{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1154294","as_of":"2026-10-09T10:15:18.531163Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?\" — \"40-64\" leads at 34% across 10 outcomes as of 2026-10-09 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1154294","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1154294","ticker":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026","title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-08T16:07:18Z","end_date":"2026-10-12T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4044.799156,"volume_24hr":4044.7991559999996,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.237899780273438,"normalized_volume":15.672887802124023,"liquidity":14017.98509,"open_interest":2550.47836,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"tags":[{"id":"596","slug":"pop-culture","label":"Culture"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"972","slug":"tweets-markets","label":"Tweet Markets"},{"id":"101757","slug":"recurring","label":"Recurring"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"40-64","top_outcome_probability":0.34,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.12,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":1724.342139,"updated_at":"2026-10-09T09:57:18.084356Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T09:57:18.084356Z","added_at":"2026-10-08T16:23:19.205337Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026","chart_24h":[47.0,57.0,60.829269,62.162603,197.162603,197.162603,197.162603,412.162603,423.394363,445.37416299999995,488.29416299999997,488.29416299999997,594.1192179999999,1005.4946709999999,1025.494671,1306.264671,1715.6186790000002,1715.618679,3489.385822,3715.285822,3715.285822,3858.135822,4044.7991559999996],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":10,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5432791","event_id":"1154294","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-40-64","question":"Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?","group_item_title":"40-64","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.34,0.66],"probability":0.34,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-08T16:07:18Z","end_date":"2026-10-12T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1751.342139,"volume_24hr":1751.342139,"prob_24h_change":-0.12,"volume_24h_change":1724.342139,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.64836883544922,"normalized_volume":16.365875244140625,"liquidity":1407.782,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T09:57:18.288508Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T09:57:18.288508Z","added_at":"2026-10-08T16:23:19.369178Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-40-64","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.46,0.28,0.265,0.28,0.27,0.205,0.19,0.385,0.375,0.335,0.33,0.32,0.325,0.325,0.325,0.285,0.285,0.355,0.345,0.335,0.335,0.34]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5432792","event_id":"1154294","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-65-89","question":"Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?","group_item_title":"65-89","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.295,0.705],"probability":0.295,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-08T16:07:18Z","end_date":"2026-10-12T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":152.07333400000002,"volume_24hr":152.073334,"prob_24h_change":-0.19,"volume_24h_change":152.073334,"normalized_vol_24hr":11.183854103088379,"normalized_volume":7.425787448883057,"liquidity":1365.207,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T09:57:18.288508Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T09:57:18.288508Z","added_at":"2026-10-08T16:23:19.369178Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-65-89","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.485,0.475,0.47,0.35,0.27,0.275,0.28,0.275,0.275,0.275,0.295,0.295]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5432793","event_id":"1154294","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-90-114","question":"Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?","group_item_title":"90-114","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.195,0.805],"probability":0.195,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-08T16:07:18Z","end_date":"2026-10-12T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":234.156466,"volume_24hr":234.156466,"prob_24h_change":-0.03999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":234.156466,"normalized_vol_24hr":13.17414379119873,"normalized_volume":8.74728775024414,"liquidity":1744.7498,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T09:57:18.288508Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T09:57:18.288508Z","added_at":"2026-10-08T16:23:19.369178Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-90-114","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.235,0.155,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195,0.195]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5432790","event_id":"1154294","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-0-39","question":"Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?","group_item_title":"<40","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.085,0.915],"probability":0.085,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-08T16:07:18Z","end_date":"2026-10-12T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":1624.747217,"volume_24hr":1624.7472169999999,"prob_24h_change":-0.33999999999999997,"volume_24h_change":1604.7472169999999,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.155914306640625,"normalized_volume":16.038898468017578,"liquidity":6505.5681,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T09:33:19.150689Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T09:33:19.150689Z","added_at":"2026-10-08T16:23:19.369178Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-0-39","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.425,0.115,0.38,0.235,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.125,0.11,0.095,0.085,0.085,0.065,0.065,0.065,0.085,0.085,0.085,0.085]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5432794","event_id":"1154294","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-115-139","question":"Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?","group_item_title":"115-139","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.032,0.968],"probability":0.032,"spread":0.036,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-08T16:07:18Z","end_date":"2026-10-12T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2.08,"volume_24hr":2.08,"prob_24h_change":0.0020000000000000018,"volume_24h_change":2.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.5591751337051392,"normalized_volume":0.37127771973609924,"liquidity":628.58233,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T09:57:18.288508Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T09:57:18.288508Z","added_at":"2026-10-08T16:23:19.369178Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-115-139","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.036,0.207,0.045,0.0455,0.0495,0.032]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5432795","event_id":"1154294","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-140-164","question":"Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?","group_item_title":"140-164","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0255,0.9745],"probability":0.0255,"spread":0.029,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-08T16:07:18Z","end_date":"2026-10-12T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":2.08,"volume_24hr":2.08,"prob_24h_change":-0.0045000000000000005,"volume_24h_change":2.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":0.5591751337051392,"normalized_volume":0.37127771973609924,"liquidity":571.04521,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T09:57:18.288508Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T09:57:18.288508Z","added_at":"2026-10-08T16:23:19.369178Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-140-164","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.035,0.035,0.0325,0.032,0.035,0.0275,0.0275,0.0255,0.0255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5432796","event_id":"1154294","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-165-189","question":"Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?","group_item_title":"165-189","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.02,0.98],"probability":0.02,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-08T16:07:18Z","end_date":"2026-10-12T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":12.08,"volume_24hr":12.08,"prob_24h_change":-0.009999999999999998,"volume_24h_change":12.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.9209883213043213,"normalized_volume":1.939460039138794,"liquidity":933.51243,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T09:57:18.288508Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T09:57:18.288508Z","added_at":"2026-10-08T16:23:19.369178Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-165-189","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.0325,0.0325,0.0325,0.021,0.0205,0.0185,0.016,0.0155,0.02]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5432798","event_id":"1154294","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-190-214","question":"Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?","group_item_title":"190-214","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/elon-musk-of-tweets-nov-22-29-apMPG21-pzx_.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.016,0.984],"probability":0.016,"spread":0.028,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-08T16:07:18Z","end_date":"2026-10-12T16:00:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":12.08,"volume_24hr":12.08,"prob_24h_change":-0.013999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":12.08,"normalized_vol_24hr":2.9209883213043213,"normalized_volume":1.939460039138794,"liquidity":698.90587,"categories":["Culture","Politics"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T09:57:18.288508Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T09:57:18.288508Z","added_at":"2026-10-08T16:23:19.369178Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026/elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-190-214","event_title":"Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?","chart_24h":[0.03,0.026,0.0265,0.0265,0.01,0.0095,0.0115,0.011,0.009,0.016]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5432799","event_id":"1154294","slug":"elon-musk-of-tweets-october-10-october-12-2026-215-239","question":"Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?","group_item_title":"215-239","description":"This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". 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