{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1161446","as_of":"2026-10-14T22:53:37.265964Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?\" — 69% as of 2026-10-14 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1161446","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-which-bloc-wins-more-seats"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1161446","ticker":"israel-election-which-bloc-wins-more-seats","slug":"israel-election-which-bloc-wins-more-seats","title":"Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?","description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Bibi” (Netanyahu bloc) if Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas win a greater combined total of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election than The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Opp.” (opposition bloc) if The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu win a greater combined total of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election than Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas.\n\nSeats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.\n\nIf both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to the bloc whose named parties received the greater combined total of valid votes, counting only the votes of named parties that pass the electoral threshold. If the blocs remain tied, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/event-update-JlG6pTiX-iGy.png","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-09T21:50:41Z","end_date":"2026-10-28T03:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":3782.4164659999997,"volume_24hr":2992.9117229999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":24.3797550201416,"normalized_volume":15.418122291564941,"liquidity":12849.5793,"open_interest":3152.850739,"categories":["World","Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"101970","slug":"world","label":"World"},{"id":"180","slug":"israel","label":"Israel"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"104793","slug":"israel-election","label":"Israel Election"},{"id":"1597","slug":"global-elections","label":"Global Elections"},{"id":"105438","slug":"international-election-props","label":"International Election Props"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"","top_outcome_probability":0.69,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.15999999999999992,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":2941.7456289999996,"updated_at":"2026-10-14T22:53:15.606438Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-14T22:53:15.606438Z","added_at":"2026-10-09T22:16:47.276284Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/israel-election-which-bloc-wins-more-seats","chart_24h":[51.166094,51.166094,51.166094,51.166094,51.166094,51.166094,51.166094,51.166094,51.166094,51.166094,51.166094,51.166094,29.889498,29.889498,29.889498,8.612902,8.612902,8.612902,8.612902,8.612902,8.612902,55.164625,48.164625,48.164625,523.534625,2973.5246249999996,2973.5246249999996,2994.524625,2992.9117229999997,2992.9117229999997],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":false,"markets_total":1,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5475249","event_id":"1161446","slug":"israel-election-which-bloc-wins-more-seats","question":"Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?","group_item_title":null,"description":"Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Bibi” (Netanyahu bloc) if Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas win a greater combined total of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election than The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Opp.” (opposition bloc) if The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu win a greater combined total of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election than Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas.\n\nSeats won by any party not named above will not count toward either bloc.\n\nIf both blocs win the same combined number of seats, this market will resolve to the bloc whose named parties received the greater combined total of valid votes, counting only the votes of named parties that pass the electoral threshold. 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