{"source":"polymarket","id":"1138993","ticker":"plague-pandemic-in-2026","slug":"plague-pandemic-in-2026","title":"Plague pandemic in 2026?","description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a \"pandemic\" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a \"pandemic\". A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/new-pandemic-in-2025-LHjGCD7X6VYI.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/new-pandemic-in-2025-LHjGCD7X6VYI.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T19:47:23Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7368.7606510000005,"volume_24hr":7368.760651,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.739723205566406,"normalized_volume":18.022735595703125,"liquidity":30216.5411,"open_interest":5327.753605,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"74","slug":"science","label":"Science"},{"id":"570","slug":"pandemics","label":"Pandemics"},{"id":"106302","slug":"plague","label":"Plague"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.055,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.025,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":7368.760651,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T00:55:31.889746Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T00:55:31.889746Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T19:55:04.592714Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/plague-pandemic-in-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,1094.953043,5195.639546,5306.948695,7343.550124,7368.760651],"kind":"live","markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5340154","event_id":"1138993","slug":"plague-pandemic-in-2026","question":"Plague pandemic in 2026?","group_item_title":null,"description":"This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a \"pandemic\" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nAn explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a \"pandemic\". A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/new-pandemic-in-2025-LHjGCD7X6VYI.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/new-pandemic-in-2025-LHjGCD7X6VYI.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.055,0.945],"probability":0.055,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-05T19:47:23Z","end_date":"2027-01-01T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":7633.7606510000005,"volume_24hr":7633.760651,"prob_24h_change":-0.025,"volume_24h_change":7368.760651,"normalized_vol_24hr":31.4146728515625,"normalized_volume":23.266429901123047,"liquidity":30236.6411,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T00:55:32.101946Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T00:55:32.101946Z","added_at":"2026-10-05T19:55:04.751948Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/plague-pandemic-in-2026/plague-pandemic-in-2026","event_title":"Plague pandemic in 2026?","chart_24h":[0.08,0.065,0.065,0.06,0.06,0.055]}],"_meta":{"attribution":"pdata.world — aggregated prediction-market data across 8 platforms","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1138993","as_of":"2026-10-06T00:57:10.227491Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Plague pandemic in 2026?\" — top market at 6% probability across 1 outcome","source_url":null}}