{"source":"polymarket","id":"1138990","ticker":"russia-pneumonic-plague-declared-public-health-emergency-byptptpt","slug":"russia-pneumonic-plague-declared-public-health-emergency-byptptpt","title":"Plague declared public health emergency by...?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the World Health Organization officially declares a Public Health Emergency of International Concern covering plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly a determination that constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern under the International Health Regulations will qualify. Other designations will not be considered, including the convening of an Emergency Committee, a Disease Outbreak News publication, a grade assigned under the WHO Emergency Response Framework, and a characterization of the outbreak as a pandemic.\n\nA Public Health Emergency of International Concern already in effect at market creation does not qualify; the declaration must occur between market creation and the specified date.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/new-pandemic-in-2025-LHjGCD7X6VYI.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/new-pandemic-in-2025-LHjGCD7X6VYI.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3785.0738619999993,"volume_24hr":3785.073862,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.45762825012207,"normalized_volume":15.427555084228516,"liquidity":5431.71289,"open_interest":2212.66564,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"95","slug":"russia","label":"Russia"},{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"},{"id":"570","slug":"pandemics","label":"Pandemics"},{"id":"106302","slug":"plague","label":"Plague"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"December 31","top_outcome_probability":0.08,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.415,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2320.027296,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:15.397783Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:15.397783Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T19:55:04.592714Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/russia-pneumonic-plague-declared-public-health-emergency-byptptpt","chart_24h":[0.0,21.276566,141.276566,618.144253,624.096628,653.636628,663.636628,859.215363,3755.843862,3755.843862,3785.073862,3785.073862],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5340151","event_id":"1138990","slug":"will-the-who-declare-a-pheic-for-plague-by-december-31","question":"Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?","group_item_title":"December 31","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the World Health Organization officially declares a Public Health Emergency of International Concern covering plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly a determination that constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern under the International Health Regulations will qualify. Other designations will not be considered, including the convening of an Emergency Committee, a Disease Outbreak News publication, a grade assigned under the WHO Emergency Response Framework, and a characterization of the outbreak as a pandemic.\n\nA Public Health Emergency of International Concern already in effect at market creation does not qualify; the declaration must occur between market creation and the specified date.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/new-pandemic-in-2025-LHjGCD7X6VYI.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/new-pandemic-in-2025-LHjGCD7X6VYI.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":2320.0272959999993,"volume_24hr":2320.027296,"prob_24h_change":-0.415,"volume_24h_change":2320.027296,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.637331008911133,"normalized_volume":17.620786666870117,"liquidity":2738.0511,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:15.572032Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:15.572032Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T19:55:04.751948Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/russia-pneumonic-plague-declared-public-health-emergency-byptptpt/will-the-who-declare-a-pheic-for-plague-by-december-31","event_title":"Plague declared public health emergency by...?","chart_24h":[0.495,0.105,0.21,0.185,0.185,0.175,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5340150","event_id":"1138990","slug":"will-the-who-declare-a-pheic-for-plague-by-november-30","question":"Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?","group_item_title":"November 30","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the World Health Organization officially declares a Public Health Emergency of International Concern covering plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nOnly a determination that constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern under the International Health Regulations will qualify. Other designations will not be considered, including the convening of an Emergency Committee, a Disease Outbreak News publication, a grade assigned under the WHO Emergency Response Framework, and a characterization of the outbreak as a pandemic.\n\nA Public Health Emergency of International Concern already in effect at market creation does not qualify; the declaration must occur between market creation and the specified date.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/new-pandemic-in-2025-LHjGCD7X6VYI.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/new-pandemic-in-2025-LHjGCD7X6VYI.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0425,0.9575],"probability":0.0425,"spread":0.015,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T19:45:00Z","end_date":"2026-12-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1465.046566,"volume_24hr":1465.046566,"prob_24h_change":-0.2175,"volume_24h_change":1465.046566,"normalized_vol_24hr":21.80270004272461,"normalized_volume":15.593440055847168,"liquidity":2885.05179,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:15.572032Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T06:04:15.572032Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T19:55:04.751948Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/russia-pneumonic-plague-declared-public-health-emergency-byptptpt/will-the-who-declare-a-pheic-for-plague-by-november-30","event_title":"Plague declared public health emergency by...?","chart_24h":[0.26,0.075,0.105,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.055,0.0455,0.046,0.0425,0.042]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1138990","as_of":"2026-10-06T06:19:37.348589Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Plague declared public health emergency by...?\" — top market at 8% probability across 2 outcomes","source_url":null}}