{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1145601","as_of":"2026-10-10T03:32:04.812313Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"\"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office\" — \"<8m\" leads at 63% across 6 outcomes as of 2026-10-10 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1145601","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1145601","ticker":"whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office","slug":"whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office","title":"\"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/whalefall-rotten-tomatoes-score-20261019-8lMf6YWLAxCS.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/whalefall-rotten-tomatoes-score-20261019-8lMf6YWLAxCS.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T00:05:16Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1463.521112,"volume_24hr":1253.521112,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.837034225463867,"normalized_volume":12.072410583496094,"liquidity":2866.848,"open_interest":1017.521111,"categories":["Culture"],"tags":[{"id":"53","slug":"movies","label":"Movies"},{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"51","slug":"box-office","label":"Box Office"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"<8m","top_outcome_probability":0.63,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.06500000000000006,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":261.0000000000001,"updated_at":"2026-10-10T03:17:29.895211Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T03:17:29.895211Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T00:28:17.626469Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office","chart_24h":[1131.41,1171.41,1211.41,1211.41,1171.41,1146.41,1146.41,1061.41,1242.41,1242.41,1242.41,1242.41,1242.41,1242.41,1242.41,1253.521112,1253.521112,1253.521112,1253.521112,1253.521112,1253.521112,1253.521112,1253.521112,1253.521112,1253.521112,1253.521112,1253.521112,1253.521112,1253.521112,1253.521112,1253.521112],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":6,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5394247","event_id":"1145601","slug":"will-whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office-be-less-than-8m","question":"Will \"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?","group_item_title":"<8m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.63,0.37],"probability":0.63,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T00:05:16Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1302.4099999999999,"volume_24hr":1242.41,"prob_24h_change":0.06500000000000006,"volume_24h_change":261.0000000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":22.046606063842773,"normalized_volume":15.094484329223633,"liquidity":410.5694,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-10T01:38:56.982024Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T01:38:56.982024Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T00:28:17.674370Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office/will-whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office-be-less-than-8m","event_title":"\"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.565,0.575,0.585,0.665,0.615,0.625,0.645,0.655,0.66,0.655,0.66,0.63]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5394248","event_id":"1145601","slug":"will-whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-8m-and-10m","question":"Will \"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?","group_item_title":"8-10m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.145,0.855],"probability":0.145,"spread":0.25,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T00:05:16Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":11.111112,"volume_24hr":11.111112,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":11.111112,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.7010533809661865,"normalized_volume":1.8250890970230103,"liquidity":486.5896,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-10T03:17:30.217119Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T03:17:30.217119Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T00:28:17.674370Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office/will-whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-8m-and-10m","event_title":"\"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.145,0.195,0.13,0.145,0.195,0.115,0.16,0.195,0.135,0.145,0.135,0.135,0.135,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.145,0.185,0.135,0.185,0.145,0.135,0.145,0.135,0.185,0.135,0.18,0.18,0.145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5394252","event_id":"1145601","slug":"will-whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office-be-at-least-16m","question":"Will \"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 16m?","group_item_title":"16m+","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.145,0.855],"probability":0.145,"spread":0.25,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T00:05:16Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.0,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":522.1997,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-10T03:17:30.217119Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T03:17:30.217119Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T00:28:17.674370Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office/will-whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office-be-at-least-16m","event_title":"\"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.145,0.14,0.195,0.13,0.135,0.145,0.135,0.135,0.115,0.145,0.145,0.11,0.135,0.11,0.195,0.135,0.195,0.105,0.19,0.185,0.135,0.145,0.19,0.135,0.185,0.11,0.135,0.145,0.18,0.145,0.145]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5394250","event_id":"1145601","slug":"will-whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-12m-and-14m","question":"Will \"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?","group_item_title":"12-14m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.2,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T00:05:16Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":150.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":0.009999999999999995,"volume_24h_change":-110.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.385583877563477,"liquidity":177.5352,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":["United States"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T15:09:27.387804Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T15:09:27.387804Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T00:28:17.674370Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office/will-whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-12m-and-14m","event_title":"\"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":[0.11,0.11,0.11,0.115,0.12,0.115,0.12]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5394249","event_id":"1145601","slug":"will-whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-10m-and-12m","question":"Will \"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?","group_item_title":"10-12m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T00:05:16Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":144.1825,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T10:45:44.057506Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T10:45:44.057506Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T00:28:17.674370Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office/will-whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-10m-and-12m","event_title":"\"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5394251","event_id":"1145601","slug":"will-whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-14m-and-16m","question":"Will \"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?","group_item_title":"14-16m","description":"This market will resolve according to how much \"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.07,0.93],"probability":0.07,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T00:05:16Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T12:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":217.6728,"categories":["Culture"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-08T00:46:32.175862Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-08T00:46:32.175862Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T00:28:17.674370Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office/will-whalefall-opening-weekend-box-office-be-between-14m-and-16m","event_title":"\"Whalefall\" Opening Weekend Box Office","chart_24h":null}]}