{"_meta":{"attribution":"Data aggregated by pdata.world (https://pdata.world) from 8 prediction-market venues; CC BY 4.0; source data © each venue.","canonical_url":"https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1178893","as_of":"2026-10-13T01:11:38.470248Z","docs":"https://api.pdata.world/docs","cite_as":"According to pdata.world (tracking Polymarket): \"Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?\" — \"No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate\" leads at 62% across 4 outcomes as of 2026-10-13 UTC. https://pdata.world/events/polymarket/1178893","source_url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-by-oct-23-and-oil-below-80"},"source":"polymarket","id":"1178893","ticker":"who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-by-oct-23-and-oil-below-80","slug":"who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-by-oct-23-and-oil-below-80","title":"Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?","description":"The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-HBNHKI_PkU4H.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-HBNHKI_PkU4H.jpg","active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T19:05:20Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"volume":26677.653609,"volume_24hr":27687.653608999997,"volume_24h_change":null,"normalized_vol_24hr":40.894168853759766,"normalized_volume":23.59754753112793,"liquidity":1286093.12587,"open_interest":15666.057829000001,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"tags":[{"id":"309","slug":"oil","label":"Oil"},{"id":"78","slug":"iran","label":"Iran"},{"id":"100199","slug":"senate-elections","label":"Senate"},{"id":"102289","slug":"midterms","label":"Midterms"},{"id":"2","slug":"politics","label":"Politics"},{"id":"144","slug":"elections","label":"Elections"},{"id":"100265","slug":"geopolitics","label":"Geopolitics"},{"id":"165","slug":"united-states","label":"United States"},{"id":"262","slug":"strait-of-hormuz","label":"Strait of Hormuz"}],"synthetic":false,"is_group":false,"group_key":null,"parent_event_id":null,"probability":null,"spread":null,"top_outcome":"No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate","top_outcome_probability":0.619,"top_outcome_prob_24h_change":0.019000000000000017,"top_outcome_volume_24h_change":634.348632,"updated_at":"2026-10-13T00:53:35.075381Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T00:53:35.075381Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T19:10:11.047323Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-by-oct-23-and-oil-below-80","chart_24h":[810.0,2310.0,21188.173285999997,25299.223285999997,26276.323286,26437.613608999996,27687.653608999997],"kind":"live","mutually_exclusive":true,"markets_total":4,"markets":[{"source":"polymarket","id":"5628382","event_id":"1178893","slug":"no-hormuz-agreement-by-oct-23-or-oil-at-least-80-and-the-democrats-win-the-senate","question":"Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?","group_item_title":"No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate","description":"The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-HBNHKI_PkU4H.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-HBNHKI_PkU4H.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.619,0.381],"probability":0.619,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T19:05:20Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":634.348632,"volume_24hr":634.348632,"prob_24h_change":0.019000000000000017,"volume_24h_change":634.348632,"normalized_vol_24hr":16.707725524902344,"normalized_volume":12.221640586853027,"liquidity":331147.7191,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T00:53:35.187143Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T00:53:35.187143Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T19:10:11.135514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-by-oct-23-and-oil-below-80/no-hormuz-agreement-by-oct-23-or-oil-at-least-80-and-the-democrats-win-the-senate","event_title":"Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?","chart_24h":[0.6,0.6,0.612,0.616,0.6175,0.618]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5628381","event_id":"1178893","slug":"no-hormuz-agreement-by-oct-23-or-oil-at-least-80-and-the-republicans-win-the-senate","question":"Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?","group_item_title":"No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; R Senate","description":"The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-HBNHKI_PkU4H.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-HBNHKI_PkU4H.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.3165,0.6835],"probability":0.3165,"spread":0.001,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T19:05:20Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":13142.787294,"volume_24hr":13142.787294,"prob_24h_change":-0.03849999999999998,"volume_24h_change":13142.787294,"normalized_vol_24hr":36.073814392089844,"normalized_volume":26.387863159179688,"liquidity":348178.15333,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T00:00:46.560514Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T00:00:46.560514Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T19:10:11.135514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-by-oct-23-and-oil-below-80/no-hormuz-agreement-by-oct-23-or-oil-at-least-80-and-the-republicans-win-the-senate","event_title":"Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?","chart_24h":[0.355,0.3555,0.323,0.318,0.3165,0.3165]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5628380","event_id":"1178893","slug":"hormuz-agreement-by-oct-23-and-oil-below-80-and-the-democrats-win-the-senate","question":"Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?","group_item_title":"Agreement + Oil < $80; D Senate","description":"The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-HBNHKI_PkU4H.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-HBNHKI_PkU4H.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.0295,0.9705],"probability":0.0295,"spread":0.003,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T19:05:20Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":8064.875864,"volume_24hr":8464.875864,"prob_24h_change":-0.004500000000000004,"volume_24h_change":8264.875864,"normalized_vol_24hr":32.804832458496094,"normalized_volume":23.740447998046875,"liquidity":236339.89549,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-12T23:36:24.596997Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-12T23:36:24.596997Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T19:10:11.135514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-by-oct-23-and-oil-below-80/hormuz-agreement-by-oct-23-and-oil-below-80-and-the-democrats-win-the-senate","event_title":"Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?","chart_24h":[0.034,0.025,0.028,0.03,0.03,0.0295]},{"source":"polymarket","id":"5628379","event_id":"1178893","slug":"hormuz-agreement-by-oct-23-and-oil-below-80-and-the-republicans-win-the-senate","question":"Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?","group_item_title":"Agreement + Oil < $80; R Senate","description":"The rules for this market are this: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/usp.pdf.","image":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-HBNHKI_PkU4H.jpg","icon":"https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-HBNHKI_PkU4H.jpg","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"outcome_prices":[0.022,0.978],"probability":0.022,"spread":0.002,"active":true,"closed":false,"start_date":"2026-10-12T19:05:20Z","end_date":"2026-11-04T04:59:00Z","closed_time":null,"result":null,"volume":4835.6418189999995,"volume_24hr":5445.6418189999995,"prob_24h_change":-0.0010000000000000009,"volume_24h_change":4835.6418189999995,"normalized_vol_24hr":29.683225631713867,"normalized_volume":21.117721557617188,"liquidity":290575.83337,"categories":["Politics","Elections"],"countries":[],"updated_at":"2026-10-13T00:29:09.142687Z","fetched_at":"2026-10-13T00:29:09.142687Z","added_at":"2026-10-12T19:10:11.135514Z","url":"https://polymarket.com/event/who-wins-the-senate-pending-hormuz-agreement-by-oct-23-and-oil-below-80/hormuz-agreement-by-oct-23-and-oil-below-80-and-the-republicans-win-the-senate","event_title":"Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?","chart_24h":[0.023,0.02,0.02,0.025,0.0215,0.022]}]}