{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1161276","as_of":"2026-10-10T04:26:23.782908Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by…\" — 2 markets; highest \"October 31\" at 30% as of 2026-10-10 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1161276","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ledger-announce-compensation-or-reimbursement-for-affected-users-by"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1161276","ticker":"will-ledger-announce-compensation-or-reimbursement-for-affected-users-by","slug":"will-ledger-announce-compensation-or-reimbursement-for-affected-users-by","title":"Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by…","description":"Ledger is investigating reports of loss of funds from users who purchased hardware wallets through third-party reseller CryptoBillis. \n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Ledger officially announces a plan to compensate, reimburse, or otherwise make whole any affected users for funds lost in this incident by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAny form of qualifying compensation will count toward a “Yes” resolution, including but not limited to direct reimbursement, a dedicated victim compensation fund, or a formal arrangement with a third party (e.g., an insurer or the reseller) to cover user losses. A general statement of regret, or an offer to merely assist with investigation or asset recovery without a concrete compensation commitment, will not qualify. Replacement devices, discounts, or other goodwill gestures that do not cover lost funds will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be an official statement from Ledger or Ledger.com, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ledger-ipo-closing-market-cap-above-jMYPvvVsP1p0.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/ledger-ipo-closing-market-cap-above-jMYPvvVsP1p0.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T20:54:41Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":4358.489605000001,"volume_24hr":4358.489605000001,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.796873092651367,"normalized_volume":15.9559907913208,"liquidity":2734.3383,"open_interest":1602.390523,"categories":["Crypto"],"tags":[{"id":"101890","slug":"hack","label":"hack"},{"id":"21","slug":"crypto","label":"Crypto"},{"id":"736","slug":"ledger","label":"ledger"},{"id":"105220","slug":"protocol-risk","label":"protocol-risk"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"October 31","top_outcome_probability":0.295,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":-0.20500000000000002,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":818.6,"updated_at":"2026-10-10T04:06:57.024910Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T04:06:57.024910Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T21:09:27.534152Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ledger-announce-compensation-or-reimbursement-for-affected-users-by","chart_24h":[0.0,0.0,618.433332,1435.51762,1435.51762,1455.51762,3590.998629,3984.1115560000003,4094.1115560000003,4358.489605000001],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":2,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5474735","event_id":"1161276","slug":"will-ledger-announce-compensation-or-reimbursement-for-affected-users-by-october-31","question":"Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 31?","group_item_title":"October 31","description":"Ledger is investigating reports of loss of funds from users who purchased hardware wallets through third-party reseller CryptoBillis. \n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Ledger officially announces a plan to compensate, reimburse, or otherwise make whole any affected users for funds lost in this incident by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAny form of qualifying compensation will count toward a “Yes” resolution, including but not limited to direct reimbursement, a dedicated victim compensation fund, or a formal arrangement with a third party (e.g., an insurer or the reseller) to cover user losses. A general statement of regret, or an offer to merely assist with investigation or asset recovery without a concrete compensation commitment, will not qualify. Replacement devices, discounts, or other goodwill gestures that do not cover lost funds will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be an official statement from Ledger or Ledger.com, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.295,0.705],"probability":0.295,"spread":0.01,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T20:54:41Z","end_date":"2026-11-01T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":818.6000000000001,"volume_24hr":818.6,"prob_24h_change":-0.20500000000000002,"volume_24h_change":818.6,"normalized_vol_24hr":19.542905807495117,"normalized_volume":13.205048561096191,"liquidity":2817.2779,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-10T03:43:51.538736Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T03:43:51.538736Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T21:09:27.583927Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ledger-announce-compensation-or-reimbursement-for-affected-users-by/will-ledger-announce-compensation-or-reimbursement-for-affected-users-by-october-31","event_title":"Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by…","chart_24h":[0.5,0.255,0.365,0.3,0.295,0.295,0.295,0.295,0.295,0.295]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5474734","event_id":"1161276","slug":"will-ledger-announce-compensation-or-reimbursement-for-affected-users-by-october-16","question":"Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 16?","group_item_title":"October 16","description":"Ledger is investigating reports of loss of funds from users who purchased hardware wallets through third-party reseller CryptoBillis. \n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Ledger officially announces a plan to compensate, reimburse, or otherwise make whole any affected users for funds lost in this incident by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAny form of qualifying compensation will count toward a “Yes” resolution, including but not limited to direct reimbursement, a dedicated victim compensation fund, or a formal arrangement with a third party (e.g., an insurer or the reseller) to cover user losses. A general statement of regret, or an offer to merely assist with investigation or asset recovery without a concrete compensation commitment, will not qualify. Replacement devices, discounts, or other goodwill gestures that do not cover lost funds will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be an official statement from Ledger or Ledger.com, however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market.","image":"","icon":"","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.18,0.82],"probability":0.18,"spread":0.02,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T20:54:41Z","end_date":"2026-10-17T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":3539.8896050000003,"volume_24hr":3539.8896050000003,"prob_24h_change":-0.32,"volume_24h_change":3539.8896050000003,"normalized_vol_24hr":28.998008728027344,"normalized_volume":19.59381866455078,"liquidity":623.6134,"categories":["Crypto"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-10T04:06:57.142356Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-10T04:06:57.142356Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T21:09:27.583927Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/will-ledger-announce-compensation-or-reimbursement-for-affected-users-by/will-ledger-announce-compensation-or-reimbursement-for-affected-users-by-october-16","event_title":"Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by…","chart_24h":[0.5,0.245,0.165,0.17,0.215,0.185,0.2,0.18]}]}