{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1149120","as_of":"2026-10-07T23:47:48.980529Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Gemini Argon released on...?\" — \"October 9\" leads at 12% across 25 outcomes as of 2026-10-07 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1149120","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1149120","ticker":"gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007","slug":"gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007","title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3659.9,"volume_24hr":3520.4,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.51194190979004,"normalized_volume":15.299925804138184,"liquidity":7779.91713,"open_interest":1109.5794950000002,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"tags":[{"id":"439","slug":"ai","label":"AI"},{"id":"1401","slug":"tech","label":"Tech"},{"id":"106297","slug":"argon","label":"Argon"},{"id":"1410","slug":"gemini","label":"Gemini"},{"id":"663","slug":"google","label":"google"},{"id":"105579","slug":"ai-releases","label":"AI Releases"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"October 9","top_outcome_probability":0.125,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.024999999999999994,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":159.6,"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.260786Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.260786Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.147690Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007","chart_24h":[0.0,20.0,20.0,45.0,65.0,3163.4,3163.4,3408.6,3520.4],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":25,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408179","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-9-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 9, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 9","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.125,0.875],"probability":0.125,"spread":0.13,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-10T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":159.6,"volume_24hr":159.6,"prob_24h_change":0.024999999999999994,"volume_24h_change":159.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.7276611328125,"normalized_volume":7.568161487579346,"liquidity":227.3103,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-9-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.14,0.165,0.135,0.15,0.15,0.145,0.065,0.125]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408193","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-23-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 23, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 23","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.12,0.88],"probability":0.12,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-24T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":0.01999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":347.2241,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-23-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.155,0.145,0.135,0.095,0.1,0.12]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408201","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-31-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 31","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.115,0.885],"probability":0.115,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":372.2731,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-31-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.145,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.115]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408178","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-or-prior-to-october-8-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on or prior to October 8, 2026?","group_item_title":"On or prior to October 8","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.11,0.89],"probability":0.11,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-09T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":159.6,"volume_24hr":159.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.02500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":159.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.7276611328125,"normalized_volume":7.568161487579346,"liquidity":242.0639,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-or-prior-to-october-8-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.14,0.26,0.115,0.135,0.14,0.11]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408188","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-18-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 18, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 18","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-19T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.035,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":306.6293,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T22:54:40.101920Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T22:54:40.101920Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-18-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.125,0.125,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408192","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-22-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 22, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 22","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.095,0.905],"probability":0.095,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-23T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.15,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":385.823,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-22-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.245,0.135,0.145,0.135,0.145,0.14,0.11,0.095,0.095]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408181","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-11-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 11, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 11","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-12T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.04000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":280.0651,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-11-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.14,0.11,0.135,0.25,0.13,0.125,0.13,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408187","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-17-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 17, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 17","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.16,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-18T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.04000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":332.6031,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-17-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.135,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.135,0.1,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408197","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-27-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 27, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 27","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.09,0.91],"probability":0.09,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":200.1,"volume_24hr":200.1,"prob_24h_change":-0.05499999999999999,"volume_24h_change":200.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.789214134216309,"normalized_volume":8.253209114074707,"liquidity":323.8483,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-27-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.145,0.2,0.285,0.265,0.31,0.275,0.145,0.18,0.09]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408182","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-12-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 12, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 12","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-13T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.05,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":312.6218,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-12-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.145,0.14,0.165,0.1,0.05,0.255,0.13,0.085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408199","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-29-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 29, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 29","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.15,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-30T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.05,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":327.2697,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-29-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.205,0.11,0.145,0.105,0.135,0.135,0.12,0.085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408180","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-10-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 10, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 10","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.1,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-11T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.05,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":296.7893,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-10-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.11,0.135,0.14,0.145,0.12,0.135,0.16,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408198","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-28-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 28, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 28","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.08,0.92],"probability":0.08,"spread":0.08,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-29T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.020000000000000004,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":329.0629,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-28-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.11,0.135,0.145,0.095,0.11,0.26,0.11,0.08]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408200","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-30-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 30, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 30","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.075,0.925],"probability":0.075,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-31T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.06500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":320.7025,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-30-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.145,0.14,0.135,0.09,0.1,0.165,0.105,0.075]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408185","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-15-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 15, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 15","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.07,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-16T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.035,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":320.5035,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-15-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.135,0.14,0.145,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.05,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408186","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-16-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 16, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 16","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.07500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":300.5837,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-16-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.165,0.135,0.145,0.155,0.13,0.12,0.065,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408196","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-26-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 26, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 26","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.065,0.935],"probability":0.065,"spread":0.11,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-27T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.035,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":331.1285,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-26-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.11,0.165,0.135,0.085,0.105,0.075,0.075,0.065]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408183","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-13-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 13","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-14T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.085,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":318.5034,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-13-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.135,0.145,0.095,0.145,0.145,0.05,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408184","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-14-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 14, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 14","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-15T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.085,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":292.6537,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-14-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.14,0.165,0.145,0.155,0.115,0.175,0.065,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408191","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-21-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 21, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 21","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-22T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.50000000000003,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.09000000000000001,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":281.1249,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:17:26.703192Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:17:26.703192Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-21-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.14,0.135,0.135,0.145,0.145,0.135,0.145,0.105,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408202","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-there-be-no-gemini-argon-release-by-october-31-2026","question":"Will there be no Gemini Argon release by October 31, 2026?","group_item_title":"No release by October 31","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.05,0.95],"probability":0.05,"spread":0.04,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.085,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":247.7635,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-there-be-no-gemini-argon-release-by-october-31-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.135,0.14,0.25,0.145,0.13,0.145,0.065,0.05]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408190","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-20-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 20, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 20","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-21T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.50000000000003,"volume_24hr":139.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.05500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":139.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.11829662322998,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":344.7439,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-20-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.11,0.145,0.14,0.1,0.115,0.165,0.05,0.045]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408195","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-25-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 25, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 25","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.04,0.96],"probability":0.04,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-26T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":190.10000000000002,"volume_24hr":190.1,"prob_24h_change":-0.09,"volume_24h_change":190.1,"normalized_vol_24hr":12.544415473937988,"normalized_volume":8.095233917236328,"liquidity":328.1723,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:39:44.319085Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-25-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.13,0.25,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.095,0.1,0.045,0.04]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408194","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-24-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 24, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 24","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0305,0.9695],"probability":0.0305,"spread":0.039,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-25T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":160.5,"volume_24hr":160.5,"prob_24h_change":-0.0695,"volume_24h_change":160.5,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.753483772277832,"normalized_volume":7.584825038909912,"liquidity":269.85398,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:17:26.703192Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:17:26.703192Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-24-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.145,0.24,0.145,0.14,0.095,0.1,0.035,0.0305]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5408189","event_id":"1149120","slug":"will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-19-2026","question":"Will Gemini Argon be released on October 19, 2026?","group_item_title":"October 19","description":"On September 30, 2026, Google announced Gemini 4 Argon, its next-generation frontier model (https://blog.google/innovation-and-ai/models-and-research/gemini-models/gemini-4-argon/), with initial availability limited to trusted partners through its Fairwind Program.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's \"Gemini Argon,\" or a model qualifying under the terms below, is made available to the general public.\n\nAny model whose official name includes \"Argon,\" or that Google officially describes as an Argon model, an Argon-class model, or the public release or counterpart of the model referenced in the announcement, will qualify.\n\nA qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/gemini-3pt0-released-by-Jgab86ADS9yM.png","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.045,0.955],"probability":0.045,"spread":0.03,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-07T16:51:52Z","end_date":"2026-10-20T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":139.5,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.05500000000000001,"volume_24h_change":0.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":7.174922943115234,"liquidity":293.3876,"categories":["Science and Technology"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-07T23:17:26.703192Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-07T23:17:26.703192Z","added_at":"2026-10-07T17:17:51.222085Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/gemini-argon-released-onptptpt-20261007/will-gemini-argon-be-released-on-october-19-2026","event_title":"Gemini Argon released on...?","chart_24h":[0.1,0.14,0.135,0.135,0.16,0.12,0.145,0.135,0.045]}]}