{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1142093","as_of":"2026-10-06T14:05:24.799302Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026\" — 9 markets; highest \"Ariel Pakes\" at 32% as of 2026-10-06 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1142093","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1142093","ticker":"nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026","slug":"nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026","title":"Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026","description":"The Nobel Prize in Economics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is scheduled to be announced on October 12, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest.\n\nThe Nobel Prize in Economics means the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them.\n\nIf the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T09:04:46Z","end_date":"2026-10-13T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":13515.176146,"volume_24hr":13515.176146,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":34.98837661743164,"normalized_volume":20.31241226196289,"liquidity":17718.94843,"open_interest":3957.2160489999997,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"100771","slug":"nobel","label":"nobel"},{"id":"18","slug":"awards","label":"Awards"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"106306","slug":"nobel-prize","label":"Nobel Prize"},{"id":"103070","slug":"nobel-peace-prize","label":"Nobel Peace Prize"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Ariel Pakes","top_outcome_probability":0.325,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.19,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":455.76667,"updated_at":"2026-10-06T14:05:08.079460Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T14:05:08.079460Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T09:11:28.847293Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026","chart_24h":[0.0,332.97,5449.61373,7581.7385890000005,10051.927184,10181.927184,13345.953633,13345.953633],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5371243","event_id":"1142093","slug":"will-ariel-pakes-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","question":"Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?","group_item_title":"Ariel Pakes","description":"The Nobel Prize in Economics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is scheduled to be announced on October 12, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest.\n\nThe Nobel Prize in Economics means the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them.\n\nIf the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.325,0.675],"probability":0.325,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T09:04:48Z","end_date":"2026-10-13T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":461.827277,"volume_24hr":461.827277,"prob_24h_change":0.19,"volume_24h_change":455.76667,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.385493278503418,"normalized_volume":11.003808975219727,"liquidity":1852.1234,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T14:05:08.128595Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T14:05:08.128595Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T09:11:28.937006Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026/will-ariel-pakes-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","event_title":"Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.135,0.205,0.35,0.335,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.325]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5371237","event_id":"1142093","slug":"will-susan-athey-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","question":"Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?","group_item_title":"Susan Athey","description":"The Nobel Prize in Economics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is scheduled to be announced on October 12, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest.\n\nThe Nobel Prize in Economics means the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them.\n\nIf the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.22,0.78],"probability":0.22,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T09:04:46Z","end_date":"2026-10-13T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2581.1781349999997,"volume_24hr":2581.178135,"prob_24h_change":-0.035,"volume_24h_change":2472.844801,"normalized_vol_24hr":25.04442024230957,"normalized_volume":17.91193962097168,"liquidity":1249.3534,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T14:05:08.128595Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T14:05:08.128595Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T09:11:28.937006Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026/will-susan-athey-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","event_title":"Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.255,0.185,0.195,0.24,0.265,0.265,0.235,0.22]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5371238","event_id":"1142093","slug":"will-robert-barro-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","question":"Will Robert Barro win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?","group_item_title":"Robert Barro","description":"The Nobel Prize in Economics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is scheduled to be announced on October 12, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest.\n\nThe Nobel Prize in Economics means the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them.\n\nIf the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T09:04:46Z","end_date":"2026-10-13T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1955.4978740000001,"volume_24hr":1955.4978740000001,"prob_24h_change":0.07500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":1938.4978740000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":23.508747100830078,"normalized_volume":16.813615798950195,"liquidity":2630.4502,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T14:05:08.128595Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T14:05:08.128595Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T09:11:28.937006Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026/will-robert-barro-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","event_title":"Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.04,0.045,0.16,0.145,0.115,0.115,0.115,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5371239","event_id":"1142093","slug":"will-richard-blundell-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","question":"Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?","group_item_title":"Richard Blundell","description":"The Nobel Prize in Economics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is scheduled to be announced on October 12, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest.\n\nThe Nobel Prize in Economics means the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them.\n\nIf the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.106,0.894],"probability":0.106,"spread":0.012,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T09:04:46Z","end_date":"2026-10-13T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":753.948572,"volume_24hr":753.948572,"prob_24h_change":-0.035500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":736.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.883922576904297,"normalized_volume":12.790703773498535,"liquidity":2860.56696,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T14:05:08.128595Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T14:05:08.128595Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T09:11:28.937006Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026/will-richard-blundell-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","event_title":"Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.135,0.0465,0.1,0.1,0.0995,0.0995,0.0995]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5371240","event_id":"1142093","slug":"will-partha-dasgupta-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","question":"Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?","group_item_title":"Partha Dasgupta","description":"The Nobel Prize in Economics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is scheduled to be announced on October 12, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest.\n\nThe Nobel Prize in Economics means the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them.\n\nIf the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.092,0.908],"probability":0.092,"spread":0.016,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T09:04:48Z","end_date":"2026-10-13T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3801.5991309999995,"volume_24hr":3801.5991309999995,"prob_24h_change":-0.03950000000000001,"volume_24h_change":3801.5991309999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":27.876197814941406,"normalized_volume":19.220705032348633,"liquidity":1743.67373,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T14:05:08.128595Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T14:05:08.128595Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T09:11:28.937006Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026/will-partha-dasgupta-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","event_title":"Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.13,0.045,0.0765,0.086,0.106,0.106,0.0865,0.0905]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5371244","event_id":"1142093","slug":"will-matthew-rabin-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","question":"Will Matthew Rabin win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?","group_item_title":"Matthew Rabin","description":"The Nobel Prize in Economics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is scheduled to be announced on October 12, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest.\n\nThe Nobel Prize in Economics means the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them.\n\nIf the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T09:04:48Z","end_date":"2026-10-13T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":765.9200000000001,"volume_24hr":765.9200000000001,"prob_24h_change":-0.045,"volume_24h_change":745.94,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.955833435058594,"normalized_volume":12.519107818603516,"liquidity":1400.8044,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T14:05:08.128595Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T14:05:08.128595Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T09:11:28.937006Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026/will-matthew-rabin-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","event_title":"Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.13,0.055,0.08,0.085,0.085,0.085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5371242","event_id":"1142093","slug":"will-andreu-mas-colell-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","question":"Will Andreu Mas-Colell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?","group_item_title":"Andreu Mas-Colell","description":"The Nobel Prize in Economics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is scheduled to be announced on October 12, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest.\n\nThe Nobel Prize in Economics means the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them.\n\nIf the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0825,0.9175],"probability":0.0825,"spread":0.025,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T09:04:48Z","end_date":"2026-10-13T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":633.0,"volume_24hr":633.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.0475,"volume_24h_change":633.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":17.077011108398438,"normalized_volume":12.213594436645508,"liquidity":1024.34999,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T12:27:20.560733Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T12:27:20.560733Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T09:11:28.937006Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026/will-andreu-mas-colell-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","event_title":"Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.13,0.045,0.085,0.085,0.0825,0.0825]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5371245","event_id":"1142093","slug":"will-luigi-zingales-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","question":"Will Luigi Zingales win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?","group_item_title":"Luigi Zingales","description":"The Nobel Prize in Economics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is scheduled to be announced on October 12, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest.\n\nThe Nobel Prize in Economics means the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them.\n\nIf the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T09:04:47Z","end_date":"2026-10-13T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1706.4851569999998,"volume_24hr":1706.485157,"prob_24h_change":-0.06000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":1706.485157,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.724092483520508,"normalized_volume":16.252426147460938,"liquidity":1602.9194,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T13:24:55.689376Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T13:24:55.689376Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T09:11:28.937006Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026/will-luigi-zingales-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","event_title":"Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.135,0.065,0.1,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075,0.075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5371241","event_id":"1142093","slug":"will-ernst-fehr-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","question":"Will Ernst Fehr win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?","group_item_title":"Ernst Fehr","description":"The Nobel Prize in Economics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is scheduled to be announced on October 12, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest.\n\nThe Nobel Prize in Economics means the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics will resolve to \"Yes\" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them.\n\nIf the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nobel-peace-prize-winner-2025-386lTPX7gsMl.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0745,0.9255],"probability":0.0745,"spread":0.009,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-06T09:04:48Z","end_date":"2026-10-13T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":855.72,"volume_24hr":855.72,"prob_24h_change":-0.1805,"volume_24h_change":855.72,"normalized_vol_24hr":18.707870483398438,"normalized_volume":13.379996299743652,"liquidity":1368.00923,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-06T12:27:20.560733Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-06T12:27:20.560733Z","added_at":"2026-10-06T09:11:28.937006Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/nobel-economics-prize-winner-2026/will-ernst-fehr-win-the-nobel-prize-in-economics-in-2026","event_title":"Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026","chart_24h":[0.255,0.05,0.0755,0.0705,0.0745,0.0745]}]}