{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1159352","as_of":"2026-10-10T17:46:55.868964Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place\" — \"Party A\" leads at 50% across 5 outcomes as of 2026-10-10 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1159352","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-south-wales-parliamentary-election-2nd-place"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1159352","ticker":"new-south-wales-parliamentary-election-2nd-place","slug":"new-south-wales-parliamentary-election-2nd-place","title":"New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place","description":"The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (New South Wales' lower house) as a result of the next New South Wales state election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nLiberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.\n\nParties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New South Wales government, specifically the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) (https://elections.nsw.gov.au/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nswparty-badge-61f26ba96a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nswparty-badge-61f26ba96a.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T14:11:20Z","end_date":"2027-03-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":1256.31,"volume_24hr":1256.31,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":20.88547706604004,"normalized_volume":11.572162628173828,"liquidity":22971.7774,"open_interest":765.31,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"520","slug":"australia","label":"Australia"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"Party A","top_outcome_probability":0.5,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":null,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":null,"updated_at":"2026-10-10T17:25:07.927605Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T17:25:07.927605Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T14:23:51.691689Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-south-wales-parliamentary-election-2nd-place","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,0.0,60.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,378.31,378.31,378.31,378.31,378.31,378.31,458.31,608.91,728.91,728.91,750.91,811.51,1137.31,1216.31,1216.31,1216.31,1216.31,1216.31,1236.31,1256.31],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":5,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5457442","event_id":"1159352","slug":"will-labor-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-new-south-wales-state-election","question":"Will Labor win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?","group_item_title":"Labor","description":"The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (New South Wales' lower house) as a result of the next New South Wales state election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nLiberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.\n\nParties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New South Wales government, specifically the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) (https://elections.nsw.gov.au/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nswparty-labor-889fe4f603.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nswparty-labor-889fe4f603.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.25,0.75],"probability":0.25,"spread":0.06,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T14:11:20Z","end_date":"2027-03-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":811.51,"volume_24hr":811.5100000000001,"prob_24h_change":0.095,"volume_24h_change":811.5100000000001,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.492319107055664,"normalized_volume":13.170868873596191,"liquidity":10705.1451,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-10-10T16:35:42.249173Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T16:35:42.249173Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T14:23:51.730513Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-south-wales-parliamentary-election-2nd-place/will-labor-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-new-south-wales-state-election","event_title":"New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":[0.155,0.17,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.345,0.25,0.26,0.335,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.105,0.11,0.105,0.235,0.245,0.225,0.23,0.21,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.245,0.25,0.25]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5457443","event_id":"1159352","slug":"will-liberal-national-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-new-south-wales-state-election","question":"Will Liberal–National win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?","group_item_title":"Liberal–National","description":"The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (New South Wales' lower house) as a result of the next New South Wales state election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nLiberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.\n\nParties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New South Wales government, specifically the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) (https://elections.nsw.gov.au/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nswparty-lnc-4ab191217b.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nswparty-lnc-4ab191217b.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.245,0.755],"probability":0.245,"spread":0.19,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T14:11:20Z","end_date":"2027-03-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":40.0,"volume_24hr":40.0,"prob_24h_change":-0.04999999999999999,"volume_24h_change":40.0,"normalized_vol_24hr":5.98798942565918,"normalized_volume":4.046056270599365,"liquidity":574.7224,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-10-10T17:25:08.217804Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T17:25:08.217804Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T14:23:51.730513Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-south-wales-parliamentary-election-2nd-place/will-liberal-national-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-new-south-wales-state-election","event_title":"New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":[0.295,0.205,0.295,0.295,0.305,0.235,0.23,0.27,0.285,0.29,0.27,0.265,0.25,0.225,0.225,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.275,0.23,0.295,0.34,0.27,0.255]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5457444","event_id":"1159352","slug":"will-greens-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-new-south-wales-state-election","question":"Will Greens win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?","group_item_title":"Greens","description":"The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (New South Wales' lower house) as a result of the next New South Wales state election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nLiberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.\n\nParties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New South Wales government, specifically the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) (https://elections.nsw.gov.au/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-greens-480ea0685d.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/vicparty-greens-480ea0685d.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.1,0.9],"probability":0.1,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T14:11:20Z","end_date":"2027-03-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":404.8,"volume_24hr":404.8,"prob_24h_change":-0.044999999999999984,"volume_24h_change":404.8,"normalized_vol_24hr":15.662019729614258,"normalized_volume":10.58275318145752,"liquidity":10872.3843,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-10-10T16:35:42.249173Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T16:35:42.249173Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T14:23:51.730513Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-south-wales-parliamentary-election-2nd-place/will-greens-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-new-south-wales-state-election","event_title":"New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":[0.145,0.16,0.165,0.255,0.255,0.245,0.285,0.275,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.2,0.12,0.32,0.1,0.095,0.1]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5457456","event_id":"1159352","slug":"will-another-party-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-new-south-wales-state-election","question":"Will another party win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?","group_item_title":"Other","description":"The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (New South Wales' lower house) as a result of the next New South Wales state election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nLiberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. Liberal–National will include all seats won by both the Liberal Party and the Nationals, regardless of their parliamentary coalition behaviour, and its first-preference vote total will include the votes received by both parties.\n\nParties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid first-preference votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If they remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the New South Wales government, specifically the NSW Electoral Commission (NSWEC) (https://elections.nsw.gov.au/).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nswparty-badge-61f26ba96a.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/nswparty-badge-61f26ba96a.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.5,0.5],"probability":0.5,"spread":1.0,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":null,"end_date":"2027-03-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":0.0,"volume_24hr":0.0,"prob_24h_change":null,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":null,"normalized_volume":null,"liquidity":0.0,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":["Australia"],"updated_at":"2026-10-09T14:23:51.730513Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-09T14:23:51.730513Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T14:23:51.730513Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/new-south-wales-parliamentary-election-2nd-place/will-another-party-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-new-south-wales-state-election","event_title":"New South Wales Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place","chart_24h":null},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5457445","event_id":"1159352","slug":"will-one-nation-win-the-second-most-seats-in-the-next-new-south-wales-state-election","question":"Will One Nation win the second-most seats in the next New South Wales state election?","group_item_title":"One Nation","description":"The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on 27 March 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" according to which party or coalition wins the second-most seats in the Legislative Assembly (New South Wales' lower house) as a result of the next New South Wales state election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nLiberal–National refers to the Liberal–National Coalition. 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