","event_id":"1138212","slug":"will-tyler-johnson-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","question":"Will Tyler Johnson finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?","group_item_title":"Tyler Johnson","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the third most valid votes in the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-tyler-johnson-a982a3dba6.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-tyler-johnson-a982a3dba6.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.035,0.965],"probability":0.035,"spread":0.068,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T17:39:45Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":136.0,"volume_24hr":136.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.385,"volume_24h_change":136.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.929865837097168,"normalized_volume":7.101907730102539,"liquidity":122.36295,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T17:44:44.812648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-3rd-place/will-tyler-johnson-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.42,0.301,0.302,0.3055,0.303,0.0375,0.0385,0.2835,0.039,0.0355,0.035,0.035,0.0345,0.2945,0.148]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5332406","event_id":"1138212","slug":"will-zack-polanski-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","question":"Will Zack Polanski finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?","group_item_title":"Zack Polanski","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the third most valid votes in the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-zack-polanski-2c838b58c4.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-zack-polanski-2c838b58c4.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.035,0.965],"probability":0.035,"spread":0.068,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T17:39:45Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":136.0,"volume_24hr":136.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.385,"volume_24h_change":136.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.929865837097168,"normalized_volume":7.101907730102539,"liquidity":221.39109,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T17:44:44.812648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-3rd-place/will-zack-polanski-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.42,0.036,0.306,0.0395,0.0375,0.0375,0.039,0.272,0.0385,0.277,0.0225,0.025,0.2765,0.298,0.1475]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5332408","event_id":"1138212","slug":"will-helen-spiby-vann-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","question":"Will Helen Spiby-Vann finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?","group_item_title":"Helen Spiby-Vann","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the third most valid votes in the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-helen-spiby-vann-3a22e1436a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-helen-spiby-vann-3a22e1436a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0345,0.9655],"probability":0.0345,"spread":0.067,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T17:39:45Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":136.0,"volume_24hr":136.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.38549999999999995,"volume_24h_change":136.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.929865837097168,"normalized_volume":7.101907730102539,"liquidity":279.84282,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T17:44:44.812648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-3rd-place/will-helen-spiby-vann-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.42,0.036,0.304,0.0395,0.039,0.043,0.271,0.0435,0.0395,0.036,0.035,0.0345,0.226,0.1815]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5332397","event_id":"1138212","slug":"will-barmy-brunch-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","question":"Will Barmy Brunch finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?","group_item_title":"Barmy Brunch","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the third most valid votes in the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-barmy-brunch-6239e2dbeb.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/-hsp-barmy-brunch-6239e2dbeb.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0285,0.9715],"probability":0.0285,"spread":0.053,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T17:39:45Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":136.0,"volume_24hr":136.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.39149999999999996,"volume_24h_change":136.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":9.929865837097168,"normalized_volume":7.101907730102539,"liquidity":10328.08833,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:01.571548Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T17:44:44.812648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-3rd-place/will-barmy-brunch-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":[0.42,0.301,0.3035,0.301,0.2985,0.0385,0.038,0.2925,0.294,0.0355,0.0355,0.035,0.253,0.148]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5332462","event_id":"1138212","slug":"will-another-candidate-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","question":"Will another candidate finish third in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the third most valid votes in the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/makerfield-by-election-winner-1ceiGHP2i4dn.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["United Kingdom"],"updated_at":"2026-10-05T17:44:44.812648Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-05T17:44:44.812648Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T17:44:44.812648Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election-3rd-place/will-another-candidate-finish-third-in-the-2026-holborn-and-st-pancras-by-election","event_title":"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place","chart_24h":null}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1138212","as_of":"2026-10-06T06:19:38.235767Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: 3rd Place\" — top market at 42% probability across 16 outcomes","source_url":null}}